Shanghai Shenhua v Machida Zelvia prediction

AFC Champions League Two · Thu, 29 Oct 2026 12:15 GMT · Shanghai Stadium

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 01:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Shanghai Shenhua · Machida Zelvia

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Shanghai Shenhua v Machida Zelvia, AFC Champions League Two on Thu, 29 Oct 2026 12:15 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.90 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Shanghai Shenhua host Machida Zelvia in AFC Champions League Two on Thursday 29 October (kick-off 12:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Machida Zelvia are unbeaten in their last 14 matches in all competitions. Machida Zelvia have kept a clean sheet in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Shanghai Shenhua’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Shanghai Shenhua’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Shanghai Shenhua have four wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 3.17 and conceding 1.67.

Five of Machida Zelvia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Machida Zelvia’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Machida Zelvia have three wins, five draws and one defeat in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.56 points per game, scoring 1.56 and conceding 0.78.

Shanghai Shenhua (second) and Machida Zelvia (first) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 February 2026, finished Shanghai Shenhua 0–2 Machida Zelvia.

Team news

Predicted Shanghai Shenhua XI (4-4-2): X. Qinghao, W. Manafá, J. Shunkai, Y. Zexiang, Z. Chenjie, G. Tianyi, L. Asué, W. Xi, W. Haijian, R. Ratao, X. Pengfei — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Luís Asué (5.7 per match over 15 appearances, eight goals and four assists) and M. Gueye (5.6 per match over seven appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Shanghai Shenhua’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Shanghai Shenhua (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Luís Asué averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1176 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. M. Gueye averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 536 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Machida Zelvia XI (3-4-2-1): K. Tani, G. Shoji, D. Okamura, T. Ouwejan, H. Mae, T. Akimoto, N. Lavi, H. Mochizuki, T. Nishimura, Y. Soma, K. Ogawa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Y. Soma (3.7 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and three assists) and Yuta Nakayama (3.5 per match over 17 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Machida Zelvia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Machida Zelvia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Y. Soma averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1130 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Yuta Nakayama averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 1614 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 29 Oct 2026 12:15 GMT · AFC Champions League Two · Shanghai Stadium
Referee: Payam Heidari
Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Shanghai Shenhua 0 · draws 0 · Machida Zelvia 1 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Shanghai Shenhua 3W 1D 1L · Machida Zelvia 4W 1D 0L

Shanghai Shenhua v Machida Zelvia (AFC Champions League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.25 / 0.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5 / 3.83

Corners

against 5 / 3.67 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

6.67 / 7.5

Shots on target

against 5.67 / 3.33 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.17 / 1.5

Cards

against 2.17 / 0.83 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

242

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Shanghai Shenhua for / against	Line	Machida Zelvia for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.75 for · 0.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 5 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	3.83 for · 3.67 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	17.67 for · 14.33 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	17.67 for · 10.33 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	6.67 for · 5.67 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	7.5 for · 3.33 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 11.5 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 9.83 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.17 for · 2.17 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 0.83 against n 6 Last 5

Shanghai Shenhua

Shanghai Shenhua Goalkeeper

Shanghai Shenhua — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Xue Qinghao	28	902510 min	853 /90	461.6 /90	10 /90
Ma Zhen	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Shanghai Shenhua — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shanghai Shenhua before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Xue Qinghao n 8	90	3.6 7/5

Shanghai Shenhua Defensive

Shanghai Shenhua — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Zhu Chenjie	27	892395 min	341.3 /90	200.8 /90	140.5 /90	963.6 /90	220.8 /90	30.1 /90
Chan Shinichi	27	842277 min	431.7 /90	240.9 /90	120.5 /90	1044.1 /90	220.9 /90	20.1 /90
Wilson Manafá	26	852215 min	532.2 /90	190.8 /90	70.3 /90	1064.3 /90	241 /90	20.1 /90
Jin Shunkai	19	831583 min	130.7 /90	140.8 /90	181 /90	543.1 /90	191.1 /90	30.2 /90
Yang Zexiang	13	60784 min	161.8 /90	182.1 /90	60.7 /90	293.3 /90	101.1 /90	60.7 /90
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Shanghai Shenhua — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shanghai Shenhua before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Rafael Ratao n 8	83.8	0.5 4/0	1.2 6/3	—
Xue Qinghao n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
Wu Xi n 8	77.8	0.4 3/0	1.4 5/3	—
Gao Tianyi n 8	73.9	1.8 6/4	0.9 3/2	—
Zhu Chenjie n 8	90	1.5 4/3	0.5 3/1	—
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Shanghai Shenhua — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shanghai Shenhua before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Rafael Ratao n 8	83.8	1.2 6/1
Wu Xi n 8	77.8	1.7 6/4
Gao Tianyi n 8	73.9	2.4 7/6
Zhu Chenjie n 8	90	1.4 5/4
Chan Shinichi n 8	74.9	0.9 4/2
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Shanghai Shenhua Attacking

