FSV Mainz 05SC Freiburg

FSV Mainz 05 v SC Freiburg result

Full-time · FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg

Bundesliga · · MEWA ARENA

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FSV Mainz 05 · SC Freiburg · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg — SC Freiburg won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: FSV Mainz 05 0.46, SC Freiburg 0.54 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

SC Freiburg won 1–0 at MEWA ARENA in the Bundesliga on Sunday 12 April. SC Freiburg have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — SC Freiburg: Lucas Höler (47’, assisted by Matthias Ginter).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lucas Höler’s goal on 47 minutes.

Discipline

Felix Zwayer, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FSV Mainz 05: Nikolas Veratschnig (55’); SC Freiburg: I. Ogbus (33’), Maximilian Eggestein (45+4’) and Lucas Höler (73’).

What it changes

FSV Mainz 05 stay ninth after this result (29 league matches played). FSV Mainz 05 have scored 41 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 50 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

SC Freiburg stay eighth after this result (29 league matches played). SC Freiburg have scored 45 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). SC Freiburg have conceded 53 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Stefan Posch (FSV Mainz 05) 7.5, Danny da Costa (FSV Mainz 05) 5.4 and Lucas Höler (SC Freiburg) 5.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

SC Freiburg are unbeaten in the last six meetings with FSV Mainz 05, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Next up

FSV Mainz 05 next travel to FC Augsburg on 21 November 2026.

SC Freiburg next travel to SV Elversberg on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FSV Mainz 05: FC Augsburg v FSV Mainz 05, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for SC Freiburg: SV Elversberg v SC Freiburg, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga
  • Venue: MEWA ARENA · Mainz
  • Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FSV Mainz 05 0 · draws 4 · SC Freiburg 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: FSV Mainz 05 5W 0D 0L · SC Freiburg 3W 0D 2L

FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.88
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.63
Corners
against 4.63 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 2
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.36 yellows
Referee · Felix Zwayer, Germany
21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFSV Mainz 05 for / againstLineSC Freiburg for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 11.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
8.75 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany — 3.36 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 21 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 Goalkeeper

FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Batz21901890 min703.3 /90211 /9000 /90
R. Zentner17851441 min503.1 /90171.1 /9010.1 /90
L. Rieß571357 min153.8 /90133.3 /9000 /90
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Batz n 890
2.56/4
R. Zentner n 881.8
3.26/5

FSV Mainz 05 Defensive

FSV Mainz 05 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. da Costa36883166 min541.5 /90351 /90170.5 /901494.2 /90260.7 /9030.1 /90
D. Kohr35842940 min702.1 /90581.8 /90190.6 /901695.2 /90561.7 /90130.4 /90
S. Bell22631392 min161 /90241.6 /90130.8 /901056.8 /90171.1 /9060.4 /90
A. Hanche-Olsen21671403 min151 /90261.7 /90151 /90946 /90201.3 /9050.3 /90
N. Veratschnig1841742 min161.9 /90131.6 /9020.2 /90425.1 /90161.9 /9030.4 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Sano n 890
0.43/0
15/3
J. Manzambi
D. da Costa n 889.5
0.64/1
0.54/0
M. Ginter
Lee Jae-Sung n 877.8
0.74/1
0.63/1
—
D. Kohr n 883.4
27/5
1.26/2
M. Ginter
P. Nebel n 889
1.66/5
1.17/2
M. Eggestein
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FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
2.68/6
D. da Costa n 889.5
1.85/4
Lee Jae-Sung n 877.8
1.46/3
D. Kohr n 883.4
2.37/5
P. Nebel n 889
2.57/6
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FSV Mainz 05 Attacking

FSV Mainz 05 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Sieb2138806 min20.2 /9000 /90192.1 /9080.9 /90101.1 /9091 /90
B. Hollerbach19611163 min20.2 /9030.2 /90201.5 /9090.7 /90110.9 /90171.3 /90
N. Weiper18561012 min20.2 /9000 /90272.4 /90151.3 /9090.8 /9040.4 /90
P. Tietz16851361 min30.2 /9010.1 /90352.3 /90201.3 /90151 /9090.6 /90
A. Nordin1453742 min00 /9000 /90141.7 /9030.4 /9040.5 /9050.6 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
0.95/1
0.43/0
D. da Costa n 889.5
0.42/1
0.32/0
Lee Jae-Sung n 877.8
0.94/1
0.43/0
D. Kohr n 883.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
P. Nebel n 889
0.96/1
0.53/1
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FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. da Costa n 889.5
0.11/0
0.43/0
Lee Jae-Sung n 877.8
0.32/0
00/0
D. Kohr n 883.4
00/0
00/0
P. Nebel n 889
0.42/1
0.43/0
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SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg Goalkeeper

SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Atubolu40903600 min1172.9 /90531.3 /9010 /90
SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Atubolu n 890
37/4

SC Freiburg Defensive

SC Freiburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Ginter41903690 min380.9 /90350.9 /90210.5 /901924.7 /90200.5 /9020 /90
P. Treu33802625 min541.9 /90160.5 /9090.3 /901294.4 /90270.9 /9030.1 /90
C. Günter28732052 min241.1 /90100.4 /9070.3 /90492.1 /90110.5 /9050.2 /90
L. Kübler24741784 min482.4 /90341.7 /9070.4 /901065.3 /90201 /9040.2 /90
P. Lienhart21821726 min251.3 /90201 /90140.7 /90743.9 /90130.7 /9070.4 /90
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SC Freiburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Ginter n 890
17/1
0.54/0
D. Kohr
M. Eggestein n 890
0.43/0
0.65/0
P. Nebel
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
J. Manzambi n 880.6
0.84/1
3.88/5
K. Sano
Y. Suzuki n 877.9
0.75/0
0.32/0
—
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SC Freiburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Ginter n 890
14/2
M. Eggestein n 890
1.56/4
J. Manzambi n 880.6
27/3
Y. Suzuki n 877.9
1.45/4
V. Grifo n 863.6
0.93/2
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SC Freiburg Attacking

