RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund prediction

Bundesliga · · Red Bull Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: RB Leipzig · Borussia Dortmund · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

RB Leipzig host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on Saturday 19 December (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

12 of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Borussia Dortmund have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in eight of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, RB Leipzig have seven wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 0.29. RB Leipzig have scored 16 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). RB Leipzig have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Borussia Dortmund’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Borussia Dortmund have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.75. Borussia Dortmund have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Borussia Dortmund are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. RB Leipzig (seventh) and Borussia Dortmund (second) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Borussia Dortmund the stronger side, 161 rating points above RB Leipzig (Borussia Dortmund 1814, RB Leipzig 1653, after at least 312 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

RB Leipzig are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Borussia Dortmund. The most recent meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished RB Leipzig 2–2 Borussia Dortmund.

Team news

Predicted RB Leipzig XI (4-3-3): M. Vandevoordt, W. Orbán, D. Raum, C. Lukeba, R. Baku, E. Banzuzi, N. El Aynaoui, N. Seiwald, T. Gomis, A. Nusa, C. Nkunku — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Antonio Nusa (6.3 per match over nine appearances, four goals and three assists) and Brajan Gruda (5.0 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) have been RB Leipzig’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for RB Leipzig (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Antonio Nusa averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1519 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Brajan Gruda averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 465 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Borussia Dortmund XI (3-4-2-1): G. Kobel, W. Anton, K. Gadou, N. Schlotterbeck, J. Bellingham, D. Svensson, F. Nmecha, J. Ryerson, J. Veerman, M. Sabitzer, S. Guirassy — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nico Schlotterbeck (5.7 per match over five appearances, one goal) and Waldemar Anton (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) have been Borussia Dortmund’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Borussia Dortmund (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nico Schlotterbeck averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 983 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Waldemar Anton averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 1182 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Red Bull Arena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): RB Leipzig 3 · draws 2 · Borussia Dortmund 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L · Borussia Dortmund 2W 2D 1L

RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.88 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 7.75
Corners
against 6.75 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 7.25 / 3.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRB Leipzig for / againstLineBorussia Dortmund for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 6.75 against n 8
9.5standard
7.75 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
17.5 for · 15.88 against n 8
19.5standard
16.5 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
6.25 for · 7.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.88 against n 8
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Konate n 310.3
2.91/0
2.91/0
—
E. Banzuzi n 870.5
2.28/4
1.34/3
—
C. Harder n 841.4
2.25/3
0.52/0
—
Marc Guiu n 847.5
2.15/3
0.73/0
—
J. Bakayoko n 826.1
1.72/1
00/0
—
RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Konate n 310.3
5.82/0
00/0
C. Harder n 841.4
36/4
1.96/1
J. Bakayoko n 826.1
34/2
1.33/0
T. Gomis n 844.9
2.86/4
13/1
B. Gruda n 866
2.46/5
1.24/2
RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Nkunku n 863.5
0.72/1
0.42/0
A. Maksimović n 831.1
0.72/0
0.41/0
T. Gomis n 844.9
0.52/0
0.51/1
R. Reitz n 860
0.21/0
0.63/0
C. Harder n 841.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Banzuzi n 870.5
2.77/7
N. Seiwald n 849.3
2.76/3
R. Reitz n 860
2.64/4
Max Finkgräfe n 853.5
2.55/3
L. Klostermann n 830
2.33/2
RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
5.58/7
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Konstantinos Karetsas n 850.8
26/2
1.65/2
—
M. Albert n 731.7
24/1
2.44/2
—
C. Chukwuemeka n 827.6
25/0
2.95/2
—
Joey Veerman n 859.5
1.96/4
0.42/0
—
J. Ryerson n 867.6
1.77/3
14/2
—
Borussia Dortmund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Fábio Silva n 841.1
36/2
1.94/2
S. Guirassy n 880.1
2.78/6
1.55/4
M. Sabitzer n 840.4
2.23/2
0.61/1
S. Inacio n 854.8
2.14/3
1.24/2
E. Nwaneri n 853.3
2.16/3
1.34/2
Borussia Dortmund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fábio Silva n 841.1
0.83/0
0.52/0
S. Guirassy n 880.1
0.63/1
0.32/0
S. Inacio n 854.8
0.62/1
00/0
M. Sabitzer n 840.4
00/0
0.62/0
F. Nmecha n 868.5
0.52/1
00/0
Borussia Dortmund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kauã Prates n 824.4
4.25/3
N. Schlotterbeck n 882.8
37/4
W. Anton n 890
2.97/6
J. Bellingham n 870.6
2.77/4
R. Bensebaïni n 869
2.44/4
Borussia Dortmund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Meyer n 890
2.64/4
G. Kobel n 890
1.44/1

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RB LeipzigWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Borussia DortmundWWDLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
RB Leipzig 3 · 2 draws · Borussia Dortmund 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-21 RB Leipzig 2–2 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2025-10-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig
  • 2025-03-15 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2024-11-02 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 RB Leipzig
  • 2024-04-27 RB Leipzig 4–1 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2023-12-09 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 RB Leipzig
League standing · 2026/27
RB Leipzig#7 pos9 pts6 pl+5 GD
Borussia Dortmund#2 pos14 pts6 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
RB Leipzig scored2.67
Borussia Dortmund scored1.83
RB Leipzig conceded1.83
Borussia Dortmund conceded0.67

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund?
In their last 6 meetings, RB Leipzig won 3, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund?
Recent form — RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L; Borussia Dortmund 2W 2D 1L.

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