Borussia Dortmund v SC Freiburg prediction

Bundesliga · · Signal Iduna Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Borussia Dortmund · SC Freiburg · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Borussia Dortmund v SC Freiburg, Bundesliga on Sat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Borussia Dortmund host SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga on Saturday 16 January (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

Borussia Dortmund have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

SC Freiburg have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in the last six meetings with SC Freiburg, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Borussia Dortmund have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 1.14. Borussia Dortmund have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

13 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 12 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, SC Freiburg have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.50. SC Freiburg have scored 15 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SC Freiburg have conceded six goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Borussia Dortmund (second) and SC Freiburg (third) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Borussia Dortmund the stronger side, 118 rating points above SC Freiburg (Borussia Dortmund 1814, SC Freiburg 1696, after at least 312 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 4–0 SC Freiburg.

Team news

Predicted Borussia Dortmund XI (3-4-2-1): G. Kobel, W. Anton, K. Gadou, N. Schlotterbeck, J. Bellingham, D. Svensson, F. Nmecha, J. Ryerson, J. Veerman, M. Sabitzer, S. Guirassy — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nico Schlotterbeck (6.0 per match over five appearances, one goal) and Serhou Guirassy (4.7 per match over 10 appearances, six goals and two assists) have been Borussia Dortmund’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Borussia Dortmund (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nico Schlotterbeck averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 1022 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Serhou Guirassy averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 794 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted SC Freiburg XI (4-2-3-1): M. Backhaus, M. Ginter, J. Makengo, P. Lienhart, P. Treu, M. Eggestein, Y. Engelhardt, D. Scherhant, J. Beste, Y. Suzuki, I. Matanović — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Igor Matanović (6.5 per match over 10 appearances, six goals and three assists) and Matthias Ginter (5.3 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been SC Freiburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Freiburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Igor Matanović averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 989 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Matthias Ginter averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 888 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Signal Iduna Park
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Borussia Dortmund 5 · draws 1 · SC Freiburg 0 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Borussia Dortmund 2W 2D 1L · SC Freiburg 3W 1D 1L

Borussia Dortmund v SC Freiburg (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 2.75
Goals
against 1 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.75 / 5.38
Corners
against 5.25 / 2.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBorussia Dortmund for / againstLineSC Freiburg for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
2.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.75 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
Shots
14.75 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
18.63 for · 8.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Konstantinos Karetsas n 850.8
26/2
1.65/2
—
M. Albert n 731.7
24/1
2.44/2
—
Fábio Silva n 841
1.95/2
1.44/1
—
S. Guirassy n 880.1
1.56/4
1.36/2
—
F. Nmecha n 868
1.56/3
2.66/5
—
Borussia Dortmund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Guirassy n 880.1
3.58/6
1.85/4
Fábio Silva n 841
36/2
1.94/2
M. Sabitzer n 841.8
2.23/2
0.51/1
S. Inacio n 854.8
2.14/3
1.24/2
E. Nwaneri n 849.5
25/3
1.44/2
Borussia Dortmund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Guirassy n 880.1
0.73/2
0.32/0
Fábio Silva n 841
0.52/0
0.52/0
S. Inacio n 854.8
0.62/1
00/0
F. Nmecha n 868
0.52/1
00/0
Joey Veerman n 862.6
00/0
0.53/0
Borussia Dortmund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kauã Prates n 824.4
4.25/3
W. Anton n 890
2.67/6
N. Schlotterbeck n 882.8
2.47/3
R. Bensebaïni n 866.8
2.44/3
J. Bellingham n 861.8
2.46/3
Borussia Dortmund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Kobel n 890
1.85/2
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Goto n 823.6
3.86/1
12/0
—
Cyriaque Kalou Irié n 834.1
2.35/1
12/1
—
D. Scherhant n 879.3
2.18/5
15/2
—
I. Matanović n 865
1.76/3
1.98/3
—
Y. Engelhardt n 874.8
1.56/3
1.26/1
—
SC Freiburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Cyriaque Kalou Irié n 834.1
45/3
12/1
I. Matanović n 865
2.98/5
1.45/3
V. Grifo n 831.6
2.84/3
1.83/1
D. Scherhant n 879.3
2.47/3
0.94/2
L. Höler n 832.6
2.45/2
12/1
SC Freiburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Grifo n 831.6
0.41/0
0.41/0
M. Eggestein n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
D. Scherhant n 879.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
Y. Suzuki n 877.3
0.62/1
00/0
L. Kübler n 840.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
SC Freiburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Rosenfelder n 860.9
3.76/5
Berkay Yilmaz n 859.8
36/4
P. Treu n 875.1
2.27/5
I. Ogbus n 844.5
25/1
M. Ginter n 888.5
1.46/2
SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Backhaus n 890
1.13/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Borussia Dortmund v SC Freiburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Borussia DortmundWDLDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
SC FreiburgWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Borussia Dortmund 5 · 1 draw · SC Freiburg 0 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 SC Freiburg
  • 2025-12-14 SC Freiburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2025-04-05 SC Freiburg 1–4 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2024-11-23 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 SC Freiburg
  • 2024-02-09 Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SC Freiburg
  • 2023-09-16 SC Freiburg 2–4 Borussia Dortmund
League standing · 2026/27
Borussia Dortmund#2 pos14 pts6 pl+7 GD
SC Freiburg#3 pos13 pts6 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Borussia Dortmund scored1.83
SC Freiburg scored2.5
Borussia Dortmund conceded0.67
SC Freiburg conceded1

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Dortmund and SC Freiburg?
In their last 6 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 5, SC Freiburg won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Borussia Dortmund and SC Freiburg?
Recent form — Borussia Dortmund 2W 2D 1L; SC Freiburg 3W 1D 1L.

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