This Matchweek

FC AugsburgFC Schalke 04

FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 result

Full-time · FC Augsburg 3–0 FC Schalke 04

Bundesliga · · WWK Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Augsburg 3–0 FC Schalke 04 — FC Augsburg won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 491 landed (95% range 64.4–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said FC Augsburg: 5.54 to 1.84 in expected goals, from 24 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 19th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

FC Augsburg beat FC Schalke 04 3–0 at WWK Arena in the Bundesliga on Sunday 30 August.

The goals

FC Augsburg led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — FC Augsburg: Michael Gregoritsch (18’, assisted by Anton Kade), Anton Kade (79’, assisted by Fabian Rieder) and Rodrigo Ribeiro (90’, assisted by Seol Young-Woo). Ron Schallenberg (62’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Michael Gregoritsch’s goal on 18 minutes.

Discipline

Sascha Stegemann, Germany showed one yellow card and one red — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Augsburg: Fabian Rieder (22’).

What it changes

FC Augsburg are third (shared) after this result (one league match played).

FC Schalke 04 are 16th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Anton Kade (FC Augsburg) 9.3, Michael Gregoritsch (FC Augsburg) 6.5 and Fabian Rieder (FC Augsburg) 6.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

FC Augsburg are unbeaten in the last three meetings with FC Schalke 04.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (337 of 491).

Next up

FC Augsburg next host FSV Mainz 05 on 21 November 2026.

FC Schalke 04 next host VfB Stuttgart on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Augsburg: FC Augsburg v FSV Mainz 05, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for FC Schalke 04: FC Schalke 04 v VfB Stuttgart, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: FC Augsburg 3–0 FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga
  • Venue: WWK Arena · Augsburg
  • Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
  • Model coverage: 18 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Augsburg 3 · draws 2 · FC Schalke 04 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Augsburg 3W 1D 1L · FC Schalke 04 4W 0D 1L

FC Augsburg 3–0 FC Schalke 04 (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 18 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.88 / 3.57
Corners
against 6.63 / 4.29 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.5 / 5.14
Shots on target
against 6 / 2.86 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.13 / 2
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.27 yellows
Referee · Sascha Stegemann, Germany
20.18 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
18
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Augsburg for / againstLineFC Schalke 04 for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 6.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.57 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
15.38 for · 19.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.71 for · 8.57 against n 7
Shots on target
5.5 for · 6 against n 8
8.5standard
5.14 for · 2.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9 for · 10.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.43 against n 7

Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany — 3.27 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 20.18 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg Goalkeeper

FC Augsburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Dahmen19090 min66 /90–00 /90
FC Augsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Dahmen n 890
4.68/7

FC Augsburg Defensive

FC Augsburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Matsima19090 min11 /9033 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Schlotterbeck19090 min22 /9033 /9000 /9077 /9022 /9011 /90
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /9055 /9022 /9000 /90
Hennes Behrens19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
M. Wolf19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
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FC Augsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks n 870.4
1.44/3
0.63/1
—
K. Schlotterbeck n 880.6
15/2
14/3
—
M. Wolf n 855.1
14/1
00/0
—
R. Fellhauer n 883.8
0.53/1
0.43/0
—
C. Matsima n 884.5
0.43/0
00/0
—
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FC Augsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Schlotterbeck n 880.6
26/5
M. Wolf n 855.1
24/3
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks n 870.4
1.35/2
C. Matsima n 884.5
1.26/2
R. Fellhauer n 883.8
0.84/2
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FC Augsburg Attacking

FC Augsburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Kade18989 min11 /9000 /9077.1 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Rieder17777 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /9033.5 /9000 /90
Michael Gregoritsch17777 min00 /9011.2 /9022.3 /9000 /9033.5 /9000 /90
Hennes Behrens19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9022 /90
M. Wolf19090 min00 /9000 /9044 /9033 /9011 /9011 /90
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FC Augsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Wolf n 855.1
1.65/1
0.82/1
R. Fellhauer n 883.8
0.72/1
0.42/1
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks n 870.4
0.52/1
0.21/0
K. Schlotterbeck n 880.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
C. Matsima n 884.5
0.32/0
00/0
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FC Augsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Fellhauer n 883.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks n 870.4
00/0
0.21/0
M. Wolf n 855.1
00/0
0.21/0
F. Dahmen n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Matsima n 884.5
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC AugsburgFC Schalke 04
48%Possession52%
3.72Expected goals (xG)2.10
24Shots11
13Shots on target5
6Shots off target5
5Blocked shots1
18Shots inside the box7
11Corners3
3Offsides2
5Fouls6
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
4Saves10
415Passes469
77%Pass accuracy73%

