Francs Borains v Dender prediction
Team pages: Francs Borains · Dender
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Francs Borains vs Dender, Challenger Pro League on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:00 BST.
The match
Francs Borains host Dender in Challenger Pro League on Friday 23 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Francs Borains or Dender (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Dender have conceded two goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
Nine of Francs Borains’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in five of Francs Borains’s last 15 results (33%). At home, Francs Borains have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 home matches — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.17 and conceding 1.00. Francs Borains have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026/27 so far). Francs Borains have conceded seven goals, the fifth-fewest of the 15 clubs.
Eight of Dender’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Dender’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Dender have three wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.38. Dender have scored 11 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Francs Borains (fourth) and Dender (second) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Dender the stronger side, 319 rating points above Francs Borains (Dender 1809, Francs Borains 1490, after at least 69 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2024, finished Francs Borains 0–3 Dender.
Team news
Predicted Francs Borains XI (4-2-3-1): V. Swinnen, D. Dessoleil, M. Francotte, J. Molle, R. Monticelli, M. Bastian, D. Ndongala, K. Masangu, Y. kari, R. Asante, A. Ali — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Bastian (9.5 per match over three appearances, three goals) and Victor Swinnen (5.0 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Francs Borains’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Francs Borains (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Victor Swinnen averages 2.0 saves per 90 over 270 minutes.
Predicted Dender XI (5-3-2): J. Devriendt, K. Cools, I. Breugelmans, J. Mansoni, B. De Kerf, M. Expérience, N. Rodes, M. Viltard, K. Koton, E. Mballa Amougou, A. Daali — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Krzysztof Koton (5.6 per match over five appearances, two goals and two assists) and Malcolm Viltard (4.8 per match over five appearances, two goals) have been Dender’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dender (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Krzysztof Koton averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 402 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last five appearances. Malcolm Viltard averages 0.2 key passes per 90 over 388 minutes, with a key pass in one of the last five appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Challenger Pro League · Stade Robert Urbain
- Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Francs Borains 0 · draws 0 · Dender 2 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Francs Borains 3W 0D 2L · Dender 4W 0D 1L
TACTIX runs Francs Borains v Dender (Challenger Pro League) through its calibrated model across 242 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Francs Borains for / against | Line | Dender for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.13 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 7 for · 3 against n 4 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.2 for · 3.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.75 for · 12 against n 4 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13 for · 11.2 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.25 for · 3.5 against n 4 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 1.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.25 for · 16.5 against n 4 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 16.8 for · 11.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2 against n 4 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.8 for · 1.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
Francs Borains
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Faty n 4 | 11 | 4.1 | 0 | — |
| R. Asante n 8 | 56.1 | 2.2 | 2.8 | — |
| K. Masangu n 8 | 87 | 1.9 | 1 | — |
| M. Bastian n 8 | 65.6 | 1.9 | 2.6 | — |
| A. Ali n 8 | 81.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Asante n 8 | 56.1 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| M. Bastian n 8 | 65.6 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| C. Lavie n 8 | 59.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| E. Faty n 4 | 11 | 2 | 2 |
| A. Ali n 8 | 81.6 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bastian n 8 | 65.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| A. Ali n 8 | 81.6 | 0.7 | 0 |
| D. Ndongala n 8 | 73 | 0 | 0.5 |
| M. Francotte n 8 | 85.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| C. Lavie n 8 | 59.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Faty n 4 | 11 | 4.1 |
| M. Bastian n 8 | 65.6 | 3.6 |
| M. Francotte n 8 | 85.8 | 2.8 |
| K. Masangu n 8 | 87 | 2.6 |
| N. Diliberto n 8 | 32 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Swinnen n 8 | 90 | 3 |
Dender
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Vandeplas n 8 | 29.3 | 3.8 | 0.4 | — |
| M. Expérience n 8 | 86.3 | 3 | 1.7 | — |
| Malcolm Viltard n 8 | 75.1 | 2.2 | 1 | — |
| O. Szulc n 8 | 51.1 | 2.2 | 1.5 | — |
| E. Mballa Amougou n 4 | 75 | 2.1 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Mballa Amougou n 4 | 75 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| G. Vandeplas n 8 | 29.3 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Amine Daali n 8 | 50.3 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Malcolm Viltard n 8 | 75.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| David Toshevski n 8 | 32.9 | 2.1 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Koton n 8 | 74.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Nhaili n 8 | 35.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Amine Daali n 8 | 50.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| G. Vandeplas n 8 | 29.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Malcolm Viltard n 8 | 75.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| O. Szulc n 8 | 51.1 | 5.5 |
| Amine Daali n 8 | 50.3 | 3.4 |
| A. Nhaili n 8 | 35.6 | 3.2 |
| M. Expérience n 8 | 86.3 | 3 |
| Malcolm Viltard n 8 | 75.1 | 3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Devriendt n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Francs Borains v Dender — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-04-19 Francs Borains 0–3 Dender
- 2023-12-05 Dender 2–0 Francs Borains
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Francs Borains vs Dender?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Francs Borains v Dender is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Francs Borains and Dender?
- In their last 2 meetings, Francs Borains won 0, Dender won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Francs Borains and Dender?
- Recent form — Francs Borains 3W 0D 2L; Dender 4W 0D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.