Union Berlin v Bayern München prediction

Bundesliga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Union Berlin · Bayern München · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Union Berlin v Bayern München, Bundesliga on Sat, 13 Feb 2027 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Union Berlin host Bayern München in the Bundesliga on Saturday 13 February (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

Bayern München have scored 22 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Bayern München have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

12 of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in nine of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Union Berlin have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.38. Union Berlin have scored five goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Union Berlin have conceded 17 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

12 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 10 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Bayern München have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.14. Bayern München have conceded five goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Union Berlin (17th) and Bayern München (first) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayern München the stronger side, 516 rating points above Union Berlin (Bayern München 2012, Union Berlin 1497, after at least 246 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Union Berlin, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 18 September 2026, finished Bayern München 7–0 Union Berlin.

Team news

Predicted Union Berlin XI (4-2-3-1): F. Rønnow, T. Rothe, F. Uduokhai, Z. Van Den Bosch, L. Querfeld, R. Khedira, M. Aebischer, A. Schäfer, J. Woo-Yeong, A. Kemlein, E. Lath — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josip Juranović (5.8 per match over four appearances, three assists) and Leopold Querfeld (5.7 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Union Berlin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Union Berlin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josip Juranović averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 328 minutes. Leopold Querfeld averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 360 minutes.

Predicted Bayern München XI (4-2-3-1): M. Neuer, D. Upamecano, A. Davies, K. Min-Jae, J. Stanišić, M. Olise, J. Kimmich, A. Pavlović, L. Díaz, I. Saibari, H. Kane — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Michael Olise (10.0 per match over 10 appearances, nine goals and four assists) and Harry Kane (7.9 per match over 11 appearances, 10 goals and seven assists) have been Bayern München’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayern München (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Michael Olise averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 1820 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Harry Kane averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1951 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Union Berlin 0 · draws 2 · Bayern München 4 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Union Berlin 1W 1D 3L · Bayern München 2W 3D 0L

Union Berlin v Bayern München (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 3.38
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 9.13
Corners
against 6.38 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 9.75
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.75 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameUnion Berlin for / againstLineBayern München for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
3.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
9.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
23.5 for · 7.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
9.75 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 8.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2 against n 8
Union Berlin
Union Berlin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Kemlein n 851
25/3
00/0
—
M. Ljubičić n 872
1.97/3
0.52/1
—
T. Skarke n 835.5
1.94/2
2.25/1
—
R. Khedira n 887.1
1.88/5
0.42/1
—
K. Imeri n 862.9
1.86/4
2.18/4
—
Union Berlin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Skarke n 835.5
3.25/4
2.23/3
K. Imeri n 862.9
1.85/4
1.15/1
Ilyas Ansah n 850.4
1.84/2
1.14/1
Jeong Woo-Yeong n 857.4
1.45/1
0.42/0
M. Ljubičić n 872
1.34/2
0.83/1
Union Berlin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Juranović n 856.3
0.21/0
0.83/1
T. Skarke n 835.5
0.62/0
0.31/0
K. Imeri n 862.9
0.21/0
0.52/1
O. Burke n 874.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Ljubičić n 872
0.31/1
0.21/0
Union Berlin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Rothe n 890
2.98/6
J. Juranović n 856.3
2.64/4
J. Haberer n 844.4
2.56/3
A. Schäfer n 879.3
2.37/4
Zeno Van Den Bosch n 881
2.26/6
Union Berlin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Raab n 883.9
3.86/6
F. Rønnow n 882.6
3.57/3
Bayern München
Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Ito n 861.5
2.25/3
0.21/0
—
K. Laimer n 866.5
25/4
0.72/1
—
L. Díaz n 866.5
1.76/4
0.52/1
—
T. Bischof n 859.4
1.76/2
0.84/0
—
D. Upamecano n 878.1
1.67/4
0.11/0
—
Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Olise n 869.3
4.18/7
3.28/5
H. Kane n 879.4
48/8
2.38/5
S. Gnabry n 833.3
3.45/4
25/1
I. Saibari n 850.8
3.36/5
1.33/2
L. Karl n 838.1
2.45/2
1.23/1
Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 879.4
1.47/3
0.94/2
M. Olise n 869.3
1.35/2
0.64/0
L. Díaz n 866.5
0.72/1
0.21/0
J. Musiala n 860.5
0.63/0
0.21/0
T. Bischof n 859.4
0.21/0
0.41/1
Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Boey n 849.8
2.95/4
T. Bischof n 859.4
2.87/6
D. Upamecano n 878.1
2.47/5
Bara Ndiaye n 833.8
2.34/1
N. Brown n 851.6
24/2
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 892.6
1.96/3
J. Urbig n 882.5
1.84/2

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Union Berlin v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Union BerlinLLLWD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Bayern MünchenWDDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Union Berlin 0 · 2 draws · Bayern München 4 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-09-18 Bayern München 7–0 Union Berlin
  • 2026-03-21 Bayern München 4–0 Union Berlin
  • 2025-12-03 Union Berlin 2–3 Bayern München
  • 2025-11-08 Union Berlin 2–2 Bayern München
  • 2025-03-15 Union Berlin 1–1 Bayern München
  • 2024-11-02 Bayern München 3–0 Union Berlin
League standing · 2026/27
Union Berlin#17 pos5 pts6 pl-12 GD
Bayern München#1 pos14 pts6 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
Union Berlin scored0.83
Bayern München scored3.67
Union Berlin conceded2.83
Bayern München conceded0.83

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Union Berlin and Bayern München?
In their last 6 meetings, Union Berlin won 0, Bayern München won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Union Berlin and Bayern München?
Recent form — Union Berlin 1W 1D 3L; Bayern München 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →