This Matchweek

FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05

FC Schalke 04 v FSV Mainz 05 result

Full-time · FC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga · · Veltins Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Schalke 04 · FSV Mainz 05 · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05 — FSV Mainz 05 won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.67 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 491 landed (95% range 64.4–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said FSV Mainz 05: 1.57 to 0.41 in expected goals, from 10 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 0th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

FSV Mainz 05 won 1–0 at Veltins Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October. FSV Mainz 05 have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

FSV Mainz 05 led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — FSV Mainz 05: Phillip Tietz (24’, assisted by Anthony Caci).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Phillip Tietz’s goal on 24 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — FSV Mainz 05: Nadiem Amiri (42’) and Kaishu Sano (45’).

What it changes

FC Schalke 04 move down from 13th to 14th (six league matches played). FC Schalke 04 have scored four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). FC Schalke 04 have conceded seven goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

FSV Mainz 05 move up from seventh to fifth (six league matches played). FSV Mainz 05 have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 10 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs.

FC Schalke 04 are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Phillip Tietz (FSV Mainz 05) 6.6, Hasan Kuruçay (FC Schalke 04) 5.2 and Anthony Caci (FSV Mainz 05) 4.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

FC Schalke 04 are unbeaten in the last six meetings with FSV Mainz 05, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

FC Schalke 04 next host VfB Stuttgart on 21 November 2026.

FSV Mainz 05 next travel to FC Augsburg on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Schalke 04: FC Schalke 04 v VfB Stuttgart, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for FSV Mainz 05: FC Augsburg v FSV Mainz 05, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: FC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Veltins Arena · Gelsenkirchen
  • Referee: Richard Hempel, Germany
  • Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Schalke 04 3 · draws 3 · FSV Mainz 05 0 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Schalke 04 1W 2D 2L · FSV Mainz 05 2W 1D 2L

FC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 3.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.14 / 5.88
Corners
against 6.57 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.43 / 6.75
Shots on target
against 5.29 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.29 / 2
Cards
against 2.14 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
210
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Schalke 04 for / againstLineFSV Mainz 05 for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
3our book
3.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.14 for · 6.57 against n 7
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
11.57 for · 14.43 against n 7
19.5standard
19.38 for · 13.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.43 for · 5.29 against n 7
8.5standard
6.75 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.86 for · 9.57 against n 7
21.5standard
12 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.29 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Richard Hempel, Germany.

FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04 Goalkeeper

FC Schalke 04 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Karius590450 min265.2 /9061.2 /9000 /90
FC Schalke 04 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Karius n 890
3.96/4

FC Schalke 04 Defensive

FC Schalke 04 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Katić587436 min102.1 /9061.2 /9061.2 /90449.1 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
H. Kuruçay581406 min214.7 /9010.2 /9051.1 /90276 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
T. Becker483332 min133.5 /9041.1 /9051.4 /90267 /9000 /9000 /90
Maximilian Wöber438151 min53 /9031.8 /9000 /9074.2 /9021.2 /9000 /90
Vitalie Becker336107 min21.7 /9000 /9010.8 /9043.4 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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FC Schalke 04 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. El-Faouzi n 888.4
1.17/2
1.88/3
P. Mwene
L. Karius n 890
00/0
0.64/1
—
N. Katić n 879.3
1.15/2
0.74/1
—
H. Kuruçay n 883.4
0.84/1
0.11/0
—
R. Gosens n 566.6
0.83/0
1.63/2
N. Amiri
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FC Schalke 04 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. El-Faouzi n 888.4
2.37/5
N. Katić n 879.3
2.37/5
H. Kuruçay n 883.4
4.28/7
R. Gosens n 566.6
34/4
T. Becker n 884.9
3.68/8
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FC Schalke 04 Attacking

FC Schalke 04 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Aouchiche482329 min10.3 /9000 /9082.2 /9051.4 /9092.5 /9030.8 /90
M. Sylla472287 min00 /9000 /9041.3 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
K. Karaman387260 min10.3 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /9072.4 /9031 /90
J. Adamu370211 min00 /9010.4 /9041.7 /9020.9 /9031.3 /9000 /90
E. Džeko24283 min00 /9000 /9022.2 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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FC Schalke 04 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. El-Faouzi n 888.4
14/2
0.63/1
L. Karius n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Katić n 879.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
H. Kuruçay n 883.4
0.11/0
00/0
R. Gosens n 566.6
1.44/1
0.31/0
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FC Schalke 04 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Karius n 890
00/0
00/0
S. El-Faouzi n 888.4
00/0
00/0
N. Katić n 879.3
00/0
00/0
H. Kuruçay n 883.4
00/0
00/0
R. Gosens n 566.6
0.31/0
00/0
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FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 Goalkeeper

FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Schwolow390270 min82.7 /9072.3 /9000 /90
R. Zentner390270 min41.3 /9031 /9000 /90
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Zentner n 881.8
2.96/4
A. Schwolow n 390
2.72/2

FSV Mainz 05 Defensive

FSV Mainz 05 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Gruber690540 min122 /9081.3 /9061 /90366 /90101.7 /9000 /90
K. Potulski574368 min102.4 /9061.5 /9030.7 /90256.1 /9071.7 /9010.2 /90
D. da Costa545225 min52 /9031.2 /9020.8 /90135.2 /9010.4 /9000 /90
S. Posch490358 min82 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90215.3 /9061.5 /9010.3 /90
D. Kohr285170 min94.8 /9021.1 /9000 /90147.4 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Gruber n 690
1.74/3
00/0
—
N. Amiri n 886.5
0.54/0
17/1
R. Gosens
K. Sano n 888.6
0.84/2
14/4
—
P. Tietz n 886.3
2.26/4
1.35/3
—
P. Mwene n 888
16/2
1.78/2
S. El-Faouzi
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FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Gruber n 690
24/3
N. Amiri n 886.5
1.35/4
K. Sano n 888.6
1.16/2
P. Tietz n 886.3
0.43/0
P. Mwene n 888
1.97/4
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FSV Mainz 05 Attacking

