This Matchweek

RB LeipzigSV Elversberg

RB Leipzig v SV Elversberg result

Full-time · RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg

Bundesliga · · Red Bull Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg — RB Leipzig won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.44 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said RB Leipzig: 3.03 to 0.76 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 46th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

RB Leipzig beat SV Elversberg 4–0 at Red Bull Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October. RB Leipzig have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — RB Leipzig: Tidiam Gomis (48’, assisted by Antonio Nusa), Rômulo (66’, assisted by Antonio Nusa; 90+4’, assisted by Abdoul Koné) and C. Baumgartner (84’, assisted by Brajan Gruda).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tidiam Gomis’s goal on 48 minutes.

Discipline

Bastian Dankert, Germany showed two yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — RB Leipzig: Rocco Reitz (59’); SV Elversberg: Lasse Günther (74’).

What it changes

RB Leipzig move up from seventh to fifth (seven league matches played). RB Leipzig have scored 22 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). RB Leipzig have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

SV Elversberg move down from sixth to seventh (seven league matches played). SV Elversberg have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). SV Elversberg have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

RB Leipzig’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 7, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rômulo (RB Leipzig) 10.9, Brajan Gruda (RB Leipzig) 7.7 and Antonio Nusa (RB Leipzig) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, RB Leipzig to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

RB Leipzig next host FC Augsburg on 7 November 2026.

SV Elversberg next travel to Borussia Dortmund on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for SV Elversberg: Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Red Bull Arena · Leipzig
  • Referee: Bastian Dankert, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: RB Leipzig 2W 0D 3L · SV Elversberg 2W 1D 2L

RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 2.25
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 4
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.88
Corners
against 6.88 / 6.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 8.13 / 4.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.77 yellows
Referee · Bastian Dankert, Germany
17.69 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRB Leipzig for / againstLineSV Elversberg for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 2.38 against n 8
4our book
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 6.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 6.63 against n 8
Shots
15.75 for · 16.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.63 for · 19.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 8.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 13.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Bastian Dankert, Germany — 2.77 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 17.69 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Goalkeeper

RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Maarten Vandevoordt1090900 min515.1 /90111.1 /9010.1 /90
RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
5.68/7

RB Leipzig Defensive

RB Leipzig — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Orbán1090900 min131.3 /90131.3 /90111.1 /90474.7 /9080.8 /9010.1 /90
D. Raum1086857 min151.6 /90111.2 /9020.2 /90181.9 /9070.7 /9000 /90
R. Baku972649 min111.5 /9050.7 /9050.7 /90375.1 /9071 /9000 /90
C. Lukeba888703 min91.2 /90192.4 /9070.9 /90202.6 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
B. Henrichs536180 min52.5 /9021 /9000 /9084 /9021 /9000 /90
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RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Orbán n 890
15/2
0.94/2
M. Rohr
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
D. Raum n 887.9
0.54/0
0.11/0
—
A. Nusa n 878.6
0.74/1
2.16/5
Ł. Poręba
T. Gomis n 839
0.31/0
1.74/2
L. Petkov
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RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
1.56/3
D. Raum n 887.9
1.77/5
A. Nusa n 878.6
1.16/2
T. Gomis n 839
0.31/0
E. Banzuzi n 870.5
2.77/7
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RB Leipzig Attacking

RB Leipzig — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Gomis1044440 min30.6 /9030.6 /90142.9 /9061.2 /90102 /90112.3 /90
C. Nkunku965586 min40.6 /9020.3 /90111.7 /9081.2 /90101.5 /9040.6 /90
Rômulo659354 min10.3 /9000 /9092.3 /9051.3 /9020.5 /9051.3 /90
J. Bakayoko348144 min00 /9000 /9042.5 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9031.9 /90
Marc Guiu23875 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
14/3
0.32/0
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Raum n 887.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Nusa n 878.6
2.38/6
0.95/1
T. Gomis n 839
2.96/3
1.44/1
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RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Raum n 887.9
00/0
00/0
A. Nusa n 878.6
0.32/0
0.42/1
T. Gomis n 839
0.93/0
00/0
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SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg Goalkeeper

SV Elversberg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Kristof790630 min213 /90121.7 /9000 /90
SV Elversberg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Kristof n 890
2.98/3

SV Elversberg Defensive

SV Elversberg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Rohr789622 min81.2 /90101.4 /90172.5 /90344.9 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
L. Günther782573 min121.9 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90274.2 /9040.6 /9000 /90
L. Pinckert690540 min40.7 /9091.5 /90111.8 /90355.8 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
J. Gyamerah671426 min132.7 /9051.1 /9020.4 /90255.3 /9051.1 /9000 /90
L. Sirch448190 min31.4 /9020.9 /9020.9 /90167.6 /9020.9 /9000 /90
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SV Elversberg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ł. Poręba n 890
1.37/3
0.95/2
A. Nusa
N. Kristof n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
L. Petkov n 888.9
1.34/3
1.48/3
T. Gomis
M. Rohr n 889
0.84/2
1.16/3
W. Orbán
F. Keidel n 884.4
1.36/2
0.53/1
—
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SV Elversberg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ł. Poręba n 890
1.45/3
L. Petkov n 888.9
2.88/5
M. Rohr n 889
1.15/3
F. Keidel n 884.4
1.16/2
L. Günther n 881.5
1.86/3
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SV Elversberg Attacking