SC Freiburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Scherhant32401289 min50.3 /9010.1 /90312.2 /90201.4 /90231.6 /90261.8 /90
I. Matanović29561611 min90.5 /9030.2 /90432.4 /90211.2 /90201.1 /90120.7 /90
L. Höler28651824 min40.2 /9010 /90241.2 /90140.7 /90180.9 /9070.3 /90
J. Adamu1563947 min20.2 /9010.1 /90151.4 /9070.7 /90161.5 /90141.3 /90
Cyriaque Kalou Irié933297 min00 /9000 /9051.5 /9010.3 /9041.2 /9092.7 /90
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SC Freiburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Ginter n 890
0.85/1
0.65/0
M. Eggestein n 890
0.95/2
0.65/0
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Manzambi n 880.6
1.35/3
0.43/0
Y. Suzuki n 877.9
0.63/1
0.42/1
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SC Freiburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Ginter n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
M. Eggestein n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Manzambi n 880.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Y. Suzuki n 877.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FSV Mainz 05SC Freiburg
51%Possession49%
0.55Expected goals (xG)0.56
10Shots8
3Shots on target3
6Shots off target2
1Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box6
6Corners4
3Offsides2
10Fouls13
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves3
339Passes339
75%Pass accuracy80%

FSV Mainz 05 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Batz9000000007.3
S. Posch9000111708
D. Kohr9000100206.6
K. Sano9000000006.5
P. Tietz9000001106.5
S. Becker9000212006.7
D. da Costa8300100407.3
P. Mwene7400001006.3
P. Nebel7400002106.6
N. Veratschnig62001004Y6.5
S. Kawasaki6200000106.7
N. Amiri sub2800000106.9
S. Widmer sub2800210006.6
A. Caci sub1600000206.9
A. Sieb sub1600100006.6
N. Weiper sub1500000006.5

SC Freiburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Atubolu9000000007.3
C. Günter9000001107.2
M. Eggestein90000000Y6.3
J. Manzambi9000220207.7
L. Höler90101111Y7.2
I. Matanović9000201306.2
M. Ginter8301001007.3
D. Scherhant7400002107
L. Kübler6400001006.6
Cyriaque Kalou Irié6400000206.6
I. Ogbus45000000Y6.3
P. Lienhart sub4500001007.2
P. Treu sub2600000006.7
J. Beste sub2600000106.9
V. Grifo sub1600000006.7
J. Makengo sub1500000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FSV Mainz 05 v SC Freiburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FSV Mainz 05WWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
SC FreiburgLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FSV Mainz 05 0 · 4 draws · SC Freiburg 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-11-30 SC Freiburg 4–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2025-03-15 FSV Mainz 05 2–2 SC Freiburg
  • 2024-11-03 SC Freiburg 0–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2024-04-21 SC Freiburg 1–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2023-12-03 FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg
  • 2023-03-19 FSV Mainz 05 1–1 SC Freiburg
League standing · 2025/26
FSV Mainz 05#10 pos40 pts34 pl-9 GD
SC Freiburg#7 pos47 pts34 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
FSV Mainz 05 scored1.29
SC Freiburg scored1.5
FSV Mainz 05 conceded1.56
SC Freiburg conceded1.68

Shot Map and Expected Goals

FSV Mainz 05 0.46 xG from 10 shots, SC Freiburg 0.54 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Johan Manzambi 59' · 0.13 xGDominik Kohr 62' · 0.10 xGIgor Matanovic 55' · 0.09 xGSilvan Widmer 78' · 0.08 xGSheraldo Becker 80' · 0.07 xGIgor Matanovic 13' · 0.07 xGSilvan Widmer 69' · 0.06 xGJohan Manzambi 61' · 0.06 xGMatthias Ginter 71' · 0.05 xGDanny da Costa 21' · 0.05 xGJohan Manzambi 59' · 0.03 xGPhillip Tietz 51' · 0.03 xGNikolas Veratschnig 30' · 0.03 xGArmindo Sieb 91' · 0.02 xGDerry Scherhant 71' · 0.02 xGStefan Posch 25' · 0.01 xGSheraldo Becker 51' · 0.01 xGLucas Höler 46' · 0.09 xG · goal
FSV Mainz 05 (attacking right)SC Freiburg (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
FSV Mainz 051000.46
SC Freiburg810.54

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: FSV Mainz 05 0.09, SC Freiburg 0.07. At full time, xG was level: FSV Mainz 05 0.46, SC Freiburg 0.54.

xG timeline (cumulative)
0.50.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - SC Freiburg 46 min
FSV Mainz 05 0.46 xGSC Freiburg 0.54 xGdots = goals · 18 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FSV Mainz 05 v SC Freiburg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FSV Mainz 05 v SC Freiburg was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg?
In their last 6 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 0, SC Freiburg won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg?
Recent form — FSV Mainz 05 5W 0D 0L; SC Freiburg 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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