Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln prediction

Bundesliga · Sun, 01 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 09:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Union Berlin · 1. FC Köln · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln, Bundesliga on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.62 at Betvictor

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 586 landed (95% range 63.2–70.7%); it had given them 76.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 479 of 729 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Union Berlin host 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 14:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Both teams scored in 12 of 1. FC Köln’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in nine of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Union Berlin have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.43. Union Berlin have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Union Berlin have conceded 18 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

11 of 1. FC Köln’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Away from home, 1. FC Köln have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 2.29. 1. FC Köln have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1. FC Köln have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Union Berlin are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Union Berlin (17th) and 1. FC Köln (12th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Union Berlin the stronger side, 111 rating points above 1. FC Köln (Union Berlin 1519, 1. FC Köln 1408, after at least 247 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 27 October 2026, finished 1. FC Köln 5–0 Union Berlin.

Team news

Predicted Union Berlin XI (4-2-3-1): F. Rønnow, T. Rothe, Z. Van Den Bosch, J. Haberer, L. Querfeld, R. Khedira, M. Aebischer, A. Schäfer, J. Woo-Yeong, A. Kemlein, T. Skarke — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josip Juranović (5.8 per match over four appearances, three assists) and Tom Rothe (4.6 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Union Berlin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Union Berlin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josip Juranović averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 328 minutes. Tom Rothe averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 765 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.

Predicted 1. FC Köln XI (5-3-2): M. Schwäbe, J. Simpson-Pusey, L. Lochoshvili, S. Sebulonsen, B. Sosa, J. Schmied, L. Maina, T. Krauß, Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson, M. Bülter, T. Dallinga — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tom Krauß (4.1 per match over nine appearances) and Linton Maina (4.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals and four assists) have been 1. FC Köln’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for 1. FC Köln (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tom Krauß averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 743 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances. Linton Maina averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 578 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT · Bundesliga
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Union Berlin 2 · draws 2 · 1. FC Köln 2 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Union Berlin 1W 2D 2L · 1. FC Köln 2W 1D 2L

Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.63

Goals

against 2.88 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3.63 / 5.63

Corners

against 5.38 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 5.63

Shots on target

against 6.88 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.75 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Union Berlin for / against	Line	1. FC Köln for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.5 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.63 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.63 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.88 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.38 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Union Berlin

Union Berlin Goalkeeper

Union Berlin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Rønnow	6	90540 min	264.3 /90	142.3 /90	00 /90
M. Raab	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90

Union Berlin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Rønnow n 8	82.6	4.1 8/4
M. Raab n 5	80.2	3.8 4/4

Union Berlin Defensive

Union Berlin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Rothe	9	85765 min	222.6 /90	151.8 /90	50.6 /90	516 /90	121.4 /90	10.1 /90
Zeno Van Den Bosch	8	81649 min	152.1 /90	141.9 /90	00 /90	324.4 /90	81.1 /90	30.4 /90
J. Haberer	8	58467 min	91.7 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90	173.3 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90
L. Querfeld	6	86515 min	91.6 /90	61 /90	50.9 /90	356.1 /90	61 /90	20.3 /90
F. Uduokhai	6	78469 min	71.3 /90	61.2 /90	101.9 /90	326.1 /90	71.3 /90	30.6 /90
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Union Berlin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Khedira n 8	90	1.8 8/5	0.6 3/2	—
T. Rothe n 8	84.4	1.3 6/3	0.7 4/1	—
M. Aebischer n 8	81.4	1.1 4/2	0.7 5/0	—
Jeong Woo-Yeong n 8	65.4	0.9 5/0	1.7 6/3	—
Zeno Van Den Bosch n 8	81.1	1.1 6/2	0.8 3/2	—
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Union Berlin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Khedira n 8	90	1.9 7/5
T. Rothe n 8	84.4	2.8 7/5
M. Aebischer n 8	81.4	1.5 7/3
Jeong Woo-Yeong n 8	65.4	0.9 4/1
Zeno Van Den Bosch n 8	81.1	2.1 5/5
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Union Berlin Attacking

