1899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Bundesliga · · SNP Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen, Bundesliga on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 14:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.40 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 624 landed (95% range 62.1–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 421 of 641 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

1899 Hoffenheim host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 14:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

13 of 1899 Hoffenheim’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Bayer Leverkusen have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions. Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of 1899 Hoffenheim’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, 1899 Hoffenheim have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 2.00. 1899 Hoffenheim have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1899 Hoffenheim have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

10 of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Bayer Leverkusen have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 1.50. Bayer Leverkusen have scored 16 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bayer Leverkusen have conceded nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

1899 Hoffenheim (14th) and Bayer Leverkusen (fourth) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayer Leverkusen the stronger side, 354 rating points above 1899 Hoffenheim (Bayer Leverkusen 1815, 1899 Hoffenheim 1461, after at least 312 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, finished 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen.

Team news

Predicted 1899 Hoffenheim XI (4-2-3-1): O. Baumann, V. Coufal, O. Kabak, A. Hajdari, M. Rots, L. Avdullahu, W. Burger, A. Daghim, B. Conté, P. Wimmer, T. Lemperle — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bambasé Conté (4.7 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) and Patrick Wimmer (4.3 per match over six appearances, two goals and one assist) have been 1899 Hoffenheim’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for 1899 Hoffenheim (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bambasé Conté averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 640 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Patrick Wimmer averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 786 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bayer Leverkusen XI (4-2-3-1): M. Flekken, E. Tapsoba, M. Gutiérrez, F. Medina, J. Quansah, A. García, I. Maza, A. Moreira, E. Fernández, M. Diaby, P. Schick — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Patrik Schick (5.9 per match over 10 appearances, nine goals and two assists) and Ibrahim Maza (5.4 per match over nine appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Bayer Leverkusen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayer Leverkusen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Patrik Schick averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 874 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Ibrahim Maza averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1183 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · SNP Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1899 Hoffenheim 2 · draws 0 · Bayer Leverkusen 4 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 4L · Bayer Leverkusen 5W 0D 0L

1899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 2.75
Goals
against 2.38 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.88 / 7.75
Corners
against 4.63 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 8.25
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 2.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.38
Cards
against 1 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game1899 Hoffenheim for / againstLineBayer Leverkusen for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5our book
2.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
7.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
17.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
21.13 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
8.25 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.13 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.88 for · 7.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Machida n 868
3.17/7
0.21/0
—
P. Wimmer n 863.9
36/5
1.65/3
—
A. Hajdari n 875.3
2.58/5
0.42/1
—
O. Kabak n 879.6
2.47/4
13/3
—
T. Lemperle n 864.6
2.47/3
00/0
—
1899 Hoffenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Max Moerstedt n 821.9
4.13/2
3.13/2
B. Conté n 850.5
2.77/4
1.36/0
F. Asllani n 844.6
2.56/3
14/0
V. Gendrey n 811
22/0
11/0
T. Lemperle n 864.6
1.95/3
15/1
1899 Hoffenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Max Moerstedt n 821.9
0.51/0
0.51/0
V. Gendrey n 811
11/0
00/0
A. Prass n 835.9
0.62/0
0.31/0
F. Asllani n 844.6
0.52/0
0.31/0
A. Hložek n 864.4
00/0
0.53/0
1899 Hoffenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bernardo n 870.3
2.77/4
A. Daghim n 850.8
2.45/2
B. Conté n 850.5
2.26/3
P. Wimmer n 863.9
2.17/3
V. Gendrey n 811
22/0
1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Baumann n 890
2.16/2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Christian Kofane n 831.9
3.25/3
1.42/1
—
M. Tillman n 857.8
2.97/5
1.24/2
—
L. Badé n 865
2.47/3
0.21/0
—
E. Fernández n 855.6
24/3
0.84/0
—
G. Doué n 871.8
1.77/3
1.34/3
—
Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hofmann n 821.3
4.24/1
3.22/1
P. Schick n 867.1
48/7
27/4
Christian Kofane n 831.9
3.96/4
1.43/1
N. Tella n 848.1
3.37/3
1.96/1
I. Maza n 878.3
2.97/6
0.73/2
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Schick n 867.1
1.26/1
0.32/0
Christian Kofane n 831.9
1.13/0
0.41/0
J. Hofmann n 821.3
1.11/1
00/0
N. Tella n 848.1
0.52/0
0.52/0
M. Tillman n 857.8
0.63/0
0.21/0
Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Fernández n 855.6
3.86/4
L. Badé n 865
2.37/3
E. Ben Seghir n 814.5
2.32/1
G. Doué n 871.8
26/3
I. Maza n 878.3
1.65/4
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Blaswich n 890
4.46/5
M. Flekken n 890
2.15/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind 1899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1899 HoffenheimLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Bayer LeverkusenWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1899 Hoffenheim 2 · 0 draws · Bayer Leverkusen 4 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-17 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2025-08-23 Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2025-02-02 Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2024-09-14 1899 Hoffenheim 1–4 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2024-03-30 Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2023-11-04 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Bayer Leverkusen
League standing · 2026/27
1899 Hoffenheim#14 pos6 pts6 pl-3 GD
Bayer Leverkusen#4 pos13 pts6 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
1899 Hoffenheim scored1.83
Bayer Leverkusen scored2.67
1899 Hoffenheim conceded2.33
Bayer Leverkusen conceded1.5

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win 1899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between 1899 Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen?
In their last 6 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 2, Bayer Leverkusen won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1899 Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen?
Recent form — 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 4L; Bayer Leverkusen 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →