SC Paderborn 07 v RB Leipzig prediction

Bundesliga · Sat, 09 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT · Home Deluxe Arena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SC Paderborn 07 · RB Leipzig

TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Paderborn 07 v RB Leipzig, Bundesliga on Sat, 09 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

SC Paderborn 07 host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Saturday 9 January (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

12 of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

RB Leipzig have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of SC Paderborn 07’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of SC Paderborn 07’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, SC Paderborn 07 have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.25. SC Paderborn 07 have scored eight goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). SC Paderborn 07 have conceded 11 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in seven of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, RB Leipzig have three wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 2.50. RB Leipzig have scored 27 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). RB Leipzig have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

SC Paderborn 07 are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. SC Paderborn 07 (12th) and RB Leipzig (third) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have RB Leipzig the stronger side, 268 rating points above SC Paderborn 07 (RB Leipzig 1780, SC Paderborn 07 1512, after at least 45 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 6 June 2020, finished RB Leipzig 1–1 SC Paderborn 07.

Team news

Predicted SC Paderborn 07 XI (3-5-2): N. Noll, J. ter Horst, T. Scheller, M. Hansen, S. Castañeda, L. Curda, R. Obermair, T. Baack, G. Vidovic, S. Marino, M. Pieringer — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Santiago Castañeda (5.0 per match over 11 appearances, two goals) and Jano ter Horst (3.8 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been SC Paderborn 07’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Paderborn 07 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Santiago Castañeda averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 990 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Jano ter Horst averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 917 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted RB Leipzig XI (4-5-1): M. Vandevoordt, W. Orbán, D. Raum, C. Lukeba, R. Baku, N. El Aynaoui, E. Banzuzi, A. Nusa, B. Gruda, T. Gomis, Rômulo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Antonio Nusa (6.6 per match over 15 appearances, six goals and eight assists) and Brajan Gruda (5.4 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and five assists) have been RB Leipzig’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for RB Leipzig (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Antonio Nusa averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1880 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Brajan Gruda averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 832 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 09 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT · Bundesliga · Home Deluxe Arena
Head-to-head (last 2): SC Paderborn 07 0 · draws 1 · RB Leipzig 1 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: SC Paderborn 07 1W 3D 1L · RB Leipzig 4W 0D 1L

SC Paderborn 07 v RB Leipzig (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2.25

Goals

against 1.38 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 4.38

Corners

against 5.13 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 6

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.25 / 1.5

Cards

against 1.38 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	SC Paderborn 07 for / against	Line	RB Leipzig for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.38 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.38 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.13 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.63 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 Goalkeeper

SC Paderborn 07 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Noll	9	90810 min	333.7 /90	91 /90	00 /90
M. Schubert	2	90180 min	84 /90	21 /90	00 /90

SC Paderborn 07 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Noll n 8	90	3.6 5/5
M. Schubert n 4	91.3	3.2 4/3

SC Paderborn 07 Defensive

SC Paderborn 07 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. ter Horst	11	83917 min	222.2 /90	232.3 /90	80.8 /90	504.9 /90	131.3 /90	20.2 /90
T. Scheller	11	83910 min	232.3 /90	90.9 /90	90.9 /90	646.3 /90	90.9 /90	20.2 /90
M. Hansen	11	78856 min	212.2 /90	181.9 /90	60.6 /90	485 /90	60.6 /90	10.1 /90
F. Götze	4	39155 min	52.9 /90	52.9 /90	10.6 /90	137.5 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
Jonah Benedict Sticker	3	39117 min	32.3 /90	21.5 /90	10.8 /90	107.7 /90	21.5 /90	00 /90
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SC Paderborn 07 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Castañeda n 8	90	0.6 4/1	2.3 7/6	—
J. ter Horst n 8	81.9	1.1 3/2	0.4 2/1	—
L. Curda n 8	80.5	1.7 6/4	1 5/2	—
T. Scheller n 8	80	1.1 5/2	0.4 2/1	—
M. Hansen n 8	76.9	0.4 3/0	0.7 3/2	—
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SC Paderborn 07 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Castañeda n 8	90	1.6 6/3
J. ter Horst n 8	81.9	2.3 8/6
L. Curda n 8	80.5	2.4 6/5
T. Scheller n 8	80	2.3 7/5
M. Hansen n 8	76.9	2.5 7/3
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SC Paderborn 07 Attacking

