Liège v AS Eupen result
The model’s pre-match pick
Liège 2–1 AS Eupen — Liège won this Challenger Pro League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Liège beat AS Eupen 2–1 at Stade de Rocourt in Challenger Pro League on Friday 17 April. AS Eupen are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — AS Eupen: Yoram\t Zague (18’, assisted by B. Caliskan); Liège: J. Bustin (29’, assisted by M. Wasinski) and J. D'Ostilio (78’, assisted by B. Bruggeman).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. D'Ostilio’s goal on 78 minutes.
Discipline
A. Letellier showed two yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Liège: A. Lefebvre (41’); AS Eupen: A. Keita (90+3’).
What it changes
Liège have scored 44 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 17 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Liège have conceded 39 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 17 clubs.
AS Eupen have scored 44 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 17 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). AS Eupen have conceded 36 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 17 clubs.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Liège or AS Eupen (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).
Next up
Liège next host RSC Anderlecht II on 21 November 2026.
AS Eupen next travel to K. Lierse S.K. on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Liège: Liège v RSC Anderlecht II, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for AS Eupen: K. Lierse S.K. v AS Eupen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Liège 2–1 AS Eupen · Challenger Pro League
- Venue: Stade de Rocourt · Liège
- Referee: A. Letellier
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 3): Liège 1 · draws 0 · AS Eupen 2 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Liège 1W 1D 3L · AS Eupen 0W 4D 1L
Liège 2–1 AS Eupen (Challenger Pro League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Liège for / against | Line | AS Eupen for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.75 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.25 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.25 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.38 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.5 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 15.63 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: A. Letellier — 3.55 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 20.27 fouls over 11 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Liège
Liège Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wasinski n 8 | 86.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | — |
| P. Ngawa n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.5 | — |
| J. Bustin n 8 | 84.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | — |
| R. Wilmots n 8 | 84.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | — |
| B. Bruggeman n 8 | 87 | 1 | 0.6 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Wasinski n 8 | 86.6 | 3 |
| P. Ngawa n 8 | 90 | 0.8 |
| J. Bustin n 8 | 84.4 | 1.2 |
| R. Wilmots n 8 | 84.4 | 2.9 |
| B. Bruggeman n 8 | 87 | 2.1 |
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Liège Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wasinski n 8 | 86.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| P. Ngawa n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| J. Bustin n 8 | 84.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| R. Wilmots n 8 | 84.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| B. Bruggeman n 8 | 87 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wasinski n 8 | 86.6 | 0 | 0.3 |
| P. Ngawa n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| J. Bustin n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Wilmots n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0.1 |
| B. Bruggeman n 8 | 87 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
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AS Eupen
AS Eupen Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Paeshuyse n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.9 | — |
| M. Hiller n 8 | 84.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | — |
| I. Nuhu n 8 | 82.5 | 1.5 | 2 | — |
| Y. Van Genechten n 8 | 69.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | — |
| G. Barès n 8 | 78.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Paeshuyse n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
| M. Hiller n 8 | 84.4 | 0 |
| I. Nuhu n 8 | 82.5 | 1 |
| Y. Van Genechten n 8 | 69.3 | 1.9 |
| G. Barès n 8 | 78.6 | 1.6 |
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AS Eupen Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Paeshuyse n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| M. Hiller n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Nuhu n 8 | 82.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Y. Van Genechten n 8 | 69.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| G. Barès n 8 | 78.6 | 0 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Paeshuyse n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| M. Hiller n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Nuhu n 8 | 82.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Y. Van Genechten n 8 | 69.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| G. Barès n 8 | 78.6 | 0 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Liège v AS Eupen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-08-09 AS Eupen 2–0 Liège
- 2024-12-21 AS Eupen 0–1 Liège
- 2024-08-18 Liège 0–3 AS Eupen
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Liège v AS Eupen?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Liège v AS Eupen was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Liège and AS Eupen?
- In their last 3 meetings, Liège won 1, AS Eupen won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Liège and AS Eupen?
- Recent form — Liège 1W 1D 3L; AS Eupen 0W 4D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.