RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV result

Full-time · RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV

Bundesliga · Sat, 18 Oct 2025 14:30 BST · Red Bull Arena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV — RB Leipzig won this Bundesliga match.

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: RB Leipzig 1.16, Hamburger SV 1.29 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

RB Leipzig beat Hamburger SV 2–1 at Red Bull Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 18 October. RB Leipzig are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

RB Leipzig led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — RB Leipzig: C. Baumgartner (45’, assisted by Antonio Nusa; 50’, assisted by Rômulo); Hamburger SV: Albert-Mboyo Sambi Lokonga (48’, assisted by M. Muheim).

Discipline

Tobias Welz, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — RB Leipzig: C. Baumgartner (43’), Yan Diomande (79’) and C. Harder (90+5’); Hamburger SV: N. Capaldo (18’).

What it changes

RB Leipzig move up from third to second (seven league matches played).

Hamburger SV move down from eighth to 10th (seven league matches played).

RB Leipzig have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Baumgartner (RB Leipzig) 7.9, M. Muheim (Hamburger SV) 6.9 and Antonio Nusa (RB Leipzig) 6.2 led the match.

Next up

RB Leipzig next travel to Real Madrid on 21 October 2026.

Hamburger SV next travel to SC Paderborn 07 on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for RB Leipzig: Real Madrid v RB Leipzig, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Hamburger SV: SC Paderborn 07 v Hamburger SV, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV · Bundesliga
Venue: Red Bull Arena · Leipzig
Referee: Tobias Welz, Germany
Head-to-head (last 4): RB Leipzig 3 · draws 1 · Hamburger SV 0 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: RB Leipzig 4W 1D 0L · Hamburger SV 2W 1D 2L

RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.88 / 2.67

Corners

against 4.75 / 6.33 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

4.63 / 5

Shots on target

against 4.13 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.38 / 2.57

Cards

against 2 / 2.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

5.18 yellows

Referee · Tobias Welz, Germany

2.55 home / 2.64 away

over 11 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 October 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 October 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	RB Leipzig for / against	Line	Hamburger SV for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	2.67 for · 6.33 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	16.88 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.33 for · 16.33 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 6 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.75 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.83 for · 13.5 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.57 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Tobias Welz, Germany — 5.18 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 21.45 fouls over 11 matches (2.55 to the home side, 2.64 to the away side).

Home 2.55Away 2.64

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Y. Poulsen n 8	16.8	4.7 4/3	2 3/0	—
C. Harder n 8	14.1	3.2 3/1	3.2 4/0	—
C. Baumgartner n 8	67.4	2 7/4	1.5 4/2	M. Muheim
X. Schlager n 8	54.3	1.9 5/4	1 3/2	—
A. Vermeeren n 8	43.8	1.8 6/1	0.5 1/1	—

RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Poulsen n 8	16.8	6 6/2	4.7 6/1
C. Harder n 8	14.1	4.8 4/2	3.2 3/1
Rômulo n 8	82.1	2.5 6/5	1.1 4/3
C. Baumgartner n 8	67.4	2.5 6/5	0.8 4/1
J. Bakayoko n 8	67.5	2 5/4	1.2 4/2

RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Y. Poulsen n 8	16.8	1.3 2/0	0 0/0
A. Ouédraogo n 8	28.6	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
C. Harder n 8	14.1	0.8 1/0	0 0/0
A. Nusa n 8	58.9	0.2 1/0	0.4 1/1
Y. Diomande n 8	53.9	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0

RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Banzuzi n 8	40.9	3.3 5/3
C. Harder n 8	14.1	3.2 3/1
R. Baku n 8	78.4	2.6 6/5
N. Seiwald n 8	79.8	2.4 8/5
D. Raum n 8	90.9	2.2 7/3

RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Gulácsi n 8	90	3 7/5

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Y. Poulsen n 8	16.8	4.7 4/3	2 3/0	—
Guilherme Ramos n 8	55.1	2.9 7/4	0.6 3/0	—
M. Muheim n 8	75.5	2.8 7/5	1.2 4/2	C. Baumgartner
R. Glatzel n 8	42.9	2.1 3/2	1.6 4/2	—
Otto Emerson Stange n 4	21	2.1 2/0	5.4 4/1	—

