SC FreiburgFC Augsburg

SC Freiburg v FC Augsburg result

Full-time · SC Freiburg 1–3 FC Augsburg

Bundesliga · · Signal Iduna Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

SC Freiburg 1–3 FC Augsburg — FC Augsburg won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.1% of 139 landed (95% range 47.8–64.1%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said SC Freiburg: 2.27 to 1.30 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG, from 16 shots to 12 (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

FC Augsburg won 3–1 at Signal Iduna Park in the Bundesliga on Saturday 23 August. SC Freiburg have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

FC Augsburg led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — FC Augsburg: Dimitrios Giannoulis (32’), Chrislain Matsima (42’, assisted by Mert Kömür) and Marius Wolf (45’); SC Freiburg: Vincenzo Grifo (58’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dimitrios Giannoulis’s goal on 32 minutes.

Discipline

Felix Zwayer, Germany showed nine yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — SC Freiburg: Eren Dinkçi (37’), Christian Günter (40’), Matthias Ginter (45+6’) and Cyriaque Kalou Irié (90+6’); FC Augsburg: Chrislain Matsima (50’), Mert Kömür (61’), Phillip Tietz (68’), Marius Wolf (86’) and E. Rexhbeçaj (90+5’).

What it changes

SC Freiburg are 16th after this result (one league match played). SC Freiburg have scored six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). SC Freiburg have conceded 13 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

FC Augsburg are third after this result (one league match played). FC Augsburg have scored nine goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). FC Augsburg have conceded six goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Vincenzo Grifo (SC Freiburg) 8.1, Maximilian Eggestein (SC Freiburg) 6.4 and Chrislain Matsima (FC Augsburg) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

SC Freiburg next travel to SV Elversberg on 21 November 2026.

FC Augsburg next host FSV Mainz 05 on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SC Freiburg: SV Elversberg v SC Freiburg, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for FC Augsburg: FC Augsburg v FSV Mainz 05, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: SC Freiburg 1–3 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Signal Iduna Park · Dortmund
  • Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany
  • Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SC Freiburg 4 · draws 1 · FC Augsburg 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: SC Freiburg 3W 1D 1L · FC Augsburg 1W 0D 4L

SC Freiburg 1–3 FC Augsburg (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 4.75
Corners
against 3.5 / 5.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 5.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2
Cards
against 2.25 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.36 yellows
Referee · Felix Zwayer, Germany
21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
210
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSC Freiburg for / againstLineFC Augsburg for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
8 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany — 3.36 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 21 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg Defensive

SC Freiburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Lienhart n 887.5
1.44/4
0.85/1
J. Gouweleeuw
L. Höler n 873.9
1.25/1
0.64/0
—
L. Kübler n 851.1
1.14/1
2.25/3
J. Gouweleeuw
M. Eggestein n 890
0.64/1
0.65/0
M. Wolf
M. Ginter n 890
0.43/0
1.35/4
J. Gouweleeuw
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SC Freiburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
27/5
L. Höler n 873.9
1.76/3
L. Kübler n 851.1
1.35/1
M. Ginter n 890
0.94/2
P. Lienhart n 887.5
0.32/0
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SC Freiburg Attacking

SC Freiburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
1.47/3
0.64/1
L. Höler n 873.9
1.47/2
0.95/1
M. Ginter n 890
0.96/1
0.11/0
L. Kübler n 851.1
0.72/1
0.21/0
P. Lienhart n 887.5
00/0
00/0
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SC Freiburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Höler n 873.9
0.84/1
00/0
M. Eggestein n 890
0.32/0
00/0
L. Kübler n 851.1
00/0
0.21/0
M. Ginter n 890
00/0
0.11/0
P. Lienhart n 887.5
00/0
00/0
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FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg Defensive

FC Augsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Mounié n 835.3
1.94/1
1.95/1
—
M. Wolf n 872.5
0.85/0
0.53/0
M. Eggestein
K. Jakić n 886.6
0.64/1
0.96/1
—
C. Matsima n 891
0.53/1
0.22/0
—
J. Gouweleeuw n 891
0.22/0
0.53/1
M. Ginter
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FC Augsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Matsima n 891
2.27/5
K. Jakić n 886.6
1.86/4
J. Gouweleeuw n 891
1.47/4
M. Wolf n 872.5
0.84/1
S. Mounié n 835.3
0.62/0
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FC Augsburg Attacking

FC Augsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Mounié n 835.3
4.56/3
2.23/2
J. Gouweleeuw n 891
0.63/1
0.22/0
K. Jakić n 886.6
0.64/1
0.32/0
C. Matsima n 891
0.42/1
00/0
M. Wolf n 872.5
0.21/0
00/0
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FC Augsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Mounié n 835.3
0.62/0
00/0
J. Gouweleeuw n 891
00/0
0.11/0
C. Matsima n 891
00/0
0.11/0
F. Dahmen n 891
00/0
00/0
K. Jakić n 886.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SC FreiburgFC Augsburg
60%Possession40%
2.60Expected goals (xG)1.34
16Shots14
4Shots on target5
6Shots off target3
6Blocked shots6
12Shots inside the box9
5Corners5
4Offsides3
14Fouls18
4Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
2Saves3
458Passes299
81%Pass accuracy72%

