AS Eupen v Excelsior Virton prediction

Challenger Pro League · Sun, 01 Nov 2026 18:15 GMT · Kehrwegstadion

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 20:18 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for AS Eupen v Excelsior Virton, Challenger Pro League on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 18:15 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.60 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

AS Eupen host Excelsior Virton in Challenger Pro League on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 18:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

AS Eupen have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of AS Eupen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of AS Eupen’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, AS Eupen have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.13. AS Eupen have scored 14 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026/27 so far). AS Eupen have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs.

10 of Excelsior Virton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Excelsior Virton’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Excelsior Virton have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 2.14. Excelsior Virton have scored 12 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026/27 so far). Excelsior Virton have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Excelsior Virton have lost their last three matches in all competitions. AS Eupen (third) and Excelsior Virton (ninth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AS Eupen the stronger side, 287 rating points above Excelsior Virton (AS Eupen 1641, Excelsior Virton 1354, after at least 67 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted AS Eupen XI (4-1-4-1): A. Lejoly, I. Plastun, R. Paeshuyse, Y. Van Genechten, N. Gavory, L. Delaurier-Chaubet, M. Fixelles, C. Nadje, A. Keita, M. Müller, B. Simakala — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Y. Van Genechten (4.2 per match over six appearances, two assists) and A. Lejoly (4.0 per match over five appearances) have been AS Eupen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AS Eupen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Y. Van Genechten averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 540 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last six appearances. A. Lejoly averages 2.2 saves per 90 over 450 minutes, with two or more saves in three of the last five appearances.

Predicted Excelsior Virton XI (5-3-2): C. De Schrevel, A. Tchaptchet, E. Kari, S. Assengue, J. Ntenda, T. Mézague, A. Dembélé, G. Arib, P. Wade, A. Hachem, T. Tormin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Hachem (7.4 per match over five appearances, three goals and two assists) and I. Goudani (5.3 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Excelsior Virton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Excelsior Virton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Hachem averages 4.0 shots per 90 over 447 minutes, with a shot in five of the last six appearances. I. Goudani averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 316 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 18:15 GMT · Challenger Pro League · Kehrwegstadion
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: AS Eupen 3W 0D 2L · Excelsior Virton 1W 1D 3L

AS Eupen v Excelsior Virton (Challenger Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.38

Goals

against 2 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

5 / 1.5

Corners

against 4.4 / 6 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 4 matches

5.6 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 4.6 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 4 matches

2.33 / 2

Cards

against 1.83 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 4 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	AS Eupen for / against	Line	Excelsior Virton for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 4.4 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	1.5 for · 6 against n 4 Last 5
Shots	16.4 for · 12.4 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	10.25 for · 18 against n 4 Last 5
Shots on target	5.6 for · 4.6 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 6.25 against n 4 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.4 for · 12.6 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	14.75 for · 15 against n 4 Last 5
Cards shown	2.33 for · 1.83 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.25 against n 4 Last 5

AS Eupen

AS Eupen Goalkeeper

AS Eupen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Lejoly	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
M. Hiller	1	9090 min	55 /90	22 /90	00 /90

AS Eupen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Eupen before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Lejoly n 3	90	1.7 1/1
M. Hiller n 8	90	4.3 8/7

AS Eupen Defensive

AS Eupen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
I. Plastun	4	90360 min	61.5 /90	41 /90	00 /90	266.5 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
R. Paeshuyse	4	90360 min	00 /90	82 /90	10.3 /90	153.8 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
Y. Van Genechten	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	61.5 /90	20.5 /90	174.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
N. Gavory	4	83333 min	113 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	215.7 /90	102.7 /90	00 /90
Théo Maréchal	2	3774 min	11.2 /90	33.6 /90	00 /90	22.4 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90
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AS Eupen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Eupen before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Plastun n 8	76.6	1.6 5/4	1.3 5/2	—
Y. Van Genechten n 8	73.5	0.8 5/0	0.2 1/0	—
R. Paeshuyse n 8	90	0.6 4/1	1.1 7/2	—
N. Gavory n 8	84.3	1.9 6/4	0.5 3/1	—
L. Delaurier-Chaubet n 8	67	1.5 4/3	1.3 7/1	—
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AS Eupen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Eupen before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Y. Van Genechten n 8	73.5	1.7 6/2
I. Plastun n 8	76.6	1.2 6/1
R. Paeshuyse n 8	90	0.6 3/2
N. Gavory n 8	84.3	1.6 5/2
L. Delaurier-Chaubet n 8	67	1.8 5/4
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AS Eupen Attacking

