SC Freiburg v Union Berlin prediction

Bundesliga · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:30 GMT · Europa-Park Stadion

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 20:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SC Freiburg · Union Berlin · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for SC Freiburg v Union Berlin, Bundesliga on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 268 landed (95% range 72.6–82.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 171 of 259 times (66%), against an average rating of 68.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

SC Freiburg host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 16:30 UK); the model’s free pick is SC Freiburg to win.

The key numbers

14 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (93%).

Union Berlin are unbeaten in the last six meetings with SC Freiburg, every meeting checked. Union Berlin are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, SC Freiburg have six wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 2.75 and conceding 1.63. SC Freiburg have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). SC Freiburg have conceded 10 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

11 of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Union Berlin have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 3.29. Union Berlin have scored seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Union Berlin have conceded 19 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

SC Freiburg (third) and Union Berlin (16th) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have SC Freiburg the stronger side, 195 rating points above Union Berlin (SC Freiburg 1713, Union Berlin 1519, after at least 247 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished SC Freiburg 0–1 Union Berlin.

Team news

Predicted SC Freiburg XI (4-2-3-1): M. Backhaus, M. Ginter, J. Makengo, P. Lienhart, L. Kübler, M. Eggestein, Y. Suzuki, Y. Engelhardt, J. Beste, D. Scherhant, I. Matanović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Igor Matanović (5.9 per match over 14 appearances, eight goals and three assists) and Matthias Ginter (4.5 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been SC Freiburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Freiburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Igor Matanović averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1247 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Matthias Ginter averages 1.2 tackles per 90 over 1248 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Union Berlin XI (4-2-3-1): F. Rønnow, Z. Van Den Bosch, T. Rothe, J. Haberer, L. Querfeld, M. Aebischer, A. Schäfer, R. Khedira, J. Woo-Yeong, K. Imeri, T. Skarke — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josip Juranović (5.8 per match over four appearances, three assists) and Tom Rothe (4.6 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Union Berlin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Union Berlin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josip Juranović averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 328 minutes. Tom Rothe averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 765 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:30 GMT · Bundesliga · Europa-Park Stadion
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): SC Freiburg 0 · draws 3 · Union Berlin 3 · 1.17 goals/game
Recent form: SC Freiburg 2W 0D 3L · Union Berlin 1W 3D 1L

SC Freiburg v Union Berlin (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.5

Goals

against 2 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

5.63 / 3.25

Corners

against 3.13 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4 / 2.88

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 6.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 3

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	SC Freiburg for / against	Line	Union Berlin for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	0.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.63 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.13 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.75 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.88 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.88 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.88 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg Goalkeeper

SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Backhaus	13	901170 min	241.8 /90	141.1 /90	00 /90

SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Backhaus n 8	90	2.3 4/4
F. Müller n 8	90	2.3 4/4

SC Freiburg Defensive

SC Freiburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Ginter	14	891248 min	161.2 /90	130.9 /90	40.3 /90	825.9 /90	60.4 /90	20.1 /90
J. Makengo	12	82984 min	131.2 /90	181.6 /90	40.4 /90	585.3 /90	111 /90	00 /90
P. Lienhart	12	70843 min	131.4 /90	111.2 /90	40.4 /90	444.7 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90
P. Treu	11	70767 min	212.5 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	394.6 /90	70.8 /90	10.1 /90
L. Kübler	9	58521 min	132.2 /90	50.9 /90	20.3 /90	345.9 /90	91.6 /90	00 /90
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SC Freiburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Eggestein n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.6 4/1	—
M. Ginter n 8	90	0.4 3/0	1.1 6/3	—
I. Matanović n 8	65.9	1.4 6/2	2.4 7/5	—
M. Backhaus n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Y. Suzuki n 8	72.5	0.6 4/0	0.9 5/1	—
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SC Freiburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 8	90	1.6 7/4
M. Ginter n 8	90	0.6 4/1
I. Matanović n 8	65.9	1.2 5/2
Y. Suzuki n 8	72.5	1.1 5/2
J. Makengo n 8	79.1	1.3 6/2
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SC Freiburg Attacking