Hamburger SV — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Poulsen n 8	16.8	6 6/2	4.7 6/1
Otto Emerson Stange n 4	21	4.3 3/1	2.1 2/0
R. Philippe n 8	61.4	2.6 5/4	2 5/3
Fábio Vieira n 8	80.6	2 7/5	0.4 3/0
R. Königsdörffer n 8	69.3	1.9 6/4	1.1 4/2

Hamburger SV — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Otto Emerson Stange n 4	21	2.1 2/0	2.1 1/1
Y. Poulsen n 8	16.8	1.3 2/0	0 0/0
R. Philippe n 8	61.4	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
R. Glatzel n 8	42.9	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
Fábio Vieira n 8	80.6	0 0/0	0.3 2/0

Hamburger SV — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
W. Mikelbrencis n 8	38.9	2.9 3/3
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit n 8	58	2.7 6/3
Emir Sahiti n 8	54.5	2.5 5/4
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 5	23.4	2.3 2/1
R. Philippe n 8	61.4	2.2 6/3

Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 8	90	4.1 8/6

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RB Leipzig		Hamburger SV
47%	Possession	53%
1.06	Expected goals (xG)	1.53
10	Shots	15
4	Shots on target	3
4	Shots off target	7
2	Blocked shots	5
5	Shots inside the box	10
3	Corners	5
0	Offsides	1
13	Fouls	12
3	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
468	Passes	518
84%	Pass accuracy	86%

RB Leipzig player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
P. Gulácsi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
R. Baku	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.2
W. Orbán	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
C. Lukeba	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
D. Raum	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	7
N. Seiwald	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
Rômulo	89	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	6.3
A. Nusa	89	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	7.9
C. Baumgartner	78	2	0	3	3	1	0	Y	8.6
A. Ouédraogo	61	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.9
J. Bakayoko	61	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
E. Banzuzi sub	29	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
Y. Diomande sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
X. Schlager sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Klostermann sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
C. Harder sub	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	–

Hamburger SV player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Daniel Heuer Fernandes	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
L. Vušković	90	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	7.2
Daniel Elfadli	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
N. Remberg	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7.2
M. Muheim	90	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	7.6
J. Dompé	90	0	0	2	0	2	1	0	7
N. Capaldo	89	0	0	0	0	2	1	Y	6.2
R. Philippe	89	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.3
W. Mikelbrencis	84	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	5.9
A. Sambi Lokonga	76	1	0	1	1	2	1	0	8.3
R. Königsdörffer	76	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	6.3
I. Pherai sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Y. Poulsen sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé sub	12	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
Guilherme Ramos sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
R. Glatzel sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

RB LeipzigWWWWD

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Hamburger SVLLWDW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

RB Leipzig 3 · 1 draw · Hamburger SV 0 · 3 goals/game

2022-10-18 RB Leipzig 4–0 Hamburger SV
2019-04-23 Hamburger SV 1–3 RB Leipzig
2018-01-27 RB Leipzig 1–1 Hamburger SV
2017-09-08 Hamburger SV 0–2 RB Leipzig

League standing · 2025/26

RB Leipzig#3 pos65 pts34 pl+19 GD

Hamburger SV#13 pos38 pts34 pl-14 GD

Goals per game

RB Leipzig scored1.94

Hamburger SV scored1.18

RB Leipzig conceded1.38

Hamburger SV conceded1.59

Shot map and expected goals

RB Leipzig 1.16 xG from 10 shots, Hamburger SV 1.29 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

RB Leipzig (attacking right)Hamburger SV (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
RB Leipzig	10	2	1.16
Hamburger SV	16	1	1.29

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV?: In their last 4 meetings, RB Leipzig won 3, Hamburger SV won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV?: Recent form — RB Leipzig 4W 1D 0L; Hamburger SV 2W 1D 2L.

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