FC Augsburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Dahmen9000000008.2
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks9000101207
C. Matsima9000001107.7
H. Massengo9000004007
Hennes Behrens9000001106.3
A. Kade9011542009.7
C. Brackelmann8900201307.6
M. Wolf8900117208.6
F. Rieder83012222Y7.3
Michael Gregoritsch8310431007.5
R. Fellhauer7600110006.2
M. Kömür sub1400110007
Y. Keitel sub1100000006.7
Rodrigo Ribeiro sub1110210007.2
Seol Young-Woo sub10100100–
J. Gouweleeuw sub10000000–

FC Schalke 04 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Karius9000000008.2
T. Becker9000000206.3
S. El-Faouzi9000002306.6
D. Ljubičić9000111006.7
M. Sylla9000322006.2
A. Aouchiche8600213006.7
N. Katić7600001207.3
H. Kuruçay6200000206.5
J. Adamu6200201006.2
R. Schallenberg62001101R6.3
Vitalie Becker6200001006.9
Maximilian Wöber sub2800000005.3
R. Gosens sub2800100005.9
J. Dina Ebimbe sub2800000006.2
E. Džeko sub1400000006.2
M. Ayhan sub800000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC AugsburgDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
FC Schalke 04WWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Augsburg 3 · 2 draws · FC Schalke 04 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2024-10-29 FC Augsburg 3–0 FC Schalke 04
  • 2023-03-18 FC Augsburg 1–1 FC Schalke 04
  • 2022-10-02 FC Schalke 04 2–3 FC Augsburg
  • 2021-04-11 FC Schalke 04 1–0 FC Augsburg
  • 2020-12-13 FC Augsburg 2–2 FC Schalke 04
  • 2020-05-24 FC Schalke 04 0–3 FC Augsburg
League standing · 2026/27
FC Augsburg#14 pos9 pts9 pl0 GD
FC Schalke 04#17 pos6 pts9 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
FC Augsburg scored2.22
FC Schalke 04 scored0.56
FC Augsburg conceded2.22
FC Schalke 04 conceded1.22

Shot Map and Expected Goals

FC Augsburg 5.54 xG from 24 shots, FC Schalke 04 1.84 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Anton Kade 28' · 0.59 xGNoahkai Banks 84' · 0.58 xGAnton Kade 19' · 0.57 xGMoussa Sylla 5' · 0.54 xGMoussa Sylla 33' · 0.53 xGRodrigo Ribeiro 86' · 0.46 xGMichael Gregoritsch 69' · 0.46 xGMert Kömür 81' · 0.43 xGAnton Kade 66' · 0.33 xGAnton Kade 46' · 0.30 xGRon Schallenberg 5' · 0.15 xGRobin Gosens 70' · 0.14 xGJunior Adamu 14' · 0.14 xGMarius Wolf 76' · 0.12 xGRobin Fellhauer 70' · 0.10 xGMoussa Sylla 32' · 0.10 xGAdil Aouchiche 40' · 0.10 xGRobin Fellhauer 73' · 0.09 xGNoahkai Banks 56' · 0.09 xGMichael Gregoritsch 74' · 0.07 xGAnton Kade 34' · 0.07 xGJunior Adamu 3' · 0.06 xGMichael Gregoritsch 63' · 0.06 xGCalvin Brackelmann 77' · 0.05 xGDejan Ljubicic 14' · 0.04 xGFabian Rieder 29' · 0.03 xGFabian Rieder 45' · 0.02 xGMarius Wolf 46' · 0.02 xGCalvin Brackelmann 68' · 0.02 xGMoussa Sylla 54' · 0.02 xGRobin Fellhauer 58' · 0.02 xGAdil Aouchiche 45' · 0.02 xGMichael Gregoritsch 17' · 0.91 xG · goalRodrigo Ribeiro 91' · 0.08 xG · goalAnton Kade 78' · 0.07 xG · goal
FC Augsburg (attacking right)FC Schalke 04 (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
FC Augsburg2435.54
FC Schalke 041101.84

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, FC Augsburg led on xG, 2.19 to 1.67. At full time, FC Augsburg led on xG, 5.54 to 1.84. The widest gap was 3.70 xG to FC Augsburg, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
5.52.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - FC Augsburg 17 minGoal - FC Augsburg 78 minGoal - FC Augsburg 91 min
FC Augsburg 5.54 xGFC Schalke 04 1.84 xGdots = goals · 35 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Augsburg and FC Schalke 04?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Augsburg won 3, FC Schalke 04 won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Augsburg and FC Schalke 04?
Recent form — FC Augsburg 3W 1D 1L; FC Schalke 04 4W 0D 1L.

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