Tampines Rovers v Machida Zelvia result
Team pages: Tampines Rovers · Machida Zelvia
The model’s pre-match pick
Tampines Rovers 0–1 Machida Zelvia — Machida Zelvia won this AFC Champions League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Machida Zelvia won 1–0 at Jalan Besar Stadium in AFC Champions League Two on Thursday 15 October. Machida Zelvia have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Machida Zelvia: Henry Heroki Mochizuki (90’, assisted by Tete Yengi).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Henry Heroki Mochizuki’s goal on 90 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Tampines Rovers 0.14, Machida Zelvia 2.70, from 2 shots to 21 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
The bookings — Tampines Rovers: K. Kazama (39’); Machida Zelvia: Hokuto Shimoda (85’).
What it changes
Tampines Rovers are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Machida Zelvia are unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Henry Heroki Mochizuki (Machida Zelvia) 6.2, S. Buhari (Tampines Rovers) 5.0 and T. Nishimura (Machida Zelvia) 4.1 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Tampines Rovers or Machida Zelvia (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).
Next up
Machida Zelvia next travel to Shimizu S-pulse on 21 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Machida Zelvia: Shimizu S-pulse v Machida Zelvia, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Tampines Rovers 0–1 Machida Zelvia · AFC Champions League Two
- Venue: Jalan Besar Stadium · Kallang
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Tampines Rovers 2W 1D 2L · Machida Zelvia 3W 2D 0L
Tampines Rovers 0–1 Machida Zelvia (AFC Champions League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Tampines Rovers for / against | Line | Machida Zelvia for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.5 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.4 for · 6.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.2 for · 22.8 against n 5 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.43 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.4 for · 6.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.29 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.4 for · 12.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.71 for · 9.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.57 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.29 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
Tampines Rovers
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ndao n 6 | 26 | 4 | 0.6 | — |
| S. Shahiran n 8 | 86.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | — |
| H. Higashikawa n 6 | 82.3 | 1.5 | 3.1 | — |
| Irfan Najeeb n 6 | 80.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | — |
| Y. Kobayashi n 8 | 42.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Faris Ramli n 3 | 20.7 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| H. Higashikawa n 6 | 82.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| T. Buhagiar n 8 | 58.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| K. Kazama n 6 | 75.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Faris Ramli n 3 | 20.7 | 1.5 | 0 |
| K. Kazama n 6 | 75.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| H. Higashikawa n 6 | 82.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| T. Buhagiar n 8 | 58.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| T. Yoshimoto n 7 | 81 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Suparno n 5 | 22.4 | 4.8 |
| T. Yoshimoto n 7 | 81 | 2.7 |
| J. Mahler n 7 | 37.4 | 2.7 |
| J. Chew n 5 | 36.8 | 2 |
| Irfan Najeeb n 6 | 80.3 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Buhari n 5 | 90 | 5.8 |
Machida Zelvia
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kuwayama n 8 | 22 | 3.1 | 0.5 | — |
| Tete Yengi n 8 | 63.1 | 1.6 | 2 | — |
| Daihachi Okamura n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Erik n 8 | 68.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | — |
| Kotaro Hayashi n 8 | 67.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tete Yengi n 8 | 63.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Y. Soma n 8 | 74.6 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Shota Fujio n 8 | 47 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Sang-Ho Na n 8 | 63.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Erik n 8 | 68.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kuwayama n 8 | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| Hokuto Shimoda n 8 | 50.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Byron Vásquez n 4 | 33 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Sang-Ho Na n 8 | 63.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Y. Soma n 8 | 74.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Neta Lavi n 8 | 69.1 | 3.7 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki n 8 | 59.4 | 2.3 |
| Ibrahim Drešević n 8 | 66.3 | 2.2 |
| Asahi Masuyama n 8 | 57.1 | 2.2 |
| Daihachi Okamura n 8 | 90 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kosei Tani n 8 | 93.8 | 3.7 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Tampines Rovers | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| 27% | Possession | 73% |
| 0.14 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.70 |
| 2 | Shots | 21 |
| 0 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 2 | Shots off target | 7 |
| 0 | Blocked shots | 7 |
| 2 | Shots inside the box | 13 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 5 | Offsides | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 0 |
| 262 | Passes | 680 |
Tampines Rovers player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sumi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Yoshimoto | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Yokoyama | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| S. Buhari | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Shahiran | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Mahler | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Y. Kobayashi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| H. Higashikawa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Irfan Fandi Ahmad | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| K. Kazama | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| Y. Furusawa | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| K. Yamazaki | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Faris Ramli | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
Machida Zelvia player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibrahim Drešević | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Kim Min-Tae | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Keiya Sento | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Hokuto Shimoda | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Tatsuya Morita | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| T. Nishimura | 81 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Mitchell Duke | 68 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Takahiro Akimoto | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Daihachi Okamura | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Futa Tokumura | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Y. Soma | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.1 |
| Henry Heroki Mochizuki | 22 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Koki Ogawa | 22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Tete Yengi | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Tampines Rovers v Machida Zelvia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Tampines Rovers v Machida Zelvia?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Tampines Rovers v Machida Zelvia was Home or Away (best price 1.17 at William Hill).
- What is the recent form of Tampines Rovers and Machida Zelvia?
- Recent form — Tampines Rovers 2W 1D 2L; Machida Zelvia 3W 2D 0L.
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