This Matchweek

Werder BremenRB Leipzig

Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig result

Full-time · Werder Bremen 3–1 RB Leipzig

Bundesliga · · Weserstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Werder Bremen · RB Leipzig · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Werder Bremen 3–1 RB Leipzig — Werder Bremen won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.25 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 829 of 1,283 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said RB Leipzig: 1.58 to 0.85 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 55th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig 3–1 at Weserstadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday 5 September. RB Leipzig have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Werder Bremen led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Werder Bremen: Eren Dinkçi (4’, assisted by Chuky San José), Niclas Füllkrug (68’, assisted by Marco Grüll) and Marco Grüll (80’); RB Leipzig: R. Baku (90’, assisted by A. Maksimović).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Niclas Füllkrug’s goal on 68 minutes.

Discipline

Benjamin Brand, Germany showed one yellow card — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Werder Bremen: Chuky San José (23’).

What it changes

Werder Bremen move up from 16th to ninth (two league matches played). Werder Bremen have scored 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Werder Bremen have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

RB Leipzig move down from second to seventh (two league matches played). RB Leipzig have scored 22 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). RB Leipzig have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marco Grüll (Werder Bremen) 14.7, Olivier Deman (Werder Bremen) 10.5 and R. Baku (RB Leipzig) 7.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

RB Leipzig are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Werder Bremen, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or RB Leipzig, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Werder Bremen next travel to VfB Stuttgart on 7 November 2026.

RB Leipzig next host FC Augsburg on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Werder Bremen: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Werder Bremen 3–1 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Weserstadion · Bremen
  • Referee: Benjamin Brand, Germany
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Werder Bremen 0 · draws 3 · RB Leipzig 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Werder Bremen 1W 0D 4L · RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L

Werder Bremen 3–1 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.5 / 6.63
Corners
against 5.88 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 8.38
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.25 / 0.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · Benjamin Brand, Germany
20.57 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWerder Bremen for / againstLineRB Leipzig for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.25our book
2.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
19.63 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
8.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 9.13 against n 8
21.5standard
8.13 for · 8.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 0.5 against n 8

Referee: Benjamin Brand, Germany — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 20.57 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen Goalkeeper

Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Hein19090 min11 /9044 /9000 /90
Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Hein n 390
42/2

Werder Bremen Defensive

Werder Bremen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Pieper290180 min21 /9000 /9031.5 /9042 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Friedl290180 min21 /9063 /9021 /9042 /9021 /9000 /90
Mick Schmetgens290180 min31.5 /9021 /9000 /9084 /9010.5 /9000 /90
O. Deman290180 min21 /9073.5 /9000 /9084 /9021 /9000 /90
L. Reis288175 min84.1 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90115.7 /9042.1 /9010.5 /90
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Werder Bremen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Deman n 890
16/2
0.94/2
W. Orbán
M. Friedl n 876.1
0.95/1
0.32/0
W. Orbán
A. Pieper n 884.4
0.43/0
0.73/1
W. Orbán
Mick Schmetgens n 371.7
0.41/0
1.72/1
—
J. Njinmah n 870.4
00/0
1.96/4
—
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Werder Bremen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Deman n 890
2.88/4
Mick Schmetgens n 371.7
1.73/1
M. Friedl n 876.1
1.38/1
A. Pieper n 884.4
0.95/2
J. Njinmah n 870.4
1.14/3
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Werder Bremen Attacking

Werder Bremen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Njinmah267134 min00 /9000 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9000 /9042.7 /90
N. Füllkrug261121 min10.7 /9000 /9043 /9021.5 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
M. Grüll251102 min00 /9021.8 /9021.8 /9000 /9043.5 /9010.9 /90
C. Itten23059 min00 /9000 /9034.6 /9000 /9011.5 /9034.6 /90
P. Erevbenagie14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012 /90510 /90
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Werder Bremen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Deman n 890
0.52/2
0.32/0
A. Pieper n 884.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Friedl n 876.1
00/0
00/0
Mick Schmetgens n 371.7
00/0
00/0
J. Njinmah n 870.4
1.85/4
1.14/2
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Werder Bremen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Deman n 890
00/0
0.32/0
A. Pieper n 884.4
00/0
00/0
M. Friedl n 876.1
00/0
00/0
Mick Schmetgens n 371.7
00/0
00/0
J. Njinmah n 870.4
00/0
00/0
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RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Goalkeeper

RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Maarten Vandevoordt290180 min63 /9000 /9000 /90
RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
2.67/4

RB Leipzig Defensive

RB Leipzig — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Lukeba290180 min21 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9031.5 /9000 /9000 /90
W. Orbán290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9031.5 /90126 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Raum277154 min21.2 /9010.6 /9000 /9031.8 /9031.8 /9000 /90
R. Baku269137 min63.9 /9010.7 /9021.3 /9085.3 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Henrichs22243 min12.1 /9012.1 /9000 /9024.2 /9000 /9000 /90
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RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Orbán n 890
0.42/1
0.42/1
A. Pieper
C. Lukeba n 880.1
0.42/1
0.74/1
—
A. Nusa n 871.8
0.21/0
2.47/4
—
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
00/0
00/0
—
E. Banzuzi n 846.6
1.75/2
1.96/2
—
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RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
1.97/4
C. Lukeba n 880.1
1.75/4
A. Nusa n 871.8
1.77/3
E. Banzuzi n 846.6
1.44/2
N. Seiwald n 873.4
3.17/7
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RB Leipzig Attacking

