Grazer AK v TSV Hartberg prediction

Bundesliga – Austria · · Merkur-Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Grazer AK v TSV Hartberg, Bundesliga – Austria on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 18:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.90 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Grazer AK host TSV Hartberg in the Bundesliga – Austria on Friday 30 October (kick-off 18:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

TSV Hartberg have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. TSV Hartberg are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Grazer AK, every meeting checked. Grazer AK are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Grazer AK’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Grazer AK’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Grazer AK have two wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 0.83. Grazer AK have scored eight goals, the second-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Grazer AK have conceded 23 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs.

Nine of TSV Hartberg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of TSV Hartberg’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, TSV Hartberg have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.29. TSV Hartberg have scored 16 goals, the sixth-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). TSV Hartberg have conceded 19 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Grazer AK (eighth) and TSV Hartberg (sixth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have TSV Hartberg the stronger side, 68 rating points above Grazer AK (TSV Hartberg 1587, Grazer AK 1519, after at least 74 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished TSV Hartberg 1–0 Grazer AK.

Team news

Predicted Grazer AK XI (3-4-3): C. Stanković, Y. Oberleitner, M. Sollbauer, B. Owusu, P. Michorl, L. Klassen, C. Cvetko, Anderson, A. Hofleitner, M. Große, J. Italiano — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Y. Oberleitner (6.2 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and I. Guerti (4.4 per match over three appearances) have been Grazer AK’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Grazer AK (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Y. Oberleitner averages 3.8 tackles per 90 over 717 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.

Predicted TSV Hartberg XI (4-4-2): Á. Pécsi, P. Komposch, K. Schopp, H. Coulibaly, M. Pfeifer, B. Markuš, Y. Diarra, T. Kainz, M. Dalpiaz, M. Hoffman, A. Radulović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Hoffman (5.8 per match over five appearances, four goals) and Marco Hoffmann (5.0 per match over eight appearances, six goals and one assist) have been TSV Hartberg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for TSV Hartberg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Hoffman averages 3.8 shots per 90 over 431 minutes, with a shot in four of the last five appearances. Marco Hoffmann averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 649 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga – Austria · Merkur-Arena
  • Referee: Isa Simsek
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Grazer AK 0 · draws 3 · TSV Hartberg 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Grazer AK 1W 3D 1L · TSV Hartberg 2W 2D 1L

Grazer AK v TSV Hartberg (Bundesliga – Austria): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 2
Goals
against 2.38 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.63
Corners
against 6.25 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 6 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.88 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGrazer AK for / againstLineTSV Hartberg for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.75our book
2 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
14.75 for · 16.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 14.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 6 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.25 for · 9.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 8.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8

Grazer AK

Grazer AK Goalkeeper

Grazer AK — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Stanković1090900 min373.7 /90232.3 /9000 /90
Grazer AK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grazer AK before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Stanković n 890
3.57/5

Grazer AK Defensive

Grazer AK — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Owusu989803 min222.5 /90141.6 /90121.3 /90465.2 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
Y. Oberleitner890717 min303.8 /90131.6 /9070.9 /908210.3 /9070.9 /9020.3 /90
M. Gragger648285 min61.9 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90196 /9061.9 /9000 /90
Donovan Pines590450 min40.8 /9081.6 /9040.8 /90275.4 /9081.6 /9030.6 /90
M. Sollbauer590450 min40.8 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90153 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
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Grazer AK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grazer AK before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Stanković n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
P. Michorl n 889.1
0.85/1
16/2
—
Alexander Hofleitner n 880.6
2.28/6
1.36/3
—
B. Owusu n 889.1
15/3
0.95/2
—
Leon Klassen n 885.8
1.76/4
15/3
—
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Grazer AK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grazer AK before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Michorl n 889.1
1.35/4
Alexander Hofleitner n 880.6
1.44/4
B. Owusu n 889.1
2.47/5
Leon Klassen n 885.8
2.17/6
Y. Oberleitner n 889.6
3.88/7
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Grazer AK Attacking