SC Freiburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Matanović	14	67936 min	80.8 /90	30.3 /90	343.3 /90	191.8 /90	141.3 /90	161.5 /90
L. Höler	9	43386 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	112.6 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90
Cyriaque Kalou Irié	7	51354 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	133.3 /90	30.8 /90	51.3 /90	164.1 /90
K. Goto	6	30178 min	42 /90	00 /90	63 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
M. Eggestein	14	901260 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	151.1 /90	80.6 /90	161.1 /90	60.4 /90
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SC Freiburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 8	90	1 6/2	0.6 4/1
M. Ginter n 8	90	1.5 6/4	0.4 3/0
I. Matanović n 8	65.9	3.1 8/5	1.2 5/2
M. Backhaus n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Suzuki n 8	72.5	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
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SC Freiburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Ginter n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Matanović n 8	65.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Backhaus n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Suzuki n 8	72.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Union Berlin

Union Berlin Goalkeeper

Union Berlin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Rønnow	7	90629 min	273.9 /90	142 /90	00 /90
M. Raab	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90

Union Berlin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Rønnow n 8	82.5	4 7/4
M. Raab n 5	80.2	3.8 4/4

Union Berlin Defensive

Union Berlin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Rothe	9	85765 min	222.6 /90	151.8 /90	50.6 /90	516 /90	121.4 /90	10.1 /90
Zeno Van Den Bosch	9	82738 min	182.2 /90	172.1 /90	00 /90	384.6 /90	121.5 /90	40.5 /90
L. Querfeld	6	86515 min	91.6 /90	61 /90	50.9 /90	356.1 /90	61 /90	20.3 /90
F. Uduokhai	6	78469 min	71.3 /90	61.2 /90	101.9 /90	326.1 /90	71.3 /90	30.6 /90
J. Juranović	4	82328 min	102.7 /90	51.4 /90	00 /90	113 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
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Union Berlin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Khedira n 8	89.9	1.6 7/5	0.8 4/2	—
M. Aebischer n 8	84.3	0.5 3/1	0.7 5/0	—
Jeong Woo-Yeong n 8	63.6	0.9 5/0	1.6 5/3	—
T. Rothe n 8	84.4	1.3 6/3	0.7 4/1	—
Zeno Van Den Bosch n 8	81	1.5 6/3	0.8 3/2	—
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Union Berlin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Khedira n 8	89.9	1.9 7/5
M. Aebischer n 8	84.3	1.6 7/4
Jeong Woo-Yeong n 8	63.6	1.1 5/1
T. Rothe n 8	84.4	2.8 7/5
Zeno Van Den Bosch n 8	81	2.2 5/5
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Union Berlin Attacking

Union Berlin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Livan Burcu	9	47421 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	71.5 /90	40.9 /90	20.4 /90	112.4 /90
T. Skarke	8	52412 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	102.2 /90	51.1 /90	51.1 /90	40.9 /90
Emmanuel Latte Lath	7	55384 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	61.4 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90
M. LjubiÄiÄ	5	52260 min	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	72.4 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90	31 /90
M. Gray	3	41123 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.5 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
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Union Berlin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Khedira n 8	89.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Aebischer n 8	84.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Jeong Woo-Yeong n 8	63.6	0.9 3/1	0 0/0
T. Rothe n 8	84.4	0.8 4/2	0.4 3/0
Zeno Van Den Bosch n 8	81	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
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Union Berlin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Khedira n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Aebischer n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jeong Woo-Yeong n 8	63.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Rothe n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Zeno Van Den Bosch n 8	81	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SC Freiburg v Union Berlin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SC FreiburgLLLWW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Union BerlinWDDLD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

SC Freiburg 0 · 3 draws · Union Berlin 3 · 1.17 goals/game

2026-03-15 SC Freiburg 0–1 Union Berlin
2025-11-01 Union Berlin 0–0 SC Freiburg
2025-03-30 SC Freiburg 1–2 Union Berlin
2024-11-08 Union Berlin 0–0 SC Freiburg
2024-05-18 Union Berlin 2–1 SC Freiburg
2024-01-13 SC Freiburg 0–0 Union Berlin

League standing · 2026/27

SC Freiburg#3 pos16 pts8 pl+8 GD

Union Berlin#16 pos7 pts8 pl-12 GD

Goals per game

SC Freiburg scored2.25

Union Berlin scored0.88

SC Freiburg conceded1.25

Union Berlin conceded2.38

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win SC Freiburg v Union Berlin?: TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Freiburg v Union Berlin is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between SC Freiburg and Union Berlin?: In their last 6 meetings, SC Freiburg won 0, Union Berlin won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Freiburg and Union Berlin?: Recent form — SC Freiburg 2W 0D 3L; Union Berlin 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 1 Nov 2026, 20:21 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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