SC Paderborn 07 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Marino	10	69685 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	141.8 /90	70.9 /90	40.5 /90	30.4 /90
M. Pieringer	10	56564 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	101.6 /90	20.3 /90	50.8 /90	20.3 /90
S. Tigges	10	37371 min	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	174.1 /90	51.2 /90	41 /90	30.7 /90
R. Philippe	6	24142 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	63.8 /90	42.5 /90	31.9 /90	10.6 /90
Ruben Müller	3	49148 min	00 /90	10.6 /90	42.4 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	21.2 /90
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SC Paderborn 07 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Castañeda n 8	90	1.9 8/5	0.6 4/1
J. ter Horst n 8	81.9	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
L. Curda n 8	80.5	1 6/1	0.1 1/0
T. Scheller n 8	80	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
M. Hansen n 8	76.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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SC Paderborn 07 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Castañeda n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. ter Horst n 8	81.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Curda n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
T. Scheller n 8	80	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Hansen n 8	76.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Goalkeeper

RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Maarten Vandevoordt	13	901170 min	614.7 /90	141.1 /90	10.1 /90
Ø. Nyland	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90

RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Maarten Vandevoordt n 8	90	5.6 7/7
Ø. Nyland n 4	90	1.3 1/1

RB Leipzig Defensive

RB Leipzig — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
W. Orbán	15	891333 min	201.4 /90	171.1 /90	140.9 /90	664.5 /90	110.7 /90	10.1 /90
D. Raum	14	871217 min	231.7 /90	231.7 /90	20.1 /90	332.4 /90	141 /90	20.1 /90
C. Lukeba	12	881050 min	131.1 /90	232 /90	70.6 /90	282.4 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90
R. Baku	12	71850 min	202.1 /90	60.6 /90	60.6 /90	545.7 /90	121.3 /90	10.1 /90
B. Henrichs	9	43387 min	143.3 /90	51.2 /90	20.5 /90	245.6 /90	61.4 /90	00 /90
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RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Orbán n 8	87.9	0.6 4/1	0.8 4/1	—
A. Nusa n 8	63.9	0.4 2/0	1.6 6/2	—
D. Raum n 8	87.9	1.2 5/2	0.4 2/1	—
E. Banzuzi n 8	75.4	2.2 7/3	1.8 5/4	—
T. Gomis n 8	50.9	1.1 4/1	2.2 5/3	—
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RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
W. Orbán n 8	87.9	1.5 8/3
A. Nusa n 8	63.9	1.2 4/3
D. Raum n 8	87.9	2 6/5
E. Banzuzi n 8	75.4	3.1 8/7
T. Gomis n 8	50.9	0 0/0
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RB Leipzig Attacking

RB Leipzig — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Gomis	14	52730 min	40.5 /90	30.4 /90	222.7 /90	81 /90	101.2 /90	253.1 /90
B. Gruda	13	64832 min	20.2 /90	50.5 /90	171.8 /90	91 /90	232.5 /90	525.6 /90
C. Nkunku	11	64709 min	50.6 /90	40.5 /90	141.8 /90	91.1 /90	141.8 /90	40.5 /90
Rômulo	11	64703 min	50.6 /90	00 /90	162 /90	101.3 /90	50.6 /90	81 /90
J. Bakayoko	3	48144 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.5 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	31.9 /90
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RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Orbán n 8	87.9	1 6/2	0.1 1/0
A. Nusa n 8	63.9	2.5 8/4	1.1 3/2
D. Raum n 8	87.9	0.4 2/1	0.4 2/1
E. Banzuzi n 8	75.4	1.9 5/4	0.7 3/2
T. Gomis n 8	50.9	2.7 5/4	1.1 3/2
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RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Orbán n 8	87.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Nusa n 8	63.9	0.4 2/0	0.9 4/1
D. Raum n 8	87.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
E. Banzuzi n 8	75.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
T. Gomis n 8	50.9	0.7 3/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SC Paderborn 07 v RB Leipzig — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SC Paderborn 07DWLDD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

RB LeipzigWWWLW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

SC Paderborn 07 0 · 1 draw · RB Leipzig 1 · 3.5 goals/game

2020-06-06 RB Leipzig 1–1 SC Paderborn 07
2019-11-30 SC Paderborn 07 2–3 RB Leipzig

League standing · 2026/27

SC Paderborn 07#12 pos10 pts9 pl-3 GD

RB Leipzig#3 pos18 pts9 pl+14 GD

Goals per game

SC Paderborn 07 scored0.89

RB Leipzig scored3

SC Paderborn 07 conceded1.22

RB Leipzig conceded1.44

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between SC Paderborn 07 and RB Leipzig?: In their last 2 meetings, SC Paderborn 07 won 0, RB Leipzig won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Paderborn 07 and RB Leipzig?: Recent form — SC Paderborn 07 1W 3D 1L; RB Leipzig 4W 0D 1L.

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