FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München prediction

Bundesliga · · Mewa Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FSV Mainz 05 · Bayern München · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Bundesliga on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

FSV Mainz 05 host Bayern München in the Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

Bayern München have scored 22 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. FSV Mainz 05 have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Bayern München have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, FSV Mainz 05 have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.14. FSV Mainz 05 have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

12 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 10 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Bayern München have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.14. Bayern München have conceded five goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

FSV Mainz 05 (fifth) and Bayern München (first) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayern München the stronger side, 394 rating points above FSV Mainz 05 (Bayern München 2012, FSV Mainz 05 1619, after at least 312 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last three meetings with FSV Mainz 05. The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayern München.

Team news

Predicted FSV Mainz 05 XI (3-1-4-2): A. Schwolow, F. Gruber, S. Posch, K. Potulski, N. Amiri, K. Sano, P. Mwene, A. Caci, L. Jae-Sung, P. Tietz, S. Becker — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Phillip Tietz (7.0 per match over seven appearances, nine goals) and Nadiem Amiri (5.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and three assists) have been FSV Mainz 05’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FSV Mainz 05 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Phillip Tietz averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 614 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances. Nadiem Amiri averages 3.3 key passes per 90 over 761 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bayern München XI (4-2-3-1): M. Neuer, D. Upamecano, A. Davies, K. Min-Jae, J. Stanišić, M. Olise, J. Kimmich, A. Pavlović, L. Díaz, I. Saibari, H. Kane — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Michael Olise (10.0 per match over 10 appearances, nine goals and four assists) and Harry Kane (7.7 per match over 10 appearances, nine goals and six assists) have been Bayern München’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayern München (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Michael Olise averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 1820 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Harry Kane averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1861 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Mewa Arena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FSV Mainz 05 1 · draws 1 · Bayern München 4 · 5 goals/game
  • Recent form: FSV Mainz 05 3W 0D 2L · Bayern München 3W 2D 0L

FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3.13 / 3.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 9.75
Corners
against 4.13 / 2.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.13 / 10.25
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 2.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFSV Mainz 05 for / againstLineBayern München for / against
Goals scored
3.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
3.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
9.75 for · 2.88 against n 8
Shots
18.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
24.63 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots on target
7.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
10.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9.38 for · 8.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Tietz n 887.3
2.36/5
1.25/2
—
K. Potulski n 869.8
2.35/4
0.64/0
—
L. Maloney n 87.1
1.61/0
00/0
—
F. Gruber n 885
1.55/3
0.11/0
—
E. Martel n 868
1.55/3
0.84/1
—
FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Tietz n 887.3
3.58/8
1.98/5
R. Königsdörffer n 831.9
3.25/3
1.13/0
S. Becker n 872.3
2.66/5
25/5
B. Hollerbach n 848.4
2.66/2
1.23/2
W. Bøving n 822.8
2.54/1
0.51/0
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Tietz n 887.3
1.36/2
0.11/0
S. Becker n 872.3
0.53/0
0.52/1
A. Caci n 867.1
0.31/1
0.53/0
N. Amiri n 887.5
0.31/1
0.42/1
B. Hollerbach n 848.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Ruoppi n 852.6
2.64/4
W. Bøving n 822.8
2.54/1
P. Mwene n 888
2.48/5
A. Caci n 867.1
2.25/3
S. Posch n 889.8
2.17/4
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Schwolow n 890
2.96/4
R. Zentner n 881.8
2.96/4
Bayern München
Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Ito n 861.5
2.25/3
0.21/0
—
K. Laimer n 866.5
1.95/4
13/2
—
I. Saibari n 850
1.86/2
0.21/0
—
J. Musiala n 860.5
1.57/1
2.85/5
—
D. Upamecano n 878.1
1.46/4
0.32/0
—
Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Olise n 869.3
4.28/7
3.28/5
H. Kane n 877.8
4.18/8
2.68/6
S. Gnabry n 833.4
3.76/4
25/1
I. Saibari n 850
3.26/4
1.64/2
T. Bischof n 849.4
2.56/3
1.45/1
Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 877.8
1.67/4
0.73/2
M. Olise n 869.3
1.35/2
0.64/0
J. Musiala n 860.5
0.63/0
0.21/0
L. Díaz n 875.1
0.62/1
0.11/0
T. Bischof n 849.4
0.21/0
0.51/1
Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Bischof n 849.4
36/5
S. Boey n 849.8
2.95/4
Bara Ndiaye n 738.4
2.34/1
K. Laimer n 866.5
2.27/4
Kim Min-Jae n 874
2.16/4
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Urbig n 882.5
1.84/2
M. Neuer n 892.6
1.75/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FSV Mainz 05WLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Bayern MünchenWWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FSV Mainz 05 1 · 1 draw · Bayern München 4 · 5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayern München
  • 2025-12-14 Bayern München 2–2 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2025-04-26 Bayern München 3–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2024-12-14 FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Bayern München
  • 2024-10-30 FSV Mainz 05 0–4 Bayern München
  • 2024-03-09 Bayern Munich 8–1 FSV Mainz 05
League standing · 2026/27
FSV Mainz 05#5 pos10 pts6 pl+4 GD
Bayern München#1 pos14 pts6 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
FSV Mainz 05 scored2.33
Bayern München scored3.67
FSV Mainz 05 conceded1.67
Bayern München conceded0.83

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München?
In their last 6 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 1, Bayern München won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München?
Recent form — FSV Mainz 05 3W 0D 2L; Bayern München 3W 2D 0L.

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