SV Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05 prediction

The match

SV Elversberg host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga on Friday 30 October (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

12 of SV Elversberg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in nine of SV Elversberg’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, SV Elversberg have five wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.50. SV Elversberg have scored 12 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SV Elversberg have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

10 of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, FSV Mainz 05 have six wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 2.11 points per game, scoring 2.67 and conceding 1.22. FSV Mainz 05 have scored 16 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

SV Elversberg (eighth) and FSV Mainz 05 (seventh) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FSV Mainz 05 the stronger side, 38 rating points above SV Elversberg (FSV Mainz 05 1558, SV Elversberg 1520, after at least nine rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 12 August 2023, finished SV Elversberg 0–1 FSV Mainz 05.

Team news

SV Elversberg have four names on the availability list: T. Zimmerschied (out, Ankle Injury), J. Gyamerah (doubtful, Thigh Injury), L. Seifert (doubtful, Ankle Injury) and N. Darvich (doubtful, Hamstring Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-29. Predicted SV Elversberg XI (4-2-3-1): N. Kristof, L. Pinckert, L. Günther, M. Rohr, L. Sirch, L. Petkov, Ł. Poręba, F. Keidel, M. Krattenmacher, F. Schmahl, D. Mokwa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Lukas Petkov (5.9 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) and Maximilian Rohr (4.2 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been SV Elversberg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SV Elversberg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lukas Petkov averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1038 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Maximilian Rohr averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 712 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last eight appearances.

FSV Mainz 05 have three names on the availability list: D. Kohr (out, Foot Injury), Silas (out, Broken shinbone) and O. Ruoppi (doubtful, Knee Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-29. Predicted FSV Mainz 05 XI (3-5-2): A. Schwolow, S. Posch, K. Potulski, D. da Costa, P. Mwene, K. Sano, N. Amiri, L. Jae-Sung, A. Caci, P. Tietz, S. Becker — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Phillip Tietz (5.8 per match over nine appearances, nine goals) and Anthony Caci (5.4 per match over nine appearances, three goals and four assists) have been FSV Mainz 05’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FSV Mainz 05 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Phillip Tietz averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 767 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last nine appearances. Anthony Caci averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 617 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.