Hammarby FF v Sirius prediction

Allsvenskan · · Tele2 Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hammarby FF · Sirius · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Hammarby FF v Sirius, Allsvenskan on Thu, 29 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.50 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 478 of 727 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hammarby FF host Sirius in the Allsvenskan on Thursday 29 October (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Hammarby FF have conceded 21 goals, the fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Sirius have scored 56 goals, the most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Sirius have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Hammarby FF’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Hammarby FF’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Hammarby FF have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.67. Hammarby FF have scored 52 goals, the third-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

10 of Sirius’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Sirius’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Sirius have six wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.57 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.00. Sirius have conceded 32 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Hammarby FF (second) and Sirius (first) are six points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Hammarby FF the stronger side, 82 rating points above Sirius (Hammarby FF 1841, Sirius 1759, after at least 295 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Sirius 2–0 Hammarby FF.

Team news

Hammarby FF have one name on the availability list: B. Hedlof (out, Hip Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-28. Predicted Hammarby FF XI (4-3-3): W. Hahn, F. Winther, H. Skoglund, I. Fofana, N. Persson, M. Karlsson, F. Adjei, T. Tekie, P. Abraham, V. Lind, M. Madjed — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Victor Lind (6.6 per match over 25 appearances, nine goals and 12 assists) and Paulos Abraham (4.5 per match over 25 appearances, 14 goals and three assists) have been Hammarby FF’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Hammarby FF (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Victor Lind averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 1936 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Paulos Abraham averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 1972 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Sirius have one name on the availability list: O. Liimatta (doubtful, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-28. Predicted Sirius XI (4-2-3-1): D. Celic, H. Castegren, T. Anker, O. Krusnell, M. Soumah, M. Heier, M. Lindberg, V. Svensson, Z. Vancsa, C. Nilden, I. Bjerkebo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, J. Persson (8.1 per match over three appearances, three goals and one assist) and Robbie Ure (7.0 per match over 15 appearances, 15 goals and two assists) have been Sirius’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sirius (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Robbie Ure averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 2008 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Allsvenskan · Tele2 Arena
  • Referee: Glenn Nyberg
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Hammarby FF 3 · draws 1 · Sirius 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hammarby FF 4W 0D 1L · Sirius 3W 1D 1L

Hammarby FF v Sirius (Allsvenskan): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
7.38 / 6.25
Corners
against 2.38 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.88 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 2.25 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHammarby FF for / againstLineSirius for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.25our book
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
7.38 for · 2.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
22.13 for · 7.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
7.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Glenn Nyberg.

Hammarby FF

Hammarby FF Goalkeeper

Hammarby FF — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Hahn24902160 min492 /90190.8 /9000 /90
Hammarby FF — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hammarby FF before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Hahn n 890
1.94/3

Hammarby FF Defensive

Hammarby FF — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Winther24892138 min351.5 /90281.2 /90120.5 /901114.7 /90220.9 /9010 /90
Hampus Skoglund24882122 min733.1 /90351.5 /90100.4 /901255.3 /90331.4 /9050.2 /90
N. Persson22731595 min241.4 /90120.7 /9070.4 /90724.1 /90261.5 /9030.2 /90
V. Eriksson17871479 min181.1 /90332 /90110.7 /90915.5 /90241.5 /9060.4 /90
I. Fofana17801368 min281.8 /90120.8 /9060.4 /90634.1 /90130.9 /9010.1 /90
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Hammarby FF — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hammarby FF before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Karlsson n 890
1.46/3
26/5
—
Paulos Abraham n 884.1
0.96/1
1.25/3
—
V. Lind n 889.8
1.16/3
1.45/4
—
W. Hahn n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
F. Winther n 889.9
0.86/0
0.54/0
—
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Hammarby FF — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hammarby FF before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Karlsson n 890
2.58/7
Paulos Abraham n 884.1
0.74/1
V. Lind n 889.8
28/5
F. Winther n 889.9
1.46/3
Hampus Skoglund n 888.5
2.58/7
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Hammarby FF Attacking

