Werder Bremen v SC Freiburg prediction

Bundesliga · · Weserstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Werder Bremen v SC Freiburg, Bundesliga on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Werder Bremen host SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga on Saturday 23 January (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

Werder Bremen have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. SC Freiburg have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. SC Freiburg are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Werder Bremen.

Form and the table

10 of Werder Bremen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Werder Bremen’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Werder Bremen have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.86. Werder Bremen have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Werder Bremen have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

13 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 12 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, SC Freiburg have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.50. SC Freiburg have scored 15 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SC Freiburg have conceded six goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Werder Bremen (eighth) and SC Freiburg (third) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have SC Freiburg the stronger side, 111 rating points above Werder Bremen (SC Freiburg 1696, Werder Bremen 1585, after at least 280 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 30 August 2026, finished SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen.

Team news

Predicted Werder Bremen XI (4-2-3-1): K. Hein, O. Deman, M. Friedl, A. Pieper, Arthur, L. Reis, M. Grüll, Y. Regeer, C. José, E. Dinkçi, N. Füllkrug — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Marco Grüll (7.1 per match over seven appearances, two goals and five assists) and Niclas Füllkrug (6.3 per match over seven appearances, seven goals) have been Werder Bremen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Werder Bremen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Marco Grüll averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 625 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Niclas Füllkrug averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 546 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.

Predicted SC Freiburg XI (4-2-3-1): M. Backhaus, M. Ginter, J. Makengo, P. Lienhart, P. Treu, M. Eggestein, Y. Engelhardt, D. Scherhant, J. Beste, Y. Suzuki, I. Matanović — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Igor Matanović (6.4 per match over 10 appearances, six goals and three assists) and Matthias Ginter (5.2 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been SC Freiburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Freiburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Igor Matanović averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 989 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Matthias Ginter averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 888 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Weserstadion
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Werder Bremen 1 · draws 0 · SC Freiburg 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Werder Bremen 2W 3D 0L · SC Freiburg 3W 1D 1L

Werder Bremen v SC Freiburg (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 2.75
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.38
Corners
against 5.13 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 2.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 1.38
Cards
against 1 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWerder Bremen for / againstLineSC Freiburg for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
Shots
14.63 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
18.5 for · 8.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Itten n 820.5
3.33/2
0.51/0
—
N. Füllkrug n 871.9
2.36/4
0.94/2
—
Dariusz Stalmach n 829.3
2.34/2
1.54/0
—
P. Erevbenagie n 518.2
22/0
21/1
—
R. Schmid n 875.1
1.87/3
0.74/1
—
Werder Bremen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Füllkrug n 871.9
3.37/5
2.37/4
M. Weiser n 857.8
2.15/3
13/2
J. Stage n 883.1
27/5
1.45/4
P. Erevbenagie n 518.2
22/0
11/0
J. Njinmah n 870.4
1.85/4
1.14/2
Werder Bremen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dariusz Stalmach n 829.3
0.82/0
0.41/0
N. Füllkrug n 871.9
1.16/1
00/0
M. Grüll n 876
0.32/0
0.64/0
J. Stage n 883.1
0.74/1
0.11/0
R. Schmid n 875.1
0.11/0
0.63/1
Werder Bremen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Erevbenagie n 518.2
4.95/0
Dariusz Stalmach n 829.3
3.14/2
O. Deman n 890
38/5
S. Lynen n 878.8
37/6
Y. Regeer n 870.9
2.97/6
Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Hein n 890
3.67/4
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Goto n 823.6
3.86/1
12/0
—
Cyriaque Kalou Irié n 834.1
2.35/1
12/1
—
D. Scherhant n 879.3
2.18/5
15/2
—
I. Matanović n 865
1.76/3
1.98/3
—
Y. Engelhardt n 874.8
1.56/3
1.26/1
—
SC Freiburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Cyriaque Kalou Irié n 834.1
45/3
12/1
I. Matanović n 865
2.98/5
1.45/3
V. Grifo n 831.6
2.84/3
1.83/1
D. Scherhant n 879.3
2.47/3
0.94/2
L. Höler n 832.6
2.14/2
12/1
SC Freiburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Grifo n 831.6
0.41/0
0.41/0
M. Eggestein n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
D. Scherhant n 879.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
Y. Suzuki n 877.3
0.62/1
00/0
L. Kübler n 840.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
SC Freiburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Rosenfelder n 860.9
3.76/5
Berkay Yilmaz n 859.8
36/4
P. Treu n 875.1
2.27/5
I. Ogbus n 844.5
25/1
M. Ginter n 888.5
1.46/2
SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Backhaus n 890
1.13/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Werder Bremen v SC Freiburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Werder BremenWDWDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
SC FreiburgWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Werder Bremen 1 · 0 draws · SC Freiburg 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-08-30 SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen
  • 2026-02-07 SC Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen
  • 2025-09-20 Werder Bremen 0–3 SC Freiburg
  • 2025-02-21 SC Freiburg 5–0 Werder Bremen
  • 2024-10-05 Werder Bremen 0–1 SC Freiburg
  • 2024-01-27 Werder Bremen 3–1 SC Freiburg
League standing · 2026/27
Werder Bremen#8 pos9 pts6 pl0 GD
SC Freiburg#3 pos13 pts6 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Werder Bremen scored2
SC Freiburg scored2.5
Werder Bremen conceded2
SC Freiburg conceded1

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Werder Bremen and SC Freiburg?
In their last 6 meetings, Werder Bremen won 1, SC Freiburg won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Werder Bremen and SC Freiburg?
Recent form — Werder Bremen 2W 3D 0L; SC Freiburg 3W 1D 1L.

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