Melbourne Victory v FC Seoul — live

Live · 8′ · Melbourne Victory 0–0 FC Seoul

AFC Champions League Two · · AAMI Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Melbourne Victory 0–0 FC Seoul — live (8′), AFC Champions League Two. TACTIX’s pre-match free pick was Home or Away. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.22 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.1% of 4297 landed (95% range 75.9–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The shape of the game

At home, Melbourne Victory have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.00.

Away from home, FC Seoul have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 0.88.

Melbourne Victory (third) and FC Seoul (fourth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far.

Form and momentum

Eight of Melbourne Victory’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Melbourne Victory’s last 15 results (67%).

Nine of FC Seoul’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of FC Seoul’s last 15 results (53%).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 3 December 2020, finished Melbourne Victory 2–1 FC Seoul.

Players to watch

By TACTIX Impact, P. Klimala (3.5 per match over 13 appearances, six goals) and Jun Choi (3.2 per match over 15 appearances, one assist) have been FC Seoul’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Seoul (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Klimala averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 1032 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Jun Choi averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1372 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

What the model says

TACTIX’s model makes Melbourne Victory or FC Seoul (no draw) the free pick — a Bronze-tier call across 246 priced markets.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · AFC Champions League Two · AAMI Park
  • Referee: Clifford Postanes Daypuyat
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Melbourne Victory 1 · draws 0 · FC Seoul 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Melbourne Victory 1W 3D 1L · FC Seoul 2W 0D 3L

Melbourne Victory v FC Seoul (AFC Champions League Two): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.57 / 4.2
Corners
against 5.29 / 2.8 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
5.86 / 6.4
Shots on target
against 3.29 / 2.8 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.43 / 1
Cards
against 2 / 2.2 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMelbourne Victory for / againstLineFC Seoul for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.57 for · 5.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.2 for · 2.8 against n 5
Shots
17.86 for · 11.43 against n 7
19.5standard
15.6 for · 8.8 against n 5
Shots on target
5.86 for · 3.29 against n 7
8.5standard
6.4 for · 2.8 against n 5
Fouls committed
8.86 for · 11.14 against n 7
21.5standard
8.4 for · 11 against n 5
Cards shown
1.43 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
1 for · 2.2 against n 5
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nishan Velupillay n 854.5
1.75/3
1.93/3
—
Brendan Hamill n 879.8
1.36/3
0.43/0
—
Adama Traore n 645.3
1.33/1
1.33/1
—
Denis Genreau n 877.6
1.27/1
1.45/3
Hyeon-Woo Jeong
Louis D'Arrigo n 840.5
1.14/0
1.13/1
—
Melbourne Victory — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Piscopo n 818.6
2.44/0
1.22/0
Charles Nduka n 872.5
2.36/4
1.45/3
Nikolaos Vergos n 839
2.35/3
1.24/0
Keegan Jelacic n 853.1
1.97/1
0.62/1
Juan Mata n 874.3
1.75/2
1.45/2
Melbourne Victory — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Juan Mata n 874.3
0.63/1
0.64/0
Nikolaos Vergos n 839
0.93/0
00/0
Charles Nduka n 872.5
0.63/1
0.21/0
R. Piscopo n 818.6
00/0
0.61/0
Denis Genreau n 877.6
0.11/0
0.43/0
Melbourne Victory — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Clarismario n 844.3
3.16/3
Denis Genreau n 877.6
2.88/6
X. Stella n 830.5
2.65/2
O. Dragicevic n 710
2.62/0
Sebastian Esposito n 881.4
2.47/6
FC Seoul
FC Seoul — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Hyeon-Woo Jeong n 36
152/1
51/0
Denis Genreau
Hwang Do-yoon n 834
25/1
1.33/1
—
Seong-hun Park n 858.1
1.56/2
0.63/0
—
Son Jeong-beom n 866.9
1.36/2
0.32/0
—
Leonardo Ruiz n 852.1
1.34/2
1.76/1
—
FC Seoul — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Klimala n 878.6
3.96/4
25/4
Seung-Won Jeong n 868.8
2.56/5
0.53/0
Cheon Seong-Hoon n 819.6
2.33/1
1.12/0
Leonardo Ruiz n 852.1
1.75/3
1.14/1
Seung-mo Lee n 835.1
1.64/1
1.33/1
FC Seoul — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Moon Seon-min n 864.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
P. Klimala n 878.6
0.63/1
00/0
Seung-mo Lee n 835.1
0.31/0
0.31/0
Leonardo Ruiz n 852.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Seung-Won Jeong n 868.8
00/0
0.21/0
FC Seoul — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Seung-mo Lee n 835.1
3.24/3
Jun Choi n 860.9
36/5
Hwang Do-yoon n 834
2.34/2
Park Soo-Il n 865.9
1.76/1
Cheon Seong-Hoon n 819.6
1.72/1
FC Seoul — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gu Sung-yun n 879.9
1.84/2

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Melbourne Victory v FC Seoul — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Melbourne VictoryDDWLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FC SeoulLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Melbourne Victory 1 · 0 draws · FC Seoul 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2020-12-03 Melbourne Victory 2–1 FC Seoul
  • 2020-02-18 FC Seoul 1–0 Melbourne Victory
League standing · 2026/27
Melbourne Victory#3 pos1 pts1 pl0 GD
FC Seoul#4 pos0 pts1 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Melbourne Victory scored1
FC Seoul scored0
Melbourne Victory conceded1
FC Seoul conceded1

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Melbourne Victory v FC Seoul?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Melbourne Victory v FC Seoul was Home or Away (best price 1.22 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Melbourne Victory and FC Seoul?
In their last 2 meetings, Melbourne Victory won 1, FC Seoul won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Melbourne Victory and FC Seoul?
Recent form — Melbourne Victory 1W 3D 1L; FC Seoul 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s boards

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