Borussia Mönchengladbach v SC Paderborn 07 prediction

Bundesliga · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 14:30 GMT · BORUSSIA-PARK

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 06:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Borussia Mönchengladbach · SC Paderborn 07

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Borussia Mönchengladbach v SC Paderborn 07, Bundesliga on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 14:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.55 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 586 landed (95% range 63.2–70.7%); it had given them 76.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 479 of 729 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Borussia Mönchengladbach host SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 14:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded 22 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Borussia Mönchengladbach have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Borussia Mönchengladbach’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Borussia Mönchengladbach’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Borussia Mönchengladbach have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.57. Borussia Mönchengladbach have scored 11 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Eight of SC Paderborn 07’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of SC Paderborn 07’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, SC Paderborn 07 have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.71. SC Paderborn 07 have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SC Paderborn 07 have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Borussia Mönchengladbach (18th) and SC Paderborn 07 (13th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have SC Paderborn 07 the stronger side, 118 rating points above Borussia Mönchengladbach (SC Paderborn 07 1521, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1403, after at least 43 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 20 June 2020, finished SC Paderborn 07 1–3 Borussia Monchengladbach.

Team news

Predicted Borussia Mönchengladbach XI (4-4-2): M. Nicolas, K. Diks, F. Chiarodia, P. Sander, D. Hashioka, Z. Uno, J. Scally, H. Bolin, W. Mohya, S. Machino, I. Lidberg — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, H. Bolin (4.5 per match over nine appearances, four goals and one assist) and Lukas Ullrich (4.3 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Borussia Mönchengladbach’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Borussia Mönchengladbach (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), H. Bolin averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 691 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Lukas Ullrich averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 613 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last eight appearances.

Predicted SC Paderborn 07 XI (3-1-4-2): N. Noll, J. ter Horst, T. Scheller, M. Hansen, S. Castañeda, L. Curda, R. Obermair, L. Ulrich, G. Vidovic, S. Marino, M. Pieringer — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Santiago Castañeda (5.2 per match over nine appearances, two goals) and Jano ter Horst (3.9 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been SC Paderborn 07’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Paderborn 07 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Santiago Castañeda averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 810 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances. Jano ter Horst averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 759 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 14:30 GMT · Bundesliga · BORUSSIA-PARK
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 · draws 0 · SC Paderborn 07 0 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2W 0D 3L · SC Paderborn 07 2W 1D 2L

Borussia Mönchengladbach v SC Paderborn 07 (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.75

Goals

against 2.75 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.25 / 4.5

Corners

against 5.63 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 3.63

Shots on target

against 7.75 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3.13 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Borussia Mönchengladbach for / against	Line	SC Paderborn 07 for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.88 for · 17.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.38 for · 17.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.63 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.75 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach Goalkeeper

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Nicolas	8	90720 min	374.6 /90	202.5 /90	00 /90
D. Batz	1	9090 min	44 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Nicolas n 8	90	4.6 7/7

Borussia Mönchengladbach Defensive

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Ullrich	8	77613 min	121.8 /90	152.2 /90	10.1 /90	304.4 /90	111.6 /90	20.3 /90
K. Diks	7	90630 min	60.9 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	304.3 /90	50.7 /90	40.6 /90
K. Itakura	5	77387 min	30.7 /90	51.2 /90	20.5 /90	122.8 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90
D. Hashioka	5	73366 min	51.2 /90	61.5 /90	10.2 /90	225.4 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
D. Herold	4	58233 min	72.7 /90	10.4 /90	31.2 /90	135 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Sander n 8	83.6	2.2 8/4	0.4 3/0	—
H. Bolin n 8	75.8	1.3 6/2	1.9 7/3	—
M. Nicolas n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
L. Ullrich n 8	76.6	1.6 6/4	1 3/2	—
W. Mohya n 8	57.3	1 4/1	0.8 4/0	—
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Sander n 8	83.6	2.4 6/5
H. Bolin n 8	75.8	1.6 5/3
L. Ullrich n 8	76.6	1.8 5/5
W. Mohya n 8	57.3	1.4 4/3
R. Hack n 8	50	1.1 4/1
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Borussia Mönchengladbach Attacking