SV Elversberg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Mokwa761430 min20.4 /9000 /9051 /9020.4 /9030.6 /9071.5 /90
N. Futkeu334102 min00 /9010.9 /9021.8 /9000 /9021.8 /9000 /90
Ł. Poręba790630 min00 /9000 /9010.1 /9010.1 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90
L. Petkov789623 min20.3 /9020.3 /90101.4 /9060.9 /9071 /90121.7 /90
F. Keidel787611 min10.1 /9030.4 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90121.8 /9050.7 /90
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SV Elversberg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ł. Poręba n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
N. Kristof n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Petkov n 888.9
1.46/3
0.95/2
M. Rohr n 889
0.65/0
0.11/0
F. Keidel n 884.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
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SV Elversberg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ł. Poręba n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Kristof n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Petkov n 888.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
M. Rohr n 889
0.11/0
00/0
F. Keidel n 884.4
0.11/0
0.42/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RB LeipzigSV Elversberg
55%Possession45%
2.87Expected goals (xG)0.80
13Shots5
6Shots on target1
6Shots off target4
1Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box3
4Corners6
0Offsides1
10Fouls18
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves2
488Passes394
83%Pass accuracy81%

RB Leipzig Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ø. Nyland9000001006.9
W. Orbán9000100207.9
B. Henrichs9000000707.3
Max Finkgräfe9000000407.2
M. Estève9000101107.3
N. El Aynaoui9000200306.7
T. Gomis8710220007.3
E. Banzuzi7200000407
A. Nusa7202103207.3
R. Reitz62000010Y6.5
A. Maksimović4500000006.6
Rômulo sub4520331209.9
B. Gruda sub2801003308.6
N. Seiwald sub1800000006.7
C. Baumgartner sub1810210007.5
A. Koné sub901001007.9

SV Elversberg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Rohr9000000205.9
Ł. Poręba9000100006.2
L. Pinckert9000000205.6
L. Petkov9000101106.3
F. Keidel9000000306.7
N. Kristof9000000005.9
L. Günther82000013Y7
F. Schmahl7100101006
D. Mokwa7100110006.7
M. Krattenmacher5900100006.3
J. Gyamerah5900000206.2
R. Adam sub3100000206.6
L. Sirch sub3100001306.2
N. Futkeu sub1900000006.5
Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka sub1900000006.3
William Cole Campbell sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind RB Leipzig v SV Elversberg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RB LeipzigLWWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
SV ElversbergWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
RB Leipzig#4 pos15 pts8 pl+11 GD
SV Elversberg#7 pos13 pts8 pl0 GD
Goals per game
RB Leipzig scored2.75
SV Elversberg scored2
RB Leipzig conceded1.38
SV Elversberg conceded2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

RB Leipzig 3.03 xG from 13 shots, SV Elversberg 0.76 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Christoph Baumgartner 88' · 0.62 xGFrederik Schmahl 68' · 0.58 xGMaxime Estève 46' · 0.11 xGWilli Orban 47' · 0.11 xGMaurice Krattenmacher 20' · 0.09 xGRômulo 88' · 0.08 xGTidiam Gomis 56' · 0.07 xGLukas Petkov 59' · 0.06 xGAntonio Nusa 24' · 0.05 xGNeil El Aynaoui 83' · 0.03 xGNeil El Aynaoui 87' · 0.02 xGLukasz Poreba 43' · 0.02 xGTidiam Gomis 0' · 0.02 xGDavid Mokwa 36' · 0.01 xGRômulo 93' · 0.89 xG · goalChristoph Baumgartner 83' · 0.59 xG · goalTidiam Gomis 47' · 0.36 xG · goalRômulo 65' · 0.09 xG · goal
RB Leipzig (attacking right)SV Elversberg (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
RB Leipzig1343.03
SV Elversberg500.76

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: RB Leipzig 0.07, SV Elversberg 0.12. At full time, RB Leipzig led on xG, 3.03 to 0.76. The widest gap was 2.27 xG to RB Leipzig, in the 93rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.01.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - RB Leipzig 47 minGoal - RB Leipzig 65 minGoal - RB Leipzig 83 minGoal - RB Leipzig 93 min
RB Leipzig 3.03 xGSV Elversberg 0.76 xGdots = goals · 18 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for RB Leipzig v SV Elversberg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for RB Leipzig v SV Elversberg was Home win (best price 1.44 at Betano).
What is the recent form of RB Leipzig and SV Elversberg?
Recent form — RB Leipzig 2W 0D 3L; SV Elversberg 2W 1D 2L.

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