RB Leipzig — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Nusa290180 min21 /9000 /9084 /9063 /9031.5 /9094.5 /90
B. Gruda282163 min10.6 /9000 /9052.8 /9031.7 /9063.3 /9073.9 /90
T. Gomis264128 min00 /9032.1 /9042.8 /9010.7 /9032.1 /9000 /90
J. Bakayoko24181 min00 /9000 /9033.3 /9011.1 /9000 /9022.2 /90
C. Harder12626 min13.5 /9000 /9026.9 /9013.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Nusa n 871.8
2.26/3
1.66/2
W. Orbán n 890
0.63/2
0.43/0
C. Lukeba n 880.1
0.32/0
00/0
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Banzuzi n 846.6
2.45/2
0.73/0
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RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Nusa n 871.8
0.64/0
0.21/0
W. Orbán n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Lukeba n 880.1
00/0
00/0
E. Banzuzi n 846.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Werder BremenRB Leipzig
29%Possession71%
0.95Expected goals (xG)1.50
12Shots19
7Shots on target5
3Shots off target7
2Blocked shots7
5Shots inside the box14
2Corners7
4Offsides1
13Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves4
287Passes691
72%Pass accuracy89%

Werder Bremen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Hein9000001107.5
A. Pieper9000000407.9
M. Friedl9000000106.7
O. Deman90001101007.9
L. Reis9000000407
M. Grüll9011422608.9
Y. Regeer8300111207.2
Chuky San José83011011Y7.2
N. Füllkrug7410111207.3
Arthur6700000307.2
E. Dinkçi6710110007.2
Mick Schmetgens sub2300000206.7
P. Erevbenagie sub2300110106.7
C. Itten sub1600001006.2
Dariusz Stalmach sub1400000006.5
Salim Amani Musah sub1400000006.3
S. Musah sub1400000006.3

RB Leipzig Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Maarten Vandevoordt9000000006
R. Baku9010111007.3
W. Orbán9000200006.9
M. Estève9000000107.3
D. Raum9000005106.3
N. Seiwald9000000106.3
E. Banzuzi9000000206
C. Nkunku8400222106.7
A. Nusa8400210006.9
N. El Aynaoui7500101006.2
J. Bakayoko6300101105.9
T. Gomis sub2700211006.3
Marc Guiu sub1500000006.5
A. Maksimović sub1301002107.2
S. Konate sub1300100006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Werder BremenLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
RB LeipzigLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Werder Bremen 0 · 3 draws · RB Leipzig 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-04 Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig
  • 2025-11-23 RB Leipzig 2–0 Werder Bremen
  • 2025-05-10 Werder Bremen 0–0 RB Leipzig
  • 2025-01-12 RB Leipzig 4–2 Werder Bremen
  • 2024-05-11 RB Leipzig 1–1 Werder Bremen
  • 2023-12-19 Werder Bremen 1–1 RB Leipzig
League standing · 2026/27
Werder Bremen#5 pos15 pts8 pl+3 GD
RB Leipzig#4 pos15 pts8 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Werder Bremen scored2.13
RB Leipzig scored2.75
Werder Bremen conceded1.75
RB Leipzig conceded1.38

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Werder Bremen 0.85 xG from 12 shots, RB Leipzig 1.58 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Willi Orban 55' · 0.27 xGNeil El Aynaoui 46' · 0.10 xGChristopher Nkunku 19' · 0.10 xGNeil El Aynaoui 36' · 0.08 xGPaul Erevbenagie 79' · 0.07 xGSamba Konate 89' · 0.07 xGMarco Grüll 85' · 0.07 xGTidiam Gomis 86' · 0.06 xGChristopher Nkunku 71' · 0.05 xGChuki 72' · 0.05 xGBote Baku 36' · 0.05 xGChristopher Nkunku 27' · 0.05 xGOlivier Deman 39' · 0.04 xGAmos Pieper 51' · 0.04 xGAntonio Nusa 71' · 0.03 xGTidiam Gomis 90' · 0.03 xGChristopher Nkunku 46' · 0.03 xGJohan Bakayoko 26' · 0.02 xGBote Baku 61' · 0.02 xGMarco Grüll 73' · 0.02 xGAntonio Nusa 77' · 0.02 xGWilli Orban 62' · 0.02 xGJohan Bakayoko 43' · 0.01 xGDavid Raum 57' · 0.01 xGMarco Grüll 73' · 0.01 xGYouri Regeer 47' · 0.01 xGMarco Grüll 51' · 0.01 xGBote Baku 94' · 0.54 xG · goalEren Sami Dinkci 3' · 0.45 xG · goalMarco Grüll 79' · 0.05 xG · goalNiclas Füllkrug 67' · 0.02 xG · goal
Werder Bremen (attacking right)RB Leipzig (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Werder Bremen1230.85
RB Leipzig1911.58

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Werder Bremen 0.49, RB Leipzig 0.31. At full time, RB Leipzig led on xG, 1.58 to 0.85. The widest gap was 0.73 xG to RB Leipzig, in the 94th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Werder Bremen 3 minGoal - Werder Bremen 67 minGoal - Werder Bremen 79 minGoal - RB Leipzig 94 min
Werder Bremen 0.85 xGRB Leipzig 1.58 xGdots = goals · 31 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig was Draw or Away (best price 1.25 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig?
In their last 6 meetings, Werder Bremen won 0, RB Leipzig won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig?
Recent form — Werder Bremen 1W 0D 4L; RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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