Shanghai Shenhua — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Rafael Ratao	29	852473 min	190.7 /90	10 /90	762.8 /90	501.8 /90	351.3 /90	220.8 /90
Liu Chengyu	9	47423 min	00 /90	00 /90	71.5 /90	51.1 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90
M. Gueye	7	77536 min	50.8 /90	20.3 /90	203.4 /90	101.7 /90	61 /90	91.5 /90
Saulo Mineiro	6	37223 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	93.6 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90	72.8 /90
Wu Xi	28	842352 min	50.2 /90	40.2 /90	351.3 /90	120.5 /90	491.9 /90	110.4 /90
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Shanghai Shenhua — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shanghai Shenhua before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Rafael Ratao n 8	83.8	2.8 7/6	1.6 5/3
Xue Qinghao n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Wu Xi n 8	77.8	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Gao Tianyi n 8	73.9	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0
Zhu Chenjie n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Shanghai Shenhua — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shanghai Shenhua before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Rafael Ratao n 8	83.8	0.7 3/1	0 0/0
Xue Qinghao n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Wu Xi n 8	77.8	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
Gao Tianyi n 8	73.9	0 0/0	0.8 3/2
Zhu Chenjie n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia Goalkeeper

Machida Zelvia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Kosei Tani	11	90990 min	363.3 /90	121.1 /90	00 /90

Machida Zelvia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Machida Zelvia before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Kosei Tani n 8	90	3.6 7/5
Tatsuya Morita n 3	90	0.7 1/0

Machida Zelvia Defensive

Machida Zelvia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Gen Shoji	11	90990 min	201.8 /90	131.2 /90	10.1 /90	383.5 /90	40.4 /90	20.2 /90
Daihachi Okamura	10	86855 min	141.5 /90	111.2 /90	70.7 /90	343.6 /90	101.1 /90	30.3 /90
Yuta Nakayama	9	90810 min	151.7 /90	141.6 /90	50.6 /90	353.9 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
Ibrahim Drešević	6	90540 min	101.7 /90	91.5 /90	40.7 /90	294.8 /90	81.3 /90	00 /90
Henry Heroki Mochizuki	4	62247 min	51.8 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90	207.3 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
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Machida Zelvia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Machida Zelvia before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Gen Shoji n 8	90	0.6 3/1	1 5/1	—
Kosei Tani n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Daihachi Okamura n 8	78.3	1.6 6/3	0.4 3/0	—
Hotaka Nakamura n 8	74.6	0.8 3/2	1.2 5/2	—
Erik n 8	63.4	2.1 5/4	1.6 6/3	—
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Machida Zelvia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Machida Zelvia before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Gen Shoji n 8	90	1.6 6/4
Daihachi Okamura n 8	78.3	1.6 6/3
Hotaka Nakamura n 8	74.6	1.4 5/3
Erik n 8	63.4	1.8 6/1
Yuta Nakayama n 8	90	1.5 7/4
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Machida Zelvia Attacking

Machida Zelvia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Erik	10	65651 min	60.8 /90	00 /90	121.7 /90	91.2 /90	91.2 /90	111.5 /90
Sang-Ho Na	9	48435 min	30.6 /90	00 /90	102.1 /90	71.4 /90	61.2 /90	51 /90
Y. Soma	8	71569 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	142.2 /90	71.1 /90	132.1 /90	50.8 /90
Tete Yengi	7	68479 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	101.9 /90	50.9 /90	71.3 /90	71.3 /90
Shota Fujio	6	56338 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	112.9 /90	61.6 /90	51.3 /90	41.1 /90
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Machida Zelvia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Machida Zelvia before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Gen Shoji n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Kosei Tani n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Daihachi Okamura n 8	78.3	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Hotaka Nakamura n 8	74.6	0.9 5/1	0.3 2/0
Erik n 8	63.4	1.6 7/2	1.4 6/2
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Machida Zelvia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Machida Zelvia before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Gen Shoji n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Kosei Tani n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Daihachi Okamura n 8	78.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hotaka Nakamura n 8	74.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Erik n 8	63.4	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Shanghai Shenhua v Machida Zelvia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Shanghai ShenhuaWWDWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Machida ZelviaWWWWD

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Shanghai Shenhua 0 · 0 draws · Machida Zelvia 1 · 2 goals/game

2026-02-10 Shanghai Shenhua 0–2 Machida Zelvia

League standing · 2026/27

Shanghai Shenhua#2 pos4 pts2 pl+1 GD

Machida Zelvia#1 pos6 pts2 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Shanghai Shenhua scored1

Machida Zelvia scored1.5

Shanghai Shenhua conceded0.5

Machida Zelvia conceded0

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Shanghai Shenhua v Machida Zelvia?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Shanghai Shenhua v Machida Zelvia is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.90 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Shanghai Shenhua and Machida Zelvia?: In their last 1 meetings, Shanghai Shenhua won 0, Machida Zelvia won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shanghai Shenhua and Machida Zelvia?: Recent form — Shanghai Shenhua 3W 1D 1L; Machida Zelvia 4W 1D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 01:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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