Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim prediction

Bundesliga · · BORUSSIA-PARK

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 16:30 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.38 at Betvictor
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Borussia Mönchengladbach host 1899 Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 16:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Borussia Mönchengladbach have lost their last five matches. Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded 18 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

1899 Hoffenheim have lost their last four matches.

Form and the table

10 of Borussia Mönchengladbach’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Borussia Mönchengladbach’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Borussia Mönchengladbach have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.57 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.57. Borussia Mönchengladbach have scored seven goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

13 of 1899 Hoffenheim’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 11 of 1899 Hoffenheim’s last 15 results (73%). Away from home, 1899 Hoffenheim have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.14. 1899 Hoffenheim have scored nine goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1899 Hoffenheim have conceded 13 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Borussia Mönchengladbach (18th) and 1899 Hoffenheim (17th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have 1899 Hoffenheim the stronger side, 42 rating points above Borussia Mönchengladbach (1899 Hoffenheim 1409, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1368, after at least 311 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 1899 Hoffenheim.

Team news

Borussia Mönchengladbach have eight names on the availability list: E. Leopold (out, Knee Injury), F. Fleck (out, Muscle Injury), F. Honorat (out, Muscle Injury), J. Castrop (out, Shoulder Injury), J. Leszczynski (out, Knee Injury), K. Itakura (out, Ankle Injury) and two more — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-18. Predicted Borussia Mönchengladbach XI (3-4-2-1): M. Nicolas, K. Diks, J. Scally, D. Hashioka, P. Sander, H. Bolin, W. Mohya, L. Ullrich, R. Hack, K. Stöger, I. Lidberg — derived from the last 5 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, H. Bolin (5.8 per match over six appearances, four goals and one assist) and Lukas Ullrich (4.6 per match over five appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Borussia Mönchengladbach’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Borussia Mönchengladbach (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), H. Bolin averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 484 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances. Lukas Ullrich averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 388 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last five appearances.

1899 Hoffenheim have three names on the availability list: A. Hajdari (out, Foot Injury), Bernardo (out, Red Card) and P. Wimmer (out, Thigh Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-18. Predicted 1899 Hoffenheim XI (4-4-2): O. Baumann, O. Kabak, V. Coufal, M. Rots, K. Machida, L. Avdullahu, W. Burger, A. Daghim, B. Conté, T. Lemperle, A. Hložek — derived from the last 5 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Adam Daghim (4.5 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) and Bambasé Conté (4.3 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) have been 1899 Hoffenheim’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for 1899 Hoffenheim (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Adam Daghim averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 591 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Bambasé Conté averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 505 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · BORUSSIA-PARK
  • Referee: Soren Storks
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 · draws 1 · 1899 Hoffenheim 2 · 5.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Borussia Mönchengladbach 0W 0D 5L · 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 4L

TACTIX runs Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 1.88
Goals
against 2.63 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 8
Corners
against 5 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 7.38 / 4.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.25 / 0.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBorussia Mönchengladbach for / againstLine1899 Hoffenheim for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5our book
1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
8 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
17.13 for · 15.5 against n 8
19.5standard
19.38 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 7.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.38 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
14.25 for · 8.5 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Machino n 827.8
4.16/2
1.64/0
—
T. Kleindienst n 842.1
2.95/4
0.31/0
—
M. Nguefack n 342
2.11/1
0.71/0
—
P. Sander n 889.5
1.86/4
0.54/0
—
Y. Engelhardt n 876.4
1.86/4
1.26/1
—
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Lidberg n 860.8
3.75/4
1.74/4
H. Bolin n 868.9
2.96/4
2.56/4
T. Kleindienst n 842.1
1.64/1
0.83/0
S. Machino n 827.8
1.63/1
0.41/0
P. Sander n 889.5
1.45/4
0.53/1
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Bolin n 868.9
0.83/2
0.21/0
R. Reitz n 860
0.21/0
0.63/0
F. Honorat n 852.9
00/0
0.62/1
R. Hack n 843.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
L. Ullrich n 867.6
0.21/0
0.31/1
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Reitz n 860
2.64/4
J. Scally n 856.5
2.46/2
T. Kleindienst n 842.1
2.46/2
P. Sander n 889.5
2.17/5
D. Herold n 864
2.18/3
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Nicolas n 890
4.87/7
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Lemperle n 860.6
3.37/4
00/0
—
P. Wimmer n 863.9
36/5
1.65/3
—
K. Machida n 868
2.86/6
0.21/0
—
A. Hajdari n 875.3
2.58/5
0.42/1
—
O. Kabak n 888
2.48/5
0.93/3
—
1899 Hoffenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Max Moerstedt n 821.9
4.13/2
3.13/2
B. Conté n 846.1
2.76/4
1.25/0
A. Hložek n 864
2.57/2
0.53/0
F. Asllani n 837.9
2.45/2
1.24/0
T. Lemperle n 860.6
25/3
1.15/1
1899 Hoffenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Max Moerstedt n 821.9
0.51/0
0.51/0
V. Gendrey n 811
11/0
00/0
F. Asllani n 837.9
0.62/0
0.31/0
A. Daghim n 859.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
A. Hložek n 864
00/0
0.42/0
1899 Hoffenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bernardo n 870.3
2.77/4
A. Daghim n 859.4
2.56/3
B. Conté n 846.1
2.46/3
L. Avdullahu n 881.4
2.17/4
P. Wimmer n 863.9
2.17/3
1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Baumann n 890
2.36/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Borussia MönchengladbachLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 1.4 scored / 3.6 conceded per game
1899 HoffenheimWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 · 1 draw · 1899 Hoffenheim 2 · 5.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-16 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2026-01-14 1899 Hoffenheim 5–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2025-05-03 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–4 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2024-12-21 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2024-04-20 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 Borussia Monchengladbach
  • 2023-12-02 Borussia Monchengladbach 2–1 1899 Hoffenheim
League standing · 2026/27
Borussia Mönchengladbach#18 pos0 pts5 pl-11 GD
1899 Hoffenheim#17 pos3 pts5 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Borussia Mönchengladbach scored1.4
1899 Hoffenheim scored1.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach conceded3.6
1899 Hoffenheim conceded2.6

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.38 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1899 Hoffenheim?
In their last 6 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 3, 1899 Hoffenheim won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 5.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1899 Hoffenheim?
Recent form — Borussia Mönchengladbach 0W 0D 5L; 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 0D 4L.

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