Ried v Grazer AK result

Full-time · Ried 2–1 Grazer AK

Bundesliga – Austria · Tue, 21 Apr 2026 19:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Ried 2–1 Grazer AK — Ried won this Bundesliga – Austria match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Ried beat Grazer AK 2–1 in the Bundesliga – Austria on Tuesday 21 April. Ried are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Grazer AK are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Ried led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Ried: A. Bajić (28’, assisted by A. Leitner) and Kingstone Mutandwa (35’, assisted by A. Bajić); Grazer AK: Mark Große (67’, assisted by D. Frieser).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Bajić’s goal on 28 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Ried 2.22, Grazer AK 0.53, from 17 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Pfister showed six yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ried: A. Bajić (83’) and Martin Rasner (90+1’); Grazer AK: Tobias Koch (12’), Mathias Olesen (38’), Leon Klassen (38’) and Donovan Pines (45+1’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Bajić (Ried) 9.4, Kingstone Mutandwa (Ried) 5.4 and Nicolas Bajlicz (Ried) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Grazer AK, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

Ried next travel to Sturm Graz on 25 October 2026.

Grazer AK next travel to WSG Wattens on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ried: Sturm Graz v Ried, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Grazer AK: WSG Wattens v Grazer AK, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Ried 2–1 Grazer AK · Bundesliga – Austria
Referee: D. Pfister
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Ried 0 · draws 2 · Grazer AK 1 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Ried 2W 2D 1L · Grazer AK 3W 1D 1L

Ried 2–1 Grazer AK (Bundesliga – Austria): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.5 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.29 / 3.83

Corners

against 4.71 / 2 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3.29 / 4.33

Shots on target

against 3.43 / 3 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.29 / 2.17

Cards

against 2.43 / 2.33 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

2.8 yellows

Referee · D. Pfister

1.4 home / 1.4 away

over 5 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 April 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Ried for / against	Line	Grazer AK for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.29 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.83 for · 2 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	13.14 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	11.33 for · 10.83 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	3.29 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.33 for · 3 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.14 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.17 for · 13.33 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.29 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.17 for · 2.33 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: D. Pfister — 2.8 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 13.6 fouls over 5 matches (1.4 to the home side, 1.4 to the away side).

Home 1.4Away 1.4

Ried

Ried — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Joris Boguo n 8	19.4	4.6 5/2	2.3 3/1	—
Peter Kiedl n 8	33.6	3 5/2	1 3/0	—
Saliou Sane n 4	22.8	3 3/0	2 2/0	—
Yussef Nasrawe n 5	27.6	2.6 3/1	3.3 3/1	—
E. E. Aisowieren n 3	15	2 1/0	0 0/0	—

Ried — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Mutandwa n 8	73.1	3.1 5/4	1.4 4/3
F. Rossdorfer n 8	51	2.2 6/3	0.7 2/1
C. Wernitznig n 8	42.4	2.1 5/2	0.3 1/0
Peter Kiedl n 8	33.6	1.7 3/2	0.3 1/0
A. van Wyk n 8	70	1.6 5/2	0.5 2/1

Ried — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Pomer n 8	74.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
K. Mutandwa n 8	73.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Mayer n 8	74.3	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
A. van Wyk n 8	70	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
N. Havenaar n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0

Ried — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Yussef Nasrawe n 5	27.6	3.3 3/2
M. Sollbauer n 8	90	2.3 6/5
N. Bajlicz n 8	72.6	2.3 7/5
Martin Rasner n 8	16	2.1 2/1
J. Mayer n 8	74.3	2 8/5

Ried — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Leitner n 8	90	2.6 7/5

Grazer AK

Grazer AK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Maderner n 8	57.8	3.9 8/6	1.8 5/3	—
Thorsten Schriebl n 8	72	2 4/4	1.4 4/2	—
Alexander Hofleitner n 8	57.9	1.7 5/3	1.6 5/2	—
Murat Satin n 8	43.6	1.5 4/2	1.3 4/1	—
Christian Lichtenberger n 8	55	1.4 5/2	1.4 5/2	—

Grazer AK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Harakate n 8	87.3	3.1 8/7	1.8 7/3
Alexander Hofleitner n 8	57.9	2.7 7/4	1.4 5/2
Mark Große n 8	37	2.1 3/2	0.9 2/1
D. Maderner n 8	57.8	1.6 6/2	1 5/0
Murat Satin n 8	43.6	1.5 3/1	0.5 1/1

Grazer AK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Harakate n 8	87.3	1 6/2	0.1 1/0
D. Maderner n 8	57.8	0.6 3/0	0.4 2/0
Alexander Hofleitner n 8	57.9	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
Murat Satin n 8	43.6	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Mark Große n 8	37	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0

Grazer AK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Thorsten Schriebl n 8	72	3.3 7/6
M. Kreuzriegler n 8	56.9	2 5/3
Jacob Italiano n 8	77	1.9 6/4
Dominik Frieser n 8	25.6	1.8 3/1
B. Owusu n 8	90	1.5 6/3

Grazer AK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Stolz n 7	90	2.1 3/3

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Ried		Grazer AK
50%	Possession	50%
2.22	Expected goals (xG)	0.53
17	Shots	5
6	Shots on target	2
7	Shots off target	2
4	Blocked shots	1
11	Shots inside the box	2
5	Corners	4
2	Offsides	1
8	Fouls	12
2	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	4
376	Passes	373
78%	Pass accuracy	75%

Ried player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Leitner	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
N. Havenaar	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.5
M. Sollbauer	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
O. Steurer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
P. Pomer	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
Y. Maart	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	6.9
A. Bajić	90	1	1	2	1	2	1	Y	9.7
K. Mutandwa	90	1	0	4	1	1	0	0	6.9
A. van Wyk	78	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	7.3
N. Bajlicz	72	0	0	1	1	3	5	0	7.2
Yussef Nasrawe	72	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.9
J. Mayer sub	18	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
Martin Rasner sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.7
E. E. Aisowieren sub	12	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	7

Grazer AK player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. Stolz	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.7
B. Owusu	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
Donovan Pines	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
Mathias Olesen	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	Y	6.3
Leon Klassen	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	Y	6.9
R. Harakate	90	0	0	2	0	2	1	0	6.7
Tobias Koch	75	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.2
Alexander Hofleitner	62	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.2
Christian Lichtenberger	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
M. Bagrationi	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
M. Kreuzriegler sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Dominik Frieser sub	45	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
Murat Satin sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
Mark Große sub	28	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.2
T. Paumgartner sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Ried v Grazer AK — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

RiedWLWDD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Grazer AKWWWLD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Ried 0 · 2 draws · Grazer AK 1 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-04-17 Grazer AK 1–1 Ried
2026-03-01 Grazer AK 2–1 Ried
2025-09-27 Ried 0–0 Grazer AK

League standing · 2025/26

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Ried#9 pos28 pts22 pl-4 GD

Grazer AK#11 pos20 pts22 pl-14 GD

Goals per game

Ried scored1.18

Grazer AK scored1

Ried conceded1.36

Grazer AK conceded1.64

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Ried v Grazer AK?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Ried v Grazer AK was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Ried and Grazer AK?: In their last 3 meetings, Ried won 0, Grazer AK won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ried and Grazer AK?: Recent form — Ried 2W 2D 1L; Grazer AK 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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