Union Berlin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Livan Burcu	8	43347 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.6 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	112.9 /90
Emmanuel Latte Lath	7	55384 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	61.4 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90
T. Skarke	7	50351 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	102.6 /90	51.3 /90	41 /90	41 /90
M. LjubiÄiÄ	5	52260 min	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	72.4 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90	31 /90
M. Gray	3	41123 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.5 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
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Union Berlin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Khedira n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
T. Rothe n 8	84.4	0.8 4/2	0.4 3/0
M. Aebischer n 8	81.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Jeong Woo-Yeong n 8	65.4	1 4/1	0.2 1/0
Zeno Van Den Bosch n 8	81.1	0.8 4/1	0.4 2/1
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Union Berlin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Khedira n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Rothe n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Aebischer n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jeong Woo-Yeong n 8	65.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Zeno Van Den Bosch n 8	81.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln Goalkeeper

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Schwäbe	9	90810 min	333.7 /90	121.3 /90	10.1 /90

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 8	90	4 7/6

1. FC Köln Defensive

1. FC Köln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey	9	90810 min	60.7 /90	151.7 /90	60.7 /90	455 /90	40.4 /90	10.1 /90
L. Lochoshvili	8	87699 min	111.4 /90	70.9 /90	50.6 /90	395 /90	91.2 /90	10.1 /90
A. Castro-Montes	7	69486 min	152.8 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90	264.8 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
G. Mensah	5	82409 min	61.3 /90	61.3 /90	00 /90	132.9 /90	92 /90	20.4 /90
B. Sosa	5	75377 min	122.9 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	225.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.2 /90
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1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 8	90	0.4 3/0	1.4 7/3	—
M. Schwäbe n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
T. Krauß n 8	81.6	1.5 6/3	1.2 6/3	—
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 8	61.8	1.1 4/2	0.4 1/1	—
L. Maina n 8	70.4	0.5 2/1	2.2 7/4	—
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1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 8	90	0.6 4/1
T. Krauß n 8	81.6	3.2 6/5
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 8	61.8	2 5/3
L. Maina n 8	70.4	1.4 4/3
L. Lochoshvili n 8	87.4	1.4 4/3
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1. FC Köln Attacking

1. FC Köln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Bülter	7	79555 min	10.2 /90	20.3 /90	132.1 /90	91.5 /90	91.5 /90	20.3 /90
R. Ache	5	53267 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	62 /90	31 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90
T. Dallinga	4	42168 min	21.1 /90	00 /90	73.8 /90	42.1 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90
L. Waldschmidt	1	2222 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.1 /90	14.1 /90	14.1 /90	00 /90
Reigan Heskey	1	1515 min	00 /90	00 /90	16 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
M. Schwäbe n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Krauß n 8	81.6	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 8	61.8	0.9 5/0	0.7 4/0
L. Maina n 8	70.4	0.8 3/2	0.8 3/2
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1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Schwäbe n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Krauß n 8	81.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 8	61.8	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
L. Maina n 8	70.4	0.3 2/0	0.5 3/0
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Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Union BerlinLWDDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

1. FC KölnLWLDW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Union Berlin 2 · 2 draws · 1. FC Köln 2 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-10-27 1. FC Köln 5–0 Union Berlin
2026-05-02 Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln
2025-12-20 1. FC Köln 0–1 Union Berlin
2024-05-11 1. FC Köln 3–2 Union Berlin
2023-12-20 Union Berlin 2–0 1. FC Köln
2023-03-04 Union Berlin 0–0 1. FC Köln

League standing · 2026/27

Union Berlin#17 pos6 pts7 pl-12 GD

1. FC Köln#12 pos8 pts7 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Union Berlin scored0.86

1. FC Köln scored1.14

Union Berlin conceded2.57

1. FC Köln conceded1.57

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Union Berlin and 1. FC Köln?: In their last 6 meetings, Union Berlin won 2, 1. FC Köln won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Union Berlin and 1. FC Köln?: Recent form — Union Berlin 1W 2D 2L; 1. FC Köln 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 09:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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