RB Leipzig v Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Bundesliga · · Red Bull Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for RB Leipzig v Bayer Leverkusen, Bundesliga on Sat, 13 Feb 2027 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

RB Leipzig host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on Saturday 13 February (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

12 of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Bayer Leverkusen have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in eight of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, RB Leipzig have seven wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 0.29. RB Leipzig have scored 16 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). RB Leipzig have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Bayer Leverkusen have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.50. Bayer Leverkusen have scored 14 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bayer Leverkusen have conceded eight goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

RB Leipzig (seventh) and Bayer Leverkusen (fourth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayer Leverkusen the stronger side, 128 rating points above RB Leipzig (Bayer Leverkusen 1781, RB Leipzig 1653, after at least 311 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last four meetings with RB Leipzig. The most recent meeting, on 20 September 2026, finished Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig.

Team news

Predicted RB Leipzig XI (4-3-3): M. Vandevoordt, W. Orbán, D. Raum, C. Lukeba, R. Baku, E. Banzuzi, N. El Aynaoui, N. Seiwald, T. Gomis, A. Nusa, C. Nkunku — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Antonio Nusa (6.3 per match over nine appearances, four goals and three assists) and Maarten Vandevoordt (5.2 per match over nine appearances) have been RB Leipzig’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for RB Leipzig (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Antonio Nusa averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1519 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Maarten Vandevoordt averages 5.0 saves per 90 over 900 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bayer Leverkusen XI (4-2-3-1): M. Flekken, E. Tapsoba, M. Gutiérrez, F. Medina, J. Quansah, A. García, I. Maza, A. Moreira, E. Fernández, M. Diaby, P. Schick — derived from the last 5 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Patrik Schick (6.1 per match over eight appearances, eight goals and one assist) and Ibrahim Maza (5.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Bayer Leverkusen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayer Leverkusen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Patrik Schick averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 720 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ibrahim Maza averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1073 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Red Bull Arena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): RB Leipzig 1 · draws 1 · Bayer Leverkusen 4 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L · Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 0L

RB Leipzig v Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 3
Goals
against 1.88 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 6.75
Corners
against 6.75 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 7.25
Shots on target
against 7.25 / 3.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRB Leipzig for / againstLineBayer Leverkusen for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
3 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 6.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
17.5 for · 15.88 against n 8
19.5standard
20.5 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
6.25 for · 7.25 against n 8
8.5standard
7.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
13.25 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Konate n 310.3
2.91/0
2.91/0
—
E. Banzuzi n 870.6
2.28/4
1.34/3
—
C. Harder n 841.4
2.25/3
0.52/0
—
Marc Guiu n 847.5
2.15/3
0.73/0
—
J. Bakayoko n 826.1
1.72/1
00/0
—
RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Konate n 310.3
5.82/0
00/0
T. Gomis n 844.9
3.57/5
13/1
C. Harder n 841.4
36/4
1.96/1
J. Bakayoko n 826.1
34/2
1.33/0
B. Gruda n 866
2.66/5
1.24/2
RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Nkunku n 863.6
0.72/1
0.42/0
A. Maksimović n 831.1
0.72/0
0.41/0
T. Gomis n 844.9
0.52/0
0.51/1
R. Reitz n 860
0.21/0
0.63/0
C. Harder n 841.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Banzuzi n 870.6
2.77/7
N. Seiwald n 849.1
2.76/3
R. Reitz n 860
2.64/4
Max Finkgräfe n 853.5
2.55/3
L. Klostermann n 830
2.33/2
RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
5.58/7
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Tillman n 855.9
3.28/5
1.45/2
—
Christian Kofane n 831.9
3.25/3
1.42/1
—
Lucas Vázquez n 838.5
1.84/2
2.64/2
—
I. Maza n 885.5
1.77/3
1.16/2
—
G. Doué n 871.8
1.77/3
1.34/3
—
Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Boniface n 831.8
4.66/4
2.15/1
Christian Kofane n 831.9
3.96/4
1.43/1
P. Schick n 867.5
3.88/7
27/4
Afonso Moreira n 868.5
2.67/5
1.55/3
N. Tella n 860.4
2.66/3
1.76/2
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Schick n 867.5
1.37/1
0.21/0
Christian Kofane n 831.9
1.13/0
0.41/0
N. Tella n 860.4
0.42/0
0.42/0
M. Tillman n 855.9
0.63/0
0.21/0
I. Maza n 885.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Palacios n 862
3.47/5
E. Fernández n 851.5
3.16/3
L. Badé n 865
2.47/4
E. Ben Seghir n 814.5
2.32/1
G. Doué n 871.8
26/3
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Blaswich n 890
4.56/6
M. Flekken n 881.6
2.25/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind RB Leipzig v Bayer Leverkusen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RB LeipzigWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Bayer LeverkusenDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
RB Leipzig 1 · 1 draw · Bayer Leverkusen 4 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-09-20 Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig
  • 2026-05-02 Bayer Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig
  • 2025-12-20 RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2025-01-25 RB Leipzig 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2024-08-31 Bayer Leverkusen 2–3 RB Leipzig
  • 2024-01-20 RB Leipzig 2–3 Bayer Leverkusen
League standing · 2026/27
RB Leipzig#7 pos9 pts6 pl+5 GD
Bayer Leverkusen#4 pos10 pts5 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
RB Leipzig scored2.67
Bayer Leverkusen scored2.8
RB Leipzig conceded1.83
Bayer Leverkusen conceded1.6

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen?
In their last 6 meetings, RB Leipzig won 1, Bayer Leverkusen won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen?
Recent form — RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L; Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →