SC Freiburg v RB Leipzig prediction

Bundesliga · · Europa-Park Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SC Freiburg · RB Leipzig · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Freiburg v RB Leipzig, Bundesliga on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

SC Freiburg host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

13 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

12 of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

SC Freiburg have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 12 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, SC Freiburg have seven wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 2.44 points per game, scoring 2.89 and conceding 1.22. SC Freiburg have scored 15 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SC Freiburg have conceded six goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in eight of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, RB Leipzig have two wins, no draws and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 3.00. RB Leipzig have scored 16 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). RB Leipzig have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

SC Freiburg (third) and RB Leipzig (seventh) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have SC Freiburg the stronger side, 43 rating points above RB Leipzig (SC Freiburg 1696, RB Leipzig 1653, after at least 312 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished SC Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig.

Team news

Predicted SC Freiburg XI (4-2-3-1): M. Backhaus, M. Ginter, J. Makengo, P. Lienhart, P. Treu, M. Eggestein, Y. Engelhardt, D. Scherhant, J. Beste, Y. Suzuki, I. Matanović — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Igor Matanović (6.5 per match over 10 appearances, six goals and three assists) and Matthias Ginter (5.3 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been SC Freiburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Freiburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Igor Matanović averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 989 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Matthias Ginter averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 888 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted RB Leipzig XI (4-5-1): M. Vandevoordt, W. Orbán, D. Raum, C. Lukeba, R. Baku, E. Banzuzi, N. El Aynaoui, N. Seiwald, R. Reitz, A. Maksimović, T. Gomis — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Antonio Nusa (6.3 per match over nine appearances, four goals and three assists) and Brajan Gruda (5.0 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) have been RB Leipzig’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for RB Leipzig (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Antonio Nusa averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1519 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Brajan Gruda averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 465 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Europa-Park Stadion
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SC Freiburg 1 · draws 1 · RB Leipzig 4 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: SC Freiburg 3W 1D 1L · RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L

SC Freiburg v RB Leipzig (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.75 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5.5
Corners
against 2.88 / 6.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 2.25 / 7.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.25
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSC Freiburg for / againstLineRB Leipzig for / against
Goals scored
2.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 6.75 against n 8
Shots
18.63 for · 8.5 against n 8
19.5standard
17.5 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 7.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Goto n 823.6
3.86/1
12/0
—
Cyriaque Kalou Irié n 834.1
2.35/1
12/1
—
D. Scherhant n 879.3
2.18/5
15/2
—
I. Matanović n 865
1.76/3
1.98/3
—
Y. Engelhardt n 874.8
1.56/3
1.26/1
—
SC Freiburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Cyriaque Kalou Irié n 834.1
45/3
12/1
I. Matanović n 865
2.98/5
1.45/3
V. Grifo n 831.6
2.84/3
1.83/1
D. Scherhant n 879.3
2.47/3
0.94/2
L. Höler n 832.6
2.45/2
12/1
SC Freiburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Grifo n 831.6
0.41/0
0.41/0
M. Eggestein n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
D. Scherhant n 879.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
Y. Suzuki n 877.3
0.62/1
00/0
L. Kübler n 840.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
SC Freiburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Rosenfelder n 860.9
3.76/5
Berkay Yilmaz n 859.8
36/4
P. Treu n 875.1
2.27/5
I. Ogbus n 844.5
25/1
M. Ginter n 888.5
1.46/2
SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Backhaus n 890
1.13/2
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Konate n 310.3
2.91/0
2.91/0
—
E. Banzuzi n 870.5
2.28/4
1.34/3
—
C. Harder n 841.4
2.25/3
0.52/0
—
Marc Guiu n 847.5
2.15/3
0.73/0
—
J. Bakayoko n 826.1
1.72/1
00/0
—
RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Konate n 310.3
5.82/0
00/0
C. Harder n 841.4
36/4
1.96/1
J. Bakayoko n 826.1
34/2
1.33/0
T. Gomis n 844.9
2.86/4
13/1
B. Gruda n 866
2.46/5
1.24/2
RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Nkunku n 863.5
0.72/1
0.42/0
A. Maksimović n 831.1
0.72/0
0.41/0
T. Gomis n 844.9
0.52/0
0.51/1
R. Reitz n 860
0.21/0
0.63/0
C. Harder n 841.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Banzuzi n 870.5
2.77/7
N. Seiwald n 849.3
2.76/3
R. Reitz n 860
2.64/4
Max Finkgräfe n 853.5
2.55/3
L. Klostermann n 830
2.33/2
RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
5.58/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind SC Freiburg v RB Leipzig — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC FreiburgWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
RB LeipzigWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SC Freiburg 1 · 1 draw · RB Leipzig 4 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-16 SC Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig
  • 2026-01-14 RB Leipzig 2–0 SC Freiburg
  • 2025-03-08 SC Freiburg 0–0 RB Leipzig
  • 2024-10-26 RB Leipzig 3–1 SC Freiburg
  • 2024-04-06 SC Freiburg 1–4 RB Leipzig
  • 2023-11-12 RB Leipzig 3–1 SC Freiburg
League standing · 2026/27
SC Freiburg#3 pos13 pts6 pl+9 GD
RB Leipzig#7 pos9 pts6 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
SC Freiburg scored2.5
RB Leipzig scored2.67
SC Freiburg conceded1
RB Leipzig conceded1.83

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between SC Freiburg and RB Leipzig?
In their last 6 meetings, SC Freiburg won 1, RB Leipzig won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Freiburg and RB Leipzig?
Recent form — SC Freiburg 3W 1D 1L; RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L.

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