Grazer AK — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Alexander Hofleitner1082820 min40.4 /9000 /90161.8 /9091 /90121.3 /9030.3 /90
Christian Lichtenberger867532 min00 /9020.3 /9071.2 /9030.5 /9071.2 /9061 /90
Mark Große749345 min00 /9000 /9061.6 /9051.3 /9041 /9061.6 /90
D. Maderner646278 min00 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
Jacob Italiano476303 min10.3 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9082.4 /90
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Grazer AK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grazer AK before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Stanković n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Michorl n 889.1
1.35/3
0.31/1
Alexander Hofleitner n 880.6
1.76/4
0.85/1
B. Owusu n 889.1
0.63/2
0.11/0
Leon Klassen n 885.8
15/2
0.11/0
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Grazer AK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grazer AK before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Stanković n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Michorl n 889.1
00/0
0.11/0
Alexander Hofleitner n 880.6
0.43/0
00/0
B. Owusu n 889.1
00/0
00/0
Leon Klassen n 885.8
00/0
00/0
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TSV Hartberg

TSV Hartberg Goalkeeper

TSV Hartberg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Á. Pécsi1091905 min343.4 /90161.6 /9000 /90
TSV Hartberg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for TSV Hartberg before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Á. Pécsi n 890
38/5

TSV Hartberg Defensive

TSV Hartberg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
P. Komposch1090899 min60.6 /9050.5 /9020.2 /90262.6 /9050.5 /9000 /90
K. Schopp987780 min151.7 /9091 /90131.5 /90445.1 /90111.3 /9040.5 /90
Habib Coulibaly970633 min101.4 /9030.4 /9030.4 /90223.1 /9091.3 /9010.1 /90
F. Wilfinger790628 min192.7 /9040.6 /9050.7 /90314.4 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90
Magnus Dalpiaz772501 min122.2 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90295.2 /9040.7 /9000 /90
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TSV Hartberg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for TSV Hartberg before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Á. Pécsi n 890
00/0
00/0
—
P. Komposch n 889.3
0.53/1
0.42/1
—
B. Markuš n 882.6
1.55/4
0.84/1
—
A. Gattermayer n 876.1
14/2
0.75/0
—
T. Kainz n 864.5
0.93/2
0.53/0
—
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TSV Hartberg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for TSV Hartberg before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Komposch n 889.3
0.53/1
B. Markuš n 882.6
15/2
A. Gattermayer n 876.1
0.43/0
T. Kainz n 864.5
14/1
K. Schopp n 886.3
1.67/3
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TSV Hartberg Attacking

TSV Hartberg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Gattermayer1072718 min10.1 /9010.1 /90141.8 /9040.5 /9091.1 /90121.5 /90
Marco Hoffmann881649 min60.8 /9010.1 /90182.5 /90131.8 /9081.1 /9030.4 /90
M. Hoffman586431 min40.8 /9000 /90183.8 /9071.5 /9091.9 /9030.6 /90
J. Drew447188 min10.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9031.4 /9021 /90
A. Radulović430119 min21.5 /9021.5 /9086.1 /9043 /9043 /9010.8 /90
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TSV Hartberg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for TSV Hartberg before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Á. Pécsi n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Komposch n 889.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
B. Markuš n 882.6
0.74/1
0.11/0
A. Gattermayer n 876.1
2.17/4
0.64/0
T. Kainz n 864.5
0.52/1
0.21/0
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TSV Hartberg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for TSV Hartberg before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Á. Pécsi n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Komposch n 889.3
00/0
00/0
B. Markuš n 882.6
0.11/0
00/0
A. Gattermayer n 876.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Kainz n 864.5
00/0
0.53/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Grazer AK v TSV Hartberg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Grazer AKWDDLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
TSV HartbergDDWLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Grazer AK 0 · 3 draws · TSV Hartberg 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-21 TSV Hartberg 1–0 Grazer AK
  • 2025-10-18 Grazer AK 0–0 TSV Hartberg
  • 2025-04-25 TSV Hartberg 1–1 Grazer AK
  • 2025-04-22 Grazer AK 0–3 TSV Hartberg
  • 2024-12-08 Grazer AK 0–3 TSV Hartberg
  • 2024-08-31 TSV Hartberg 1–1 Grazer AK
League standing · 2026/27
Grazer AK#8 pos10 pts10 pl-15 GD
TSV Hartberg#6 pos14 pts10 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Grazer AK scored0.8
TSV Hartberg scored1.6
Grazer AK conceded2.3
TSV Hartberg conceded1.9

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Grazer AK v TSV Hartberg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Grazer AK v TSV Hartberg is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.90 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Grazer AK and TSV Hartberg?
In their last 6 meetings, Grazer AK won 0, TSV Hartberg won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Grazer AK and TSV Hartberg?
Recent form — Grazer AK 1W 3D 1L; TSV Hartberg 2W 2D 1L.

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