Bayer Leverkusen v FSV Mainz 05 prediction

Bundesliga · · BayArena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayer Leverkusen · FSV Mainz 05 · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayer Leverkusen v FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga on Sat, 20 Feb 2027 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bayer Leverkusen host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 20 February (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

Bayer Leverkusen have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. FSV Mainz 05 have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last six meetings with FSV Mainz 05, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

11 of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Bayer Leverkusen have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.88. Bayer Leverkusen have scored 16 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bayer Leverkusen have conceded nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nine of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, FSV Mainz 05 have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.13. FSV Mainz 05 have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Bayer Leverkusen (fourth) and FSV Mainz 05 (fifth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayer Leverkusen the stronger side, 196 rating points above FSV Mainz 05 (Bayer Leverkusen 1815, FSV Mainz 05 1619, after at least 312 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 October 2026, finished FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen.

Team news

Predicted Bayer Leverkusen XI (4-2-3-1): M. Flekken, E. Tapsoba, M. Gutiérrez, F. Medina, J. Quansah, A. García, I. Maza, A. Moreira, E. Fernández, M. Diaby, P. Schick — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Patrik Schick (6.4 per match over nine appearances, nine goals and two assists) and Ibrahim Maza (5.8 per match over eight appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Bayer Leverkusen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayer Leverkusen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Patrik Schick averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 810 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ibrahim Maza averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1157 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted FSV Mainz 05 XI (3-5-2): A. Schwolow, F. Gruber, S. Posch, K. Potulski, N. Amiri, K. Sano, P. Mwene, A. Caci, L. Jae-Sung, P. Tietz, S. Becker — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Phillip Tietz (6.9 per match over seven appearances, nine goals) and Nadiem Amiri (5.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and three assists) have been FSV Mainz 05’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FSV Mainz 05 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Phillip Tietz averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 614 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances. Nadiem Amiri averages 3.3 key passes per 90 over 761 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · BayArena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bayer Leverkusen 4 · draws 2 · FSV Mainz 05 0 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bayer Leverkusen 5W 0D 0L · FSV Mainz 05 3W 0D 2L

Bayer Leverkusen v FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.75 / 3.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.88 / 5.13
Corners
against 3.25 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.88 / 7.13
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBayer Leverkusen for / againstLineFSV Mainz 05 for / against
Goals scored
2.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
3.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
19.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
19.5standard
18.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
7.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Christian Kofane n 831.9
3.25/3
1.42/1
—
M. Tillman n 856.1
37/5
1.45/2
—
Lucas Vázquez n 838.5
1.84/2
2.64/2
—
I. Maza n 884.8
1.77/3
0.95/2
—
G. Doué n 871.8
1.77/3
1.34/3
—
Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Boniface n 831.8
4.66/4
2.15/1
P. Schick n 870.4
48/7
1.97/4
Christian Kofane n 831.9
3.96/4
1.43/1
N. Tella n 855
3.17/3
1.86/2
I. Maza n 884.8
2.77/6
0.73/2
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Schick n 870.4
1.37/1
0.32/0
Christian Kofane n 831.9
1.13/0
0.41/0
I. Maza n 884.8
0.43/0
0.43/0
N. Tella n 855
0.42/0
0.42/0
M. Tillman n 856.1
0.63/0
00/0
Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Fernández n 853.9
4.46/4
L. Badé n 865
2.47/4
E. Ben Seghir n 814.5
2.32/1
G. Doué n 871.8
26/3
I. Maza n 884.8
1.66/4
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Flekken n 890
2.15/5
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Tietz n 887.3
2.36/5
1.25/2
—
K. Potulski n 869.8
2.35/4
0.64/0
—
L. Maloney n 87.1
1.61/0
00/0
—
F. Gruber n 885
1.55/3
0.11/0
—
E. Martel n 868.6
1.55/3
0.84/1
—
FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Tietz n 887.3
3.48/8
1.98/5
R. Königsdörffer n 831.9
3.25/3
1.13/0
S. Becker n 872.3
2.66/5
25/5
B. Hollerbach n 848.4
2.66/2
1.23/2
W. Bøving n 822.8
2.54/1
0.51/0
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Tietz n 887.3
1.36/2
0.11/0
S. Becker n 872.3
0.53/0
0.52/1
A. Caci n 867.1
0.31/1
0.53/0
N. Amiri n 887.5
0.31/1
0.42/1
B. Hollerbach n 848.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Ruoppi n 852.6
2.64/4
P. Mwene n 888
2.48/5
A. Caci n 867.1
2.25/3
S. Posch n 889.8
2.17/4
B. Hollerbach n 848.4
2.16/1
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Schwolow n 890
2.96/4
R. Zentner n 881.8
2.96/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bayer Leverkusen v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bayer LeverkusenWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
FSV Mainz 05WLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bayer Leverkusen 4 · 2 draws · FSV Mainz 05 0 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-10-10 FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2026-02-28 Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2025-10-18 FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2025-05-17 FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2025-01-14 Bayer Leverkusen 1–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2024-02-23 Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 FSV Mainz 05
League standing · 2026/27
Bayer Leverkusen#4 pos13 pts6 pl+7 GD
FSV Mainz 05#5 pos10 pts6 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Bayer Leverkusen scored2.67
FSV Mainz 05 scored2.33
Bayer Leverkusen conceded1.5
FSV Mainz 05 conceded1.67

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Bayer Leverkusen and FSV Mainz 05?
In their last 6 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 4, FSV Mainz 05 won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayer Leverkusen and FSV Mainz 05?
Recent form — Bayer Leverkusen 5W 0D 0L; FSV Mainz 05 3W 0D 2L.

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