FSV Mainz 05FC Schalke 04

FSV Mainz 05 v FC Schalke 04 prediction

Bundesliga · · Mewa Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FSV Mainz 05 · FC Schalke 04 · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for FSV Mainz 05 v FC Schalke 04, Bundesliga on Sat, 27 Feb 2027 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

FSV Mainz 05 host FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 27 February (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

FC Schalke 04 have scored five goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

FSV Mainz 05 have lost their last four matches in all competitions. FC Schalke 04 are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, FSV Mainz 05 have no wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.14 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.71. FSV Mainz 05 have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs.

Seven of FC Schalke 04’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of FC Schalke 04’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, FC Schalke 04 have three wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 1.89. FC Schalke 04 have conceded 11 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

FSV Mainz 05 (12th) and FC Schalke 04 (17th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FSV Mainz 05 the stronger side, 68 rating points above FC Schalke 04 (FSV Mainz 05 1474, FC Schalke 04 1406, after at least 179 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 October 2026, finished FC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05.

Team news

Predicted FSV Mainz 05 XI (3-5-2): A. Schwolow, K. Potulski, D. da Costa, S. Posch, K. Sano, N. Amiri, A. Caci, P. Mwene, L. Jae-Sung, S. Becker, P. Tietz — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Phillip Tietz (5.4 per match over 11 appearances, 10 goals) and Anthony Caci (5.3 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and four assists) have been FSV Mainz 05’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FSV Mainz 05 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Phillip Tietz averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 857 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Anthony Caci averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 789 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted FC Schalke 04 XI (5-3-2): L. Karius, H. Kuruçay, N. Katić, V. Becker, T. Becker, M. Ayhan, S. Tanaka, A. Aouchiche, S. El-Faouzi, H. Hee-Chan, K. Karaman — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Soufian El-Faouzi (3.7 per match over nine appearances) and Hasan Kuruçay (3.6 per match over 11 appearances) have been FC Schalke 04’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Schalke 04 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Soufian El-Faouzi averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 793 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances. Hasan Kuruçay averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 976 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Mewa Arena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FSV Mainz 05 1 · draws 3 · FC Schalke 04 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: FSV Mainz 05 1W 0D 4L · FC Schalke 04 0W 1D 4L

FSV Mainz 05 v FC Schalke 04 (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.63
Goals
against 2.63 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 3.88
Corners
against 5.38 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 6 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFSV Mainz 05 for / againstLineFC Schalke 04 for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
14.38 for · 15.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11.5 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 6 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 Goalkeeper

FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Schwolow690540 min183 /9071.2 /9000 /90
R. Zentner590450 min122.4 /9030.6 /9000 /90
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Schwolow n 690
34/4
R. Zentner n 881.8
3.26/3

FSV Mainz 05 Defensive

FSV Mainz 05 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Potulski1082818 min212.3 /90161.8 /9030.3 /90545.9 /90182 /9010.1 /90
D. da Costa1066664 min182.4 /9091.2 /9030.4 /90334.5 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90
S. Posch890718 min151.9 /9081 /9010.1 /90384.8 /90131.6 /9010.1 /90
F. Gruber790630 min131.9 /9091.3 /9060.9 /90375.3 /90101.4 /9000 /90
S. Widmer634206 min93.9 /9020.9 /9000 /90146.1 /9020.9 /9000 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Sano n 888.4
0.43/0
1.76/5
—
P. Tietz n 875.3
1.65/4
14/1
—
S. Becker n 879.5
0.74/1
0.64/0
—
A. Caci n 870
1.64/2
0.85/0
—
N. Amiri n 885.4
0.54/0
1.36/2
—
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FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Sano n 888.4
1.13/3
P. Tietz n 875.3
0.11/0
S. Becker n 879.5
0.64/0
A. Caci n 870
2.97/5
N. Amiri n 885.4
0.73/2
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FSV Mainz 05 Attacking