Hammarby FF — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Paulos Abraham25791972 min140.6 /9030.1 /90602.7 /90371.7 /90391.8 /90200.9 /90
Oliver Jordan Hagen525125 min00 /9000 /9032.2 /9021.4 /9021.4 /9064.3 /90
E. Kabore351154 min00 /9000 /9042.3 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /90
N. Vasic32780 min33.4 /9000 /9066.8 /9044.5 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Kebbeh21631 min00 /9000 /9012.9 /9012.9 /9000 /9000 /90
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Hammarby FF — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hammarby FF before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Karlsson n 890
0.94/3
0.32/0
Paulos Abraham n 884.1
2.78/6
1.95/4
V. Lind n 889.8
3.38/7
1.57/3
W. Hahn n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Winther n 889.9
0.93/3
0.31/1
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Hammarby FF — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hammarby FF before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Karlsson n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Paulos Abraham n 884.1
0.54/0
00/0
V. Lind n 889.8
0.32/0
0.64/1
W. Hahn n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Winther n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
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Sirius

Sirius Goalkeeper

Sirius — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Celic25902250 min682.7 /90210.8 /9000 /90
Sirius — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sirius before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Celic n 890
2.64/3

Sirius Defensive

Sirius — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Krusnell24882123 min642.7 /90311.3 /90120.5 /901144.8 /90210.9 /9030.1 /90
H. Castegren23902070 min371.6 /90321.4 /90100.4 /90853.7 /90241 /9000 /90
T. Anker22901970 min241.1 /90251.1 /90120.5 /90863.9 /90271.2 /9020.1 /90
Mohamed Soumah20901790 min301.5 /90301.5 /90120.6 /90934.7 /90221.1 /9050.3 /90
V. Ekstrom881650 min192.6 /90172.4 /9020.3 /90415.7 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90
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Sirius — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sirius before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Celic n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
I. Bjerkebo n 887.8
0.53/1
0.84/1
—
M. Lindberg n 890
1.16/2
2.47/7
—
M. Heier n 888.4
1.56/3
1.77/3
—
O. Krusnell n 890
1.17/1
0.42/1
—
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Sirius — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sirius before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Bjerkebo n 887.8
0.64/1
M. Lindberg n 890
3.17/7
M. Heier n 888.4
1.76/3
O. Krusnell n 890
3.88/6
H. Castegren n 890
1.87/4
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Sirius Attacking

Sirius — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Robbie Ure15901344 min151 /9020.1 /90342.3 /90231.5 /90211.4 /9070.5 /90
N. Jonsson1549733 min20.2 /9020.2 /90202.5 /90101.2 /90131.6 /9091.1 /90
J. Persson1444614 min20.3 /9030.4 /9071 /9020.3 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90
Jesper Uneken469276 min10.3 /9000 /9062 /9010.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
A. Ljungberg439154 min10.6 /9010.6 /9074.1 /9031.8 /9021.2 /9010.6 /90
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Sirius — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sirius before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Celic n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Bjerkebo n 887.8
2.67/5
15/2
M. Lindberg n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Heier n 888.4
0.85/1
0.32/0
O. Krusnell n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Sirius — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sirius before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Celic n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Bjerkebo n 887.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Lindberg n 890
00/0
0.53/1
M. Heier n 888.4
0.11/0
00/0
O. Krusnell n 890
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hammarby FF v Sirius — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hammarby FFWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
SiriusWWWDL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Hammarby FF 3 · 1 draw · Sirius 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-13 Sirius 2–0 Hammarby FF
  • 2025-08-24 Sirius 3–1 Hammarby FF
  • 2025-05-14 Hammarby FF 3–2 Sirius
  • 2024-10-26 Sirius 0–3 Hammarby FF
  • 2024-05-26 Hammarby FF 3–0 Sirius
  • 2023-10-30 Hammarby FF 2–2 Sirius
League standing · 2026
Hammarby FF#2 pos49 pts25 pl+31 GD
Sirius#1 pos55 pts25 pl+24 GD
Goals per game
Hammarby FF scored2.08
Sirius scored2.24
Hammarby FF conceded0.84
Sirius conceded1.28

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Hammarby FF v Sirius?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hammarby FF v Sirius is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Hammarby FF and Sirius?
In their last 6 meetings, Hammarby FF won 3, Sirius won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hammarby FF and Sirius?
Recent form — Hammarby FF 4W 0D 1L; Sirius 3W 1D 1L.

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