Wofoo Tai Po v Home United result

Full-time · Wofoo Tai Po 0–1 Home United

AFC Champions League Two · · Mong Kok Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Wofoo Tai Po 0–1 Home United — Home United won this AFC Champions League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.18 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4561 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Home United won 1–0 at Mong Kok Stadium in AFC Champions League Two on Thursday 15 October. Home United have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Home United: M. Phaeton (48’, assisted by T. Datković).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Phaeton’s goal on 48 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Wofoo Tai Po 0.47, Home United 1.46, from 8 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Chae Sang-Hyeop showed two yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Wofoo Tai Po: Paulinho Simionato (64’); Home United: G. Haag (75’).

What it changes

Home United are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Phaeton (Home United) 7.4, T. Datković (Home United) 5.1 and Wallisson Bahia (Wofoo Tai Po) 3.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Wofoo Tai Po or Home United (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3530 of 4561).

Next up

Wofoo Tai Po next host BG Pathum United on 29 October 2026.

Home United next travel to Adelaide United on 29 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wofoo Tai Po: Wofoo Tai Po v BG Pathum United, Thursday 29 October — the preview. Next for Home United: Adelaide United v Home United, Thursday 29 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Wofoo Tai Po 0–1 Home United · AFC Champions League Two
  • Venue: Mong Kok Stadium · Hong Kong
  • Referee: Chae Sang-Hyeop
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Wofoo Tai Po 1W 1D 3L · Home United 2W 1D 2L

Wofoo Tai Po 0–1 Home United (AFC Champions League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.8 / 4.2
Corners
against 6.4 / 7.6 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
3 / 3.6
Shots on target
against 5 / 5.8 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.33 / 2.4
Cards
against 2 / 0.6 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWofoo Tai Po for / againstLineHome United for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5our book
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.8 for · 6.4 against n 5
9.5standard
4.2 for · 7.6 against n 5
Shots
8.4 for · 16.6 against n 5
19.5standard
10 for · 18.6 against n 5
Shots on target
3 for · 5 against n 5
8.5standard
3.6 for · 5.8 against n 5
Fouls committed
15.4 for · 14.6 against n 5
21.5standard
9.6 for · 7.6 against n 5
Cards shown
2.33 for · 2 against n 6
3.5standard
2.4 for · 0.6 against n 5

Referee: Chae Sang-Hyeop.

Wofoo Tai Po
Wofoo Tai Po — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
James Temelkovski n 671.7
3.85/4
2.35/5
—
Paulinho Simionato n 414.8
3.11/1
00/0
—
Weverton Rangel n 590
2.65/5
3.45/5
—
Patrick n 587.4
2.55/4
1.65/2
—
Mikael n 590
2.25/4
13/1
—
Wofoo Tai Po — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Paulinho Simionato n 414.8
3.12/0
1.51/0
Fernando n 840.5
1.94/1
1.12/1
Michel Renner n 573.2
1.53/1
12/1
Gabriel Cividini n 390
1.32/1
0.71/1
James Temelkovski n 671.7
1.34/2
0.84/0
Wofoo Tai Po — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
James Temelkovski n 671.7
0.63/0
0.21/0
Fernando n 840.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Michel Renner n 573.2
0.51/1
00/0
Igor Sartori n 882.4
0.11/0
00/0
Weverton Rangel n 590
00/0
00/0
Wofoo Tai Po — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Patrick n 587.4
3.55/4
Weverton Rangel n 590
3.25/5
Mikael n 590
24/3
Fernando n 840.5
1.75/1
P. Chan Siu-Kwan n 470.5
1.63/1
Home United
Home United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Harun n 868.6
1.86/2
0.74/0
—
Rui Pires n 877
1.66/4
0.32/0
—
Safuwan Baharudin n 586.8
1.54/2
1.55/2
—
H. Syahin n 853.5
1.55/2
0.42/0
—
A. Azman n 445.3
1.52/1
00/0
—
Home United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Thy n 871.6
2.47/6
1.47/2
Anderson Lopes n 889.1
1.97/4
1.15/2
M. Lestienne n 878.5
1.66/5
0.63/1
B. Ramselaar n 882.1
1.16/1
0.74/1
Safuwan Baharudin n 586.8
12/1
00/0
Home United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Anderson Lopes n 889.1
0.83/1
0.11/0
M. Lestienne n 878.5
0.11/0
0.42/1
L. Thy n 871.6
0.53/0
00/0
L. Tan n 865.4
00/0
0.32/0
S. Anuar n 839.6
0.31/0
00/0
Home United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Rasaq n 43.5
6.41/0
H. Syahin n 853.5
3.64/4
A. Azman n 445.3
3.53/2
C. van Huizen n 579.8
23/3
Rui Pires n 877
1.85/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Wofoo Tai PoHome United
32%Possession68%
0.47Expected goals (xG)1.46
8Shots18
2Shots on target3
4Shots off target9
2Blocked shots6
4Shots inside the box12
3Corners9
5Offsides1
12Fouls13
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves2
210Passes461

Wofoo Tai Po player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ka-Wing Tse9000000006.4
Weverton Rangel9000001206.2
Léo Rigo9000001107
Lee Ka-Ho9000000206.4
Gabriel Cividini9000200106.2
Fernando9000002306
Wong Hin-Sum9000100006.5
S. Sim8100000305.9
Siu-Kwan Philip Chan6300000106.3
Paulinho Simionato29002000Y6.1
Wallisson Bahia2700211107.1
Nando Welter900002006.6
Murilo900000006.4

Home United player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Wright9000200008
B. Ramselaar9000102106.5
G. Haag90001040Y7.7
T. Datković9001101108.3
Victor Aznar9000000006.7
M. Phaeton8910211206.8
J. Karseladze8600001206.5
Hugo Gomes7300100007.4
Ilhan Fandi7300312006.3
K. Nakamura4500000106.8
Song Ui-Young4500101207
H. Harun1700000007
A. Mance1700100006.1
R. Stewart400001007.3
H. Syahin100100000

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Wofoo Tai Po v Home United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Wofoo Tai PoDLLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Home UnitedLLWWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Wofoo Tai Po#4 pos0 pts2 pl-4 GD
Home United#2 pos4 pts2 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Wofoo Tai Po scored0
Home United scored1
Wofoo Tai Po conceded2
Home United conceded0.5

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Wofoo Tai Po v Home United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wofoo Tai Po v Home United was Home or Away (best price 1.18 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Wofoo Tai Po and Home United?
Recent form — Wofoo Tai Po 1W 1D 3L; Home United 2W 1D 2L.

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