FSV Mainz 05 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Tietz688525 min81.4 /9000 /90223.8 /90122.1 /9050.9 /9040.7 /90
S. Becker671425 min30.6 /9030.6 /90112.3 /9081.7 /90132.8 /9030.6 /90
R. Königsdörffer527137 min21.3 /9000 /9085.3 /9032 /9010.7 /9032 /90
B. Hollerbach11616 min00 /9000 /9015.6 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
W. Bøving11515 min16 /9000 /9016 /9016 /9000 /9000 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Gruber n 690
0.32/0
00/0
N. Amiri n 886.5
1.86/4
0.94/1
K. Sano n 888.6
0.84/2
0.32/0
P. Tietz n 886.3
3.17/7
1.77/4
P. Mwene n 888
0.64/1
0.32/0
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FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Gruber n 690
00/0
00/0
N. Amiri n 886.5
0.42/1
0.42/1
K. Sano n 888.6
00/0
0.32/0
P. Tietz n 886.3
1.25/2
0.11/0
P. Mwene n 888
0.11/0
0.42/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05
47%Possession53%
0.43Expected goals (xG)1.94
9Shots10
3Shots on target6
2Shots off target2
4Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box8
4Corners1
3Offsides7
12Fouls20
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves3
392Passes462
66%Pass accuracy73%

FC Schalke 04 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Karius9000000108.6
H. Kuruçay9000101207.2
K. Karaman9000111006.9
S. El-Faouzi9000000206.5
T. Becker9000001206.6
S. Tanaka9000110107.5
R. Gosens7900001306.9
A. Aouchiche7100000006.9
N. Katić7100000106.3
A. Gantenbein6000100206.5
E. Džeko6000000006.5
Hwang Hee-Chan sub3000110106.5
J. Dina Ebimbe sub3000000306.3
Maximilian Wöber sub1900001006.6
J. Adamu sub1900000106.9
Vitalie Becker sub1100000006.6

FSV Mainz 05 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Sano90000023Y7.2
K. Potulski9000000107.3
S. Posch9000000307.3
P. Mwene9000000107.3
D. da Costa9000000206.9
A. Schwolow9000000007.6
P. Tietz8910221007.6
A. Caci8901001107.2
N. Amiri86001010Y6.7
Lee Jae-Sung7600111307.3
S. Becker7600431107.2
R. Königsdörffer sub1400000006.7
P. Nebel sub1400000006.7
E. Martel sub900000006.7
L. Maloney sub10000000–
S. Widmer sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Schalke 04 v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC Schalke 04LDWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FSV Mainz 05DWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Schalke 04 3 · 3 draws · FSV Mainz 05 0 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2023-05-05 FSV Mainz 05 2–3 FC Schalke 04
  • 2022-11-09 FC Schalke 04 1–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2021-03-05 FC Schalke 04 0–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2020-11-07 FSV Mainz 05 2–2 FC Schalke 04
  • 2020-02-16 FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC Schalke 04
  • 2019-09-20 FC Schalke 04 2–1 FSV Mainz 05
League standing · 2026/27
FC Schalke 04#17 pos6 pts9 pl-6 GD
FSV Mainz 05#12 pos10 pts9 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
FC Schalke 04 scored0.56
FSV Mainz 05 scored2
FC Schalke 04 conceded1.22
FSV Mainz 05 conceded2.11

Shot Map and Expected Goals

FC Schalke 04 0.41 xG from 9 shots, FSV Mainz 05 1.57 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Sheraldo Becker 0' · 0.31 xGSheraldo Becker 0' · 0.28 xGHee-Chan Hwang 84' · 0.18 xGPhillip Tietz 88' · 0.13 xGSheraldo Becker 68' · 0.13 xGJae-Sung Lee 0' · 0.12 xGPhillip Tietz 34' · 0.11 xGJae-Sung Lee 48' · 0.07 xGSatoshi Tanaka 73' · 0.05 xGAdrian Gantenbein 19' · 0.04 xGKenan Karaman 5' · 0.03 xGHasan Kuruçay 76' · 0.03 xGEric Junior Dina Ebimbe 62' · 0.03 xGSheraldo Becker 31' · 0.03 xGNadiem Amiri 85' · 0.02 xGAdrian Gantenbein 15' · 0.02 xGSoufiane El-Faouzi 80' · 0.02 xGKenan Karaman 77' · 0.01 xGPhillip Tietz 23' · 0.38 xG · goal
FC Schalke 04 (attacking right)FSV Mainz 05 (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
FC Schalke 04900.41
FSV Mainz 051011.57

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, FSV Mainz 05 led on xG, 1.22 to 0.09. At full time, FSV Mainz 05 led on xG, 1.57 to 0.41. The widest gap was 1.29 xG to FSV Mainz 05, in the 68th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - FSV Mainz 05 23 min
FC Schalke 04 0.41 xGFSV Mainz 05 1.57 xGdots = goals · 19 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Schalke 04 v FSV Mainz 05?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Schalke 04 v FSV Mainz 05 was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Schalke 04 and FSV Mainz 05?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Schalke 04 won 3, FSV Mainz 05 won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Schalke 04 and FSV Mainz 05?
Recent form — FC Schalke 04 1W 2D 2L; FSV Mainz 05 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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