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Machino	7	44306 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	61.8 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
I. Lidberg	6	57344 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	102.6 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
T. Kleindienst	3	73219 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90
N. Kühn	1	2121 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	28.6 /90	00 /90
P. Sander	9	84759 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	101.2 /90	30.4 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Sander n 8	83.6	0.9 4/2	0.3 1/1
H. Bolin n 8	75.8	1.3 5/3	0.9 4/2
M. Nicolas n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Ullrich n 8	76.6	0.9 5/1	0.4 3/0
W. Mohya n 8	57.3	2.2 6/2	1.2 5/1
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Sander n 8	83.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Bolin n 8	75.8	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
M. Nicolas n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Ullrich n 8	76.6	0.3 2/0	0.3 1/1
W. Mohya n 8	57.3	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
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SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 Goalkeeper

SC Paderborn 07 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Noll	7	90630 min	294.1 /90	91.3 /90	00 /90
M. Schubert	2	90180 min	84 /90	21 /90	00 /90

SC Paderborn 07 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Noll n 7	90	4.1 5/5
M. Schubert n 4	91.3	3.2 4/3

SC Paderborn 07 Defensive

SC Paderborn 07 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. ter Horst	9	84759 min	172 /90	192.3 /90	80.9 /90	404.7 /90	131.5 /90	20.2 /90
T. Scheller	9	81730 min	192.3 /90	60.7 /90	91.1 /90	516.3 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90
M. Hansen	9	75676 min	162.1 /90	162.1 /90	60.8 /90	395.2 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90
F. Götze	3	44133 min	32 /90	53.4 /90	10.7 /90	96.1 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
Jonah Benedict Sticker	3	39117 min	32.3 /90	21.5 /90	10.8 /90	107.7 /90	21.5 /90	00 /90
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SC Paderborn 07 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Castañeda n 8	90	0.8 5/1	2.1 7/5	—
J. ter Horst n 8	83.6	1.5 5/3	0.5 3/1	—
L. Curda n 8	80.5	2 6/4	1.1 5/2	—
T. Scheller n 8	80	0.8 4/1	0.7 3/2	—
M. Hansen n 8	74.9	0.5 3/0	0.9 4/2	—
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SC Paderborn 07 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Castañeda n 8	90	2 7/4
J. ter Horst n 8	83.6	2.2 8/5
L. Curda n 8	80.5	2.5 6/5
T. Scheller n 8	80	2.3 7/5
M. Hansen n 8	74.9	2.1 6/3
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SC Paderborn 07 Attacking

SC Paderborn 07 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Tigges	9	37333 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	164.3 /90	51.4 /90	41.1 /90	30.8 /90
S. Marino	8	66526 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	101.7 /90	61 /90	40.7 /90	20.3 /90
M. Pieringer	8	61487 min	00 /90	00 /90	91.7 /90	10.2 /90	50.9 /90	20.4 /90
R. Philippe	5	25126 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	64.3 /90	42.9 /90	32.1 /90	10.7 /90
A. Millgramm	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90	00 /90
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SC Paderborn 07 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Castañeda n 8	90	1.6 7/4	0.8 5/1
J. ter Horst n 8	83.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
L. Curda n 8	80.5	1.1 5/2	0.1 1/0
T. Scheller n 8	80	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Hansen n 8	74.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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SC Paderborn 07 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Castañeda n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. ter Horst n 8	83.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Curda n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
T. Scheller n 8	80	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Hansen n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Borussia Mönchengladbach v SC Paderborn 07 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Borussia MönchengladbachLLLWW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game

SC Paderborn 07WLDWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 · 0 draws · SC Paderborn 07 0 · 3 goals/game

2020-06-20 SC Paderborn 07 1–3 Borussia Monchengladbach
2019-12-18 Borussia Monchengladbach 2–0 SC Paderborn 07

League standing · 2026/27

Borussia Mönchengladbach#18 pos3 pts7 pl-11 GD

SC Paderborn 07#13 pos8 pts7 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Borussia Mönchengladbach scored1.57

SC Paderborn 07 scored0.86

Borussia Mönchengladbach conceded3.14

SC Paderborn 07 conceded1.29

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Borussia Mönchengladbach v SC Paderborn 07?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Borussia Mönchengladbach v SC Paderborn 07 is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.55 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Mönchengladbach and SC Paderborn 07?: In their last 2 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 2, SC Paderborn 07 won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Borussia Mönchengladbach and SC Paderborn 07?: Recent form — Borussia Mönchengladbach 2W 0D 3L; SC Paderborn 07 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 06:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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