AS Eupen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Simakala	4	62248 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	72.5 /90	10.4 /90	41.5 /90	00 /90
I. Nuhu	4	51205 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	62.6 /90	20.9 /90	62.6 /90	00 /90
Kikas	4	30120 min	10.8 /90	00 /90	32.3 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
Sandro Vidigal	3	37110 min	10.8 /90	00 /90	43.3 /90	32.5 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
L. Delaurier-Chaubet	4	80318 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	92.5 /90	51.4 /90	82.3 /90	41.1 /90
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AS Eupen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Eupen before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Plastun n 8	76.6	1.2 5/3	0.3 2/0
Y. Van Genechten n 8	73.5	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
R. Paeshuyse n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
N. Gavory n 8	84.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
L. Delaurier-Chaubet n 8	67	2 5/3	1.2 4/3
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AS Eupen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Eupen before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Y. Van Genechten n 8	73.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
R. Paeshuyse n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
I. Plastun n 8	76.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
N. Gavory n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Delaurier-Chaubet n 8	67	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Excelsior Virton

Excelsior Virton Goalkeeper

Excelsior Virton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Celestin De Schrevel	3	90270 min	103.3 /90	–	00 /90

Excelsior Virton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior Virton before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Celestin De Schrevel n 3	90	3.3 2/2

Excelsior Virton Defensive

Excelsior Virton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Tchaptchet	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90	82.7 /90	72.3 /90	00 /90
E. Kari	3	90270 min	62 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90	124 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90
Steeven Assengue	3	90270 min	103.3 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	248 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90
J. Ntenda	2	87174 min	42.1 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	94.7 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
H. Lambotte	1	9090 min	33 /90	33 /90	00 /90	33 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Excelsior Virton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior Virton before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Dembélé n 3	90	2.3 3/2	2 3/3	—
A. Tchaptchet n 3	90	2.3 3/3	0.3 1/0	—
Steeven Assengue n 3	90	2 3/1	2.3 3/3	—
E. Kari n 3	90	1.3 2/2	0.7 2/0	—
Celestin De Schrevel n 3	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0	—
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Excelsior Virton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior Virton before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Steeven Assengue n 3	90	3.3 3/3
A. Dembélé n 3	90	3 3/2
E. Kari n 3	90	2 3/1
A. Tchaptchet n 3	90	1.7 2/1
A. Hachem n 3	89.7	1.7 3/1
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Excelsior Virton Attacking

Excelsior Virton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Hachem	3	90269 min	20.7 /90	00 /90	103.3 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90
T. Tormin	2	57114 min	00 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	53.9 /90	43.2 /90
M. Inchaud	1	2424 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.8 /90
A. Dembélé	3	90270 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90
G. Arib	3	77230 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	62.3 /90	00 /90
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Excelsior Virton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior Virton before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Kari n 3	90	1 2/1	0.3 1/0
A. Dembélé n 3	90	0.7 1/1	0 0/0
Steeven Assengue n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
A. Tchaptchet n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Celestin De Schrevel n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Excelsior Virton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior Virton before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Dembélé n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Tchaptchet n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Kari n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Celestin De Schrevel n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Steeven Assengue n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AS Eupen v Excelsior Virton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AS EupenWWWLL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Excelsior VirtonDWLLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

AS Eupen#3 pos15 pts7 pl+7 GD

Excelsior Virton#9 pos10 pts7 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

AS Eupen scored2

Excelsior Virton scored1.71

AS Eupen conceded1

Excelsior Virton conceded1.29

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win AS Eupen v Excelsior Virton?: TACTIX’s free model pick for AS Eupen v Excelsior Virton is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.60 at Betano).
What is the recent form of AS Eupen and Excelsior Virton?: Recent form — AS Eupen 3W 0D 2L; Excelsior Virton 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 20:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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