Hamilton Academical v Raith Rovers prediction

Challenge Cup · · ZLX Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Hamilton Academical v Raith Rovers, Challenge Cup on Tue, 03 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.6% of 1724 landed (95% range 73.5–77.5%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hamilton Academical host Raith Rovers in Challenge Cup on Tuesday 3 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Hamilton Academical or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Hamilton Academical are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions. Hamilton Academical have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Raith Rovers are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Hamilton Academical, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Seven of Hamilton Academical’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Hamilton Academical’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Hamilton Academical have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 0.63.

Four of Raith Rovers’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Raith Rovers’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Raith Rovers have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.63.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Raith Rovers the stronger side, 368 rating points above Hamilton Academical (Raith Rovers 2015, Hamilton Academical 1647, after at least 25 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Hamilton Academical 1–1 Raith Rovers.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Challenge Cup · ZLX Stadium
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Hamilton Academical 0 · draws 2 · Raith Rovers 4 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hamilton Academical 3W 2D 0L · Raith Rovers 3W 1D 1L

Hamilton Academical v Raith Rovers (Challenge Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hamilton Academical v Raith Rovers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hamilton AcademicalWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Raith RoversWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Hamilton Academical 0 · 2 draws · Raith Rovers 4 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-07-18 Hamilton Academical 1–1 Raith Rovers
  • 2025-12-09 Raith Rovers 5–2 Hamilton Academical
  • 2025-03-29 Hamilton Academical 0–3 Raith Rovers
  • 2025-02-22 Raith Rovers 2–0 Hamilton Academical
  • 2025-01-28 Hamilton Academical 0–3 Raith Rovers
  • 2024-09-21 Raith Rovers 3–3 Hamilton Academical
Goals per game
Hamilton Academical scored1.6
Raith Rovers scored1.8
Hamilton Academical conceded0.8
Raith Rovers conceded0.8

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Hamilton Academical v Raith Rovers?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hamilton Academical v Raith Rovers is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Hamilton Academical and Raith Rovers?
In their last 6 meetings, Hamilton Academical won 0, Raith Rovers won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hamilton Academical and Raith Rovers?
Recent form — Hamilton Academical 3W 2D 0L; Raith Rovers 3W 1D 1L.

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