Borussia Dortmund v FSV Mainz 05 prediction

Bundesliga · · Signal Iduna Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Borussia Dortmund · FSV Mainz 05 · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Borussia Dortmund v FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga on Sat, 09 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Borussia Dortmund host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 9 January (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

Borussia Dortmund have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

FSV Mainz 05 have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Borussia Dortmund have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 1.14. Borussia Dortmund have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Nine of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, FSV Mainz 05 have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.13. FSV Mainz 05 have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Borussia Dortmund are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Borussia Dortmund (second) and FSV Mainz 05 (fifth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Borussia Dortmund the stronger side, 196 rating points above FSV Mainz 05 (Borussia Dortmund 1814, FSV Mainz 05 1619, after at least 312 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in the last three meetings with FSV Mainz 05. The most recent meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 4–0 FSV Mainz 05.

Team news

Predicted Borussia Dortmund XI (3-4-2-1): G. Kobel, W. Anton, K. Gadou, N. Schlotterbeck, J. Bellingham, D. Svensson, F. Nmecha, J. Ryerson, J. Veerman, M. Sabitzer, S. Guirassy — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nico Schlotterbeck (6.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Waldemar Anton (4.8 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) have been Borussia Dortmund’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Borussia Dortmund (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nico Schlotterbeck averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 932 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Waldemar Anton averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 1131 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted FSV Mainz 05 XI (3-5-2): A. Schwolow, F. Gruber, S. Posch, K. Potulski, N. Amiri, K. Sano, P. Mwene, A. Caci, L. Jae-Sung, P. Tietz, S. Becker — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Phillip Tietz (6.9 per match over seven appearances, nine goals) and Nadiem Amiri (5.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and three assists) have been FSV Mainz 05’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FSV Mainz 05 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Phillip Tietz averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 614 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances. Nadiem Amiri averages 3.3 key passes per 90 over 761 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Signal Iduna Park
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Borussia Dortmund 3 · draws 1 · FSV Mainz 05 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Borussia Dortmund 2W 2D 1L · FSV Mainz 05 3W 0D 2L

Borussia Dortmund v FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 3.13
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.75 / 5.13
Corners
against 5 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 7.13
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBorussia Dortmund for / againstLineFSV Mainz 05 for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
3.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
7.75 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
16.5 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
18.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
7.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Konstantinos Karetsas n 850.8
26/2
1.65/2
—
M. Albert n 731.7
24/1
2.44/2
—
C. Chukwuemeka n 827.6
25/0
2.95/2
—
Joey Veerman n 859.5
1.96/4
0.42/0
—
J. Ryerson n 867.6
1.77/3
14/2
—
Borussia Dortmund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Fábio Silva n 841.1
36/2
1.94/2
S. Guirassy n 880.1
2.78/6
1.55/4
M. Sabitzer n 840.4
2.23/2
0.61/1
S. Inacio n 854.8
2.14/3
1.24/2
E. Nwaneri n 853.3
2.16/3
1.34/2
Borussia Dortmund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fábio Silva n 841.1
0.83/0
0.52/0
S. Guirassy n 880.1
0.63/1
0.32/0
S. Inacio n 854.8
0.62/1
00/0
M. Sabitzer n 840.4
00/0
0.62/0
F. Nmecha n 868.5
0.52/1
00/0
Borussia Dortmund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kauã Prates n 824.4
4.25/3
N. Schlotterbeck n 882.8
37/4
W. Anton n 890
2.97/6
J. Bellingham n 870.6
2.77/4
R. Bensebaïni n 869
2.44/4
Borussia Dortmund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Meyer n 890
2.64/4
G. Kobel n 890
1.44/1
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Tietz n 887.3
2.36/5
1.25/2
—
K. Potulski n 869.8
2.35/4
0.64/0
—
L. Maloney n 87.1
1.61/0
00/0
—
F. Gruber n 885
1.55/3
0.11/0
—
E. Martel n 868.6
1.55/3
0.84/1
—
FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Tietz n 887.3
3.48/8
1.98/5
R. Königsdörffer n 831.9
3.25/3
1.13/0
S. Becker n 872.3
2.66/5
25/5
B. Hollerbach n 848.4
2.66/2
1.23/2
W. Bøving n 822.8
2.54/1
0.51/0
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Tietz n 887.3
1.36/2
0.11/0
S. Becker n 872.3
0.53/0
0.52/1
A. Caci n 867.1
0.31/1
0.53/0
N. Amiri n 887.5
0.31/1
0.42/1
B. Hollerbach n 848.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Ruoppi n 852.6
2.64/4
P. Mwene n 888
2.48/5
A. Caci n 867.1
2.25/3
S. Posch n 889.8
2.17/4
B. Hollerbach n 848.4
2.16/1
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Schwolow n 890
2.96/4
R. Zentner n 881.8
2.96/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Borussia Dortmund v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Borussia DortmundWWDLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
FSV Mainz 05WLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Borussia Dortmund 3 · 1 draw · FSV Mainz 05 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2025-09-27 FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2024-11-09 FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2024-05-11 FSV Mainz 05 3–0 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2023-12-19 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FSV Mainz 05
League standing · 2026/27
Borussia Dortmund#2 pos14 pts6 pl+7 GD
FSV Mainz 05#5 pos10 pts6 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Borussia Dortmund scored1.83
FSV Mainz 05 scored2.33
Borussia Dortmund conceded0.67
FSV Mainz 05 conceded1.67

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Dortmund and FSV Mainz 05?
In their last 6 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 3, FSV Mainz 05 won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Borussia Dortmund and FSV Mainz 05?
Recent form — Borussia Dortmund 2W 2D 1L; FSV Mainz 05 3W 0D 2L.

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