Adelaide United v Home United prediction

AFC Champions League Two · · Coopers Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Adelaide United v Home United, AFC Champions League Two on Thu, 29 Oct 2026 07:45 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4579 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Adelaide United host Home United in AFC Champions League Two on Thursday 29 October (kick-off 07:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Adelaide United or Home United (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Home United have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Home United are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Adelaide United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Adelaide United’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Adelaide United have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.14.

Seven of Home United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Home United’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Home United have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.71.

Adelaide United (first) and Home United (second) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · AFC Champions League Two · Coopers Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Adelaide United 2W 1D 2L · Home United 3W 1D 1L

Adelaide United v Home United (AFC Champions League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 23 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7 / 5
Corners
against 4 / 6.83 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 6 matches
5.5 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 4.33 / 5.17 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.5 / 2.17
Cards
against 2.33 / 0.67 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAdelaide United for / againstLineHome United for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
7 for · 4 against n 6
9.5standard
5 for · 6.83 against n 6
Shots
15 for · 13.67 against n 6
19.5standard
11.33 for · 16.83 against n 6
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.33 against n 6
8.5standard
3.5 for · 5.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
9.67 for · 12.67 against n 6
21.5standard
10.17 for · 8.33 against n 6
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.33 against n 6
3.5standard
2.17 for · 0.67 against n 6
Adelaide United
Adelaide United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Riak n 535.4
2.54/1
00/0
—
Juan Muñiz n 847.1
1.95/2
1.44/1
—
P. Kikianis n 890
1.87/5
0.64/1
—
C. Goodwin n 848.8
1.64/3
1.24/1
—
L. Đuzel n 841.6
1.63/1
1.13/1
—
Adelaide United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Tatu n 423
3.92/2
11/0
Anselmo n 846.9
2.95/3
1.94/1
A. Riak n 535.4
2.54/1
0.51/0
Juan Muñiz n 847.1
2.15/3
1.24/1
J. Yull n 884.9
1.76/4
0.84/1
Adelaide United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Ayoubi n 820.1
0.61/0
0.61/0
C. Goodwin n 848.8
0.52/0
0.21/0
Anselmo n 846.9
0.51/1
0.21/0
L. Jovanović n 835.3
0.61/1
00/0
E. Alagich n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Adelaide United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Tatu n 423
4.93/1
L. Đuzel n 841.6
35/3
Anselmo n 846.9
2.98/3
Sotiri Phillis n 584.4
2.35/2
J. Barnett n 885.5
2.28/6
Adelaide United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Smits n 890
3.16/4
Home United
Home United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Rui Pires n 879.3
2.37/5
0.11/0
—
Ilhan Fandi n 534.6
2.12/2
2.14/0
—
H. Harun n 859.9
1.95/2
0.84/0
—
J. Karseladze n 336
1.71/1
0.81/0
—
M. Phaeton n 863.8
1.66/2
1.15/1
—
Home United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ilhan Fandi n 534.6
3.63/2
1.63/0
L. Thy n 871.6
2.47/6
1.47/2
Anderson Lopes n 889.1
1.97/4
1.15/2
M. Lestienne n 878.5
1.66/5
0.63/1
M. Phaeton n 863.8
1.24/3
0.74/0
Home United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Anderson Lopes n 889.1
0.83/1
0.11/0
M. Lestienne n 878.5
0.11/0
0.42/1
L. Thy n 871.6
0.53/0
00/0
Ilhan Fandi n 534.6
0.51/0
00/0
M. Phaeton n 863.8
0.42/0
00/0
Home United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Syahin n 852.3
3.74/4
A. Azman n 445.3
3.53/2
C. van Huizen n 579.8
23/3
H. Harun n 859.9
1.95/2
L. Tan n 865.4
1.76/2
Home United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Victor Aznar n 890
37/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Adelaide United v Home United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Adelaide UnitedDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Home UnitedLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Adelaide United#1 pos6 pts2 pl+4 GD
Home United#2 pos4 pts2 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Adelaide United scored2.5
Home United scored1
Adelaide United conceded0.5
Home United conceded0.5

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Adelaide United v Home United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Adelaide United v Home United is Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Adelaide United and Home United?
Recent form — Adelaide United 2W 1D 2L; Home United 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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