TACTIX Football Blog — page 6

214 posts, newest first

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Expected goals on target (xGOT) explained

xGOT — post-shot expected goals — re-values a shot after it is struck, using where in the goal it is headed as well as where it was taken from.

3 July 2026
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Expected assists (xA) explained

Expected assists measures the chance-creating value of a pass: the likelihood that the shot it produced becomes a goal.

3 July 2026
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Odds-on and odds-against explained

Odds-on means the price is shorter than even money — the implied chance is above 50% and a winning bet returns less in profit than the stake risked.

3 July 2026
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Bet builder (same-game multi) explained

A bet builder combines several selections from the same match — result, goals, cards, player props — into one bet where every leg must land.

3 July 2026
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Hedging explained

Hedging places a new bet against an existing position to lock in profit or cap loss — most often backing the other side after the price has moved in your…

3 July 2026
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Void bet (push) explained

A void bet — a push in US usage — is settled with the stake returned and no profit or loss: the condition needed to decide it did not happen, as with a…

3 July 2026
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Variance explained

Variance is the natural spread of outcomes around the average: the reason a sound strategy can lose for weeks and a poor one can boast a hot month.

3 July 2026
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Expected value (EV) explained

Expected value is the average profit or loss a bet would produce if it could be repeated many times: the chance of winning times the payout, minus the…

3 July 2026
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Staking plan explained

A staking plan is the rule that decides how much of the bankroll each bet risks — flat stakes, percentage stakes, or edge-proportional schemes such as Kelly.

3 July 2026
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Bankroll management explained

Bankroll management is the discipline of setting aside a fixed betting fund and sizing every bet as a small, pre-agreed fraction of it, so that no run of…

3 July 2026
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Sharp and square explained

A sharp is a bettor whose opinions move markets — consistently accurate, price-sensitive and disciplined about stakes.

3 July 2026
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Steam move explained

A steam move is a sharp, rapid shortening of a price across many bookmakers at once, driven by concentrated informed money rather than casual volume.

3 July 2026
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Vigorish (juice) explained

Vigorish — “juice” in US usage — is the bookmaker’s built-in margin: the amount by which the implied probabilities of all outcomes exceed 100%.

3 July 2026
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Arbitrage (arb) explained

Arbitrage backs every outcome of an event across different bookmakers at prices whose implied probabilities sum to less than 100%, locking in a small profit…

3 July 2026
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Each way explained

An each-way bet is two bets in one: half the total backs the selection to win, half backs it to place (finish in the paid positions) at a stated fraction of…

3 July 2026
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Cash out explained

Cash out lets a bettor settle a bet early at a price the bookmaker offers while the event is still running, locking in a smaller profit or a reduced loss.

3 July 2026
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Half-time/full-time (HT/FT) explained

A half-time/full-time bet predicts the result at both the interval and the final whistle — nine combinations in all, from home/home to away/away.

3 July 2026
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Clean sheet explained

A clean sheet means a team conceded no goals in a match. As a betting market, it settles on whether the named side keeps the opposition scoreless.

3 July 2026
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Anytime goalscorer explained

An anytime goalscorer bet wins if the named player scores at any point in the match.

3 July 2026
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First goalscorer explained

A first goalscorer bet names the player who scores the match’s opening goal.

3 July 2026
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Correct score explained

A correct score bet names the exact final scoreline, such as 2–1.

3 July 2026
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Over/under (goals) explained

An over/under market settles on the total number of goals in the match, most commonly against a 2.5 line: over wins with three or more, under with two or…

3 July 2026
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Handicap (European) explained

Handicap betting adjusts the scoreline before settlement, giving the outsider a notional head start or the favourite a deficit.

3 July 2026
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Draw no bet (DNB) explained

Draw no bet backs a team to win with the draw removed: if the match is drawn, the stake is returned rather than lost.

3 July 2026