SC Freiburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Atubolu9000000007.2
L. Kübler9000000407
M. Ginter90001100Y6.5
P. Lienhart9000100007.5
M. Eggestein9000002407
V. Grifo9010113007.5
L. Höler9000110007
C. Günter81000020Y5.6
J. Manzambi8100211107.3
Y. Suzuki7000202006
E. Dinkçi60001001Y5.3
Cyriaque Kalou Irié sub30001001Y6.6
M. Röhl sub2000000106.5
J. Makengo sub900001106.9
D. Scherhant sub900000006.2

FC Augsburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Dahmen9000000007.2
C. Matsima90101100Y7.9
J. Gouweleeuw9000110006.7
K. Schlotterbeck9000000007
H. Massengo9000000207
K. Jakić9000111307.3
M. Kömür90011020Y6.3
R. Fellhauer8700200206.3
M. Wolf86101111Y8.5
E. Saad7000001006.2
D. Giannoulis6010111207.7
P. Tietz sub30000001Y6.5
E. Rexhbeçaj sub20000012Y6.9
C. Zesiger sub1600000106.6
A. Maier sub1500000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SC Freiburg v FC Augsburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC FreiburgWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FC AugsburgLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SC Freiburg 4 · 1 draw · FC Augsburg 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-03-02 FC Augsburg 0–0 SC Freiburg
  • 2024-10-19 SC Freiburg 3–1 FC Augsburg
  • 2024-02-25 FC Augsburg 2–1 SC Freiburg
  • 2023-10-01 SC Freiburg 2–0 FC Augsburg
  • 2023-01-28 SC Freiburg 3–1 FC Augsburg
  • 2022-08-06 FC Augsburg 0–4 SC Freiburg
League standing · 2025/26
SC Freiburg#7 pos47 pts34 pl-6 GD
FC Augsburg#9 pos43 pts34 pl-16 GD
Goals per game
SC Freiburg scored1.5
FC Augsburg scored1.32
SC Freiburg conceded1.68
FC Augsburg conceded1.79

Shot Map and Expected Goals

SC Freiburg 2.27 xG from 16 shots, FC Augsburg 1.30 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Yuito Suzuki 38' · 0.38 xGLucas Höler 38' · 0.32 xGJohan Manzambi 50' · 0.12 xGMert Kömür 74' · 0.11 xGEren Sami Dinkci 45' · 0.09 xGYuito Suzuki 49' · 0.09 xGEren Sami Dinkci 23' · 0.09 xGRobin Fellhauer 53' · 0.08 xGLucas Höler 87' · 0.08 xGYuito Suzuki 21' · 0.08 xGVincenzo Grifo 23' · 0.07 xGMatthias Ginter 89' · 0.06 xGPhillip Tietz 77' · 0.06 xGKristijan Jakic 51' · 0.06 xGKristijan Jakic 26' · 0.06 xGDimitris Giannoulis 44' · 0.06 xGMarius Wolf 9' · 0.04 xGLukas Kübler 61' · 0.04 xGMaximilian Eggestein 14' · 0.04 xGPhilipp Lienhart 15' · 0.03 xGRobin Fellhauer 69' · 0.03 xGJohan Manzambi 65' · 0.02 xGCyriaque Irié 73' · 0.01 xGJeffrey Gouweleeuw 83' · 0.01 xGVincenzo Grifo 57' · 0.76 xG · goalMarius Wolf 46' · 0.44 xG · goalChrislain Matsima 41' · 0.29 xG · goalDimitris Giannoulis 31' · 0.06 xG · goal
SC Freiburg (attacking right)FC Augsburg (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
SC Freiburg1612.27
FC Augsburg1231.30

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, SC Freiburg led on xG, 1.10 to 0.51. At full time, SC Freiburg led on xG, 2.27 to 1.30, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. The widest gap was 1.02 xG to SC Freiburg, in the 65th minute (level on open-play xG).

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - FC Augsburg 31 minGoal - FC Augsburg 41 minGoal - FC Augsburg 46 minGoal - SC Freiburg 57 min
SC Freiburg 2.27 xGFC Augsburg 1.30 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SC Freiburg v FC Augsburg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Freiburg v FC Augsburg was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between SC Freiburg and FC Augsburg?
In their last 6 meetings, SC Freiburg won 4, FC Augsburg won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Freiburg and FC Augsburg?
Recent form — SC Freiburg 3W 1D 1L; FC Augsburg 1W 0D 4L.

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