LiègeDender

Liège v Dender result

Full-time · Liège 1–2 Dender

Challenger Pro League · · Stade de Rocourt

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Liège · Dender

The model’s pre-match pick

Liège 1–2 Dender — Dender won this Challenger Pro League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Dender won 2–1 at Stade de Rocourt in Challenger Pro League on Saturday 29 August. Liège have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Liège: Simon Paulet (43’ pen); Dender: Malcolm Viltard (45’, assisted by Nathan Rodes; 84’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Malcolm Viltard’s goal on 84 minutes.

Discipline

R. Calluy showed three yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Liège: R. Wilmots (37’); Dender: Malcolm Viltard (21’) and I. Breugelmans (74’).

What it changes

Liège move down from ninth to 10th (three league matches played).

Dender move up from sixth to third (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Malcolm Viltard (Dender) 14.6, Simon Paulet (Liège) 9.0 and M. Expérience (Dender) 7.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Liège next host RSC Anderlecht II on 21 November 2026.

Dender next travel to Lokeren-Temse on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Liège: Liège v RSC Anderlecht II, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Dender: Lokeren-Temse v Dender, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Liège 1–2 Dender · Challenger Pro League
  • Venue: Stade de Rocourt
  • Referee: R. Calluy
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Liège 0 · draws 1 · Dender 1 · 0.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Liège 2W 0D 3L · Dender 1W 1D 3L

Liège 1–2 Dender (Challenger Pro League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.14 / 5.71
Corners
against 4.57 / 5.57 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.14 / 3.71
Shots on target
against 5.71 / 6 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.13 / 2.71
Cards
against 2 / 1.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.25 yellows
Referee · R. Calluy
24.83 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLiège for / againstLineDender for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.14 for · 4.57 against n 7
9.5standard
5.71 for · 5.57 against n 7
Shots
11.71 for · 15.57 against n 7
19.5standard
14.43 for · 13.29 against n 7
Shots on target
3.14 for · 5.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3.71 for · 6 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.14 for · 12 against n 7
21.5standard
13.29 for · 8.86 against n 7
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.71 for · 1.29 against n 7

Referee: R. Calluy — 4.25 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 24.83 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Liège

Liège Defensive

Liège — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liège before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Mouchamps n 856.3
1.24/2
0.84/0
—
E. N'jo n 583.8
1.14/1
0.93/1
—
P. Ngawa n 890
0.95/2
0.84/2
—
J. D'Ostilio n 876.9
0.94/2
1.84/3
—
K. Ruiz-Atil n 872.6
0.32/0
3.17/5
—
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Liège — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liège before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. D'Ostilio n 876.9
1.96/3
K. Ruiz-Atil n 872.6
1.56/3
D. Mouchamps n 856.3
1.45/2
P. Ngawa n 890
0.83/2
E. N'jo n 583.8
0.63/0
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Liège Attacking

Liège — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liège before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Ruiz-Atil n 872.6
0.95/1
0.52/1
D. Mouchamps n 856.3
0.63/0
0.42/0
P. Ngawa n 890
0.43/0
00/0
J. D'Ostilio n 876.9
0.43/0
00/0
E. N'jo n 583.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Liège — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liège before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Ruiz-Atil n 872.6
0.21/0
00/0
D. Mouchamps n 856.3
0.21/0
00/0
J. D'Ostilio n 876.9
00/0
0.11/0
P. Ngawa n 890
00/0
00/0
E. N'jo n 583.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LiègeDender
58%Possession42%
8Shots15
2Shots on target7
3Shots off target4
3Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box9
4Corners9
11Fouls19
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves1
550Passes370

Liège Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Ravet9000000107.8
E. N'jo9000000006.5
P. Ngawa9000000206.9
J. D'Ostilio9000000106.4
R. Wilmots90000004Y6.7
B. Bruggeman9000210105.8
K. Ruiz-Atil9000101105.9
Simon Paulet8810111107.2
V. Guillaume8800300106.4
K. Shkurti4500001206.2
O. Camara4500100006.1
R. Ogam4500000006.6
A. Qevani200000006.3
Nacim Dendani200000006.2
A. Qevani200000006.3

Dender Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Devriendt9000000006.7
I. Breugelmans90000001Y6.2
K. Cools9000000106.1
Bo De Kerf9000000006.4
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​9000001306.7
Nathan Rodes9001002206.8
Malcolm Viltard90203207Y8.2
M. Expérience9000112606.3
E. Mballa Amougou7900530106.3
Amine Daali6700301306.6
Krzysztof Koton6700103007
A. Nhaili2300111306.9
David Toshevski2300100006.5
G. Vandeplas1100000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Liège v Dender — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LiègeWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
DenderLLDLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Liège 0 · 1 draw · Dender 1 · 0.5 goals/game
  • 2023-12-15 Dender 0–0 Liège
  • 2023-08-12 Liège 0–1 Dender
League standing · 2026/27
Liège#15 pos5 pts9 pl-9 GD
Dender#2 pos19 pts9 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Liège scored1.44
Dender scored1.33
Liège conceded2.44
Dender conceded0.44

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Liège v Dender?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Liège v Dender was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Liège and Dender?
In their last 2 meetings, Liège won 0, Dender won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Liège and Dender?
Recent form — Liège 2W 0D 3L; Dender 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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