FSV Mainz 05 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Tietz1178857 min101.1 /9000 /90313.3 /90171.8 /9070.7 /9040.4 /90
S. Becker1176834 min30.3 /9040.4 /90222.4 /90141.5 /90222.4 /9060.6 /90
R. Königsdörffer930269 min20.7 /9000 /90124 /9031 /9010.3 /9041.3 /90
B. Hollerbach32265 min11.4 /9011.4 /9034.2 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9022.8 /90
W. Bøving11515 min16 /9000 /9016 /9016 /9000 /9000 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Sano n 888.4
0.32/0
00/0
P. Tietz n 875.3
37/5
1.57/3
S. Becker n 879.5
2.37/5
1.34/3
A. Caci n 870
0.83/2
0.52/1
N. Amiri n 885.4
1.46/4
0.43/0
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FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Sano n 888.4
00/0
0.11/0
P. Tietz n 875.3
0.64/0
00/0
S. Becker n 879.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
A. Caci n 870
0.52/1
0.53/0
N. Amiri n 885.4
00/0
0.11/0
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FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04 Goalkeeper

FC Schalke 04 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Karius1086862 min464.8 /9070.7 /9000 /90
K. Müller13838 min24.7 /9000 /9000 /90
FC Schalke 04 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Karius n 885.3
4.16/6
K. Müller n 579.6
23/2

FC Schalke 04 Defensive

FC Schalke 04 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Katić1087867 min171.8 /90161.7 /9060.6 /90717.4 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90
H. Kuruçay1086856 min293 /90141.5 /9060.6 /90525.5 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90
T. Becker877615 min243.5 /90101.5 /9060.9 /90426.1 /9010.1 /9010.1 /90
R. Gosens863506 min142.5 /9061.1 /9020.4 /90295.2 /9061.1 /9000 /90
Vitalie Becker753373 min184.3 /9051.2 /9010.2 /90286.8 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90
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FC Schalke 04 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Katić n 887.6
0.95/1
0.32/0
—
L. Karius n 885.3
00/0
0.32/0
—
H. Kuruçay n 890
13/2
0.85/1
—
A. Aouchiche n 884.3
0.84/1
2.37/5
—
S. Tanaka n 883.4
1.88/2
27/4
—
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FC Schalke 04 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Katić n 887.6
1.76/4
H. Kuruçay n 890
2.97/6
A. Aouchiche n 884.3
1.26/2
S. Tanaka n 883.4
1.66/3
S. El-Faouzi n 884.1
2.48/5
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FC Schalke 04 Attacking

FC Schalke 04 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Karaman780559 min10.2 /9000 /9071.1 /9020.3 /90101.6 /9091.4 /90
J. Adamu757397 min10.2 /9010.2 /90102.3 /9061.4 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90
Hwang Hee-Chan665390 min00 /9000 /9061.4 /9030.7 /9061.4 /9092.1 /90
E. Džeko551255 min00 /9000 /9051.8 /9010.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
M. Sylla472287 min00 /9000 /9041.3 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
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FC Schalke 04 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Katić n 887.6
0.32/0
00/0
L. Karius n 885.3
00/0
00/0
H. Kuruçay n 890
0.11/0
00/0
A. Aouchiche n 884.3
2.37/3
0.94/2
S. Tanaka n 883.4
0.54/0
0.11/0
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FC Schalke 04 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Katić n 887.6
00/0
00/0
L. Karius n 885.3
00/0
00/0
H. Kuruçay n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Aouchiche n 884.3
0.11/0
00/0
S. Tanaka n 883.4
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FSV Mainz 05 v FC Schalke 04 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FSV Mainz 05WLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
FC Schalke 04LDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FSV Mainz 05 1 · 3 draws · FC Schalke 04 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-10-17 FC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2023-05-05 FSV Mainz 05 2–3 FC Schalke 04
  • 2022-11-09 FC Schalke 04 1–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2021-03-05 FC Schalke 04 0–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2020-11-07 FSV Mainz 05 2–2 FC Schalke 04
  • 2020-02-16 FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC Schalke 04
League standing · 2026/27
FSV Mainz 05#12 pos10 pts9 pl-1 GD
FC Schalke 04#17 pos6 pts9 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
FSV Mainz 05 scored2
FC Schalke 04 scored0.56
FSV Mainz 05 conceded2.11
FC Schalke 04 conceded1.22

Elo Ratings Before Kick-Off

  • FSV Mainz 05: Elo rating 1474, falling over the last five rated matches.
  • FC Schalke 04: Elo rating 1406, falling over the last five rated matches.

FSV Mainz 05 are rated 68 points higher.

Ratings come from match results only and are taken before kick-off.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and FC Schalke 04?
In their last 6 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 1, FC Schalke 04 won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FSV Mainz 05 and FC Schalke 04?
Recent form — FSV Mainz 05 1W 0D 4L; FC Schalke 04 0W 1D 4L.

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