LiègeOlympic Charleroi

Liège v Olympic Charleroi result

Full-time · Liège 2–1 Olympic Charleroi

Challenger Pro League · · Stade de Rocourt

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Liège · Olympic Charleroi

The model’s pre-match pick

Liège 2–1 Olympic Charleroi — Liège won this Challenger Pro League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Liège beat Olympic Charleroi 2–1 at Stade de Rocourt in Challenger Pro League on Sunday 5 April. Olympic Charleroi are winless in their last 14 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Liège led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Liège: A. Arslan (7’) and K. Hazard (42’, assisted by M. Wasinski); Olympic Charleroi: N. Dailly (90’, assisted by R. Ion).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Arslan’s goal on 7 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Liège 2.03, Olympic Charleroi 1.35, from 17 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Jacoby showed three yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Liège: Stephen Reynaerts (65’); Olympic Charleroi: Antonio Thea (31’) and L. Florică (62’).

What it changes

Liège have scored 44 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 17 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Liège have conceded 39 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 17 clubs.

Olympic Charleroi have scored 26 goals, the fewest of the 17 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Olympic Charleroi have conceded 68 goals, the most of the 17 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Arslan (Liège) 8.3, M. Cachbach (Olympic Charleroi) 6.9 and M. Wasinski (Liège) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Liège or Olympic Charleroi (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Liège next host RSC Anderlecht II on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Liège: Liège v RSC Anderlecht II, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Liège 2–1 Olympic Charleroi · Challenger Pro League
  • Venue: Stade de Rocourt · Liège
  • Referee: A. Jacoby
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Liège 1 · draws 1 · Olympic Charleroi 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Liège 1W 1D 3L · Olympic Charleroi 0W 1D 4L

Liège 2–1 Olympic Charleroi (Challenger Pro League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 4.38
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.73 yellows
Referee · A. Jacoby
21.55 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLiège for / againstLineOlympic Charleroi for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
10.5 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
11.63 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: A. Jacoby — 3.73 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 21.55 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Liège

Liège Defensive

Liège — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liège before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Wasinski n 886.6
0.95/2
0.43/0
—
J. Bustin n 884.4
1.78/4
0.54/0
—
P. Ngawa n 890
0.32/0
0.53/1
—
R. Wilmots n 884.4
1.66/3
0.74/1
—
J. Belin n 881.5
00/0
0.43/0
—
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Liège — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liège before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Wasinski n 886.6
2.97/6
J. Bustin n 884.4
1.25/2
P. Ngawa n 890
0.83/2
R. Wilmots n 884.4
3.17/5
J. Belin n 881.5
00/0
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Liège Attacking

Liège — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liège before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Wasinski n 886.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Bustin n 884.4
0.32/0
00/0
P. Ngawa n 890
0.11/0
00/0
R. Wilmots n 884.4
0.41/1
0.31/1
J. Belin n 881.5
00/0
00/0
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Liège — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liège before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Wasinski n 886.6
00/0
0.32/0
J. Bustin n 884.4
00/0
00/0
P. Ngawa n 890
00/0
0.11/0
R. Wilmots n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
J. Belin n 881.5
00/0
00/0
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Olympic Charleroi

Olympic Charleroi Defensive

Olympic Charleroi — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Olympic Charleroi before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Dailly n 873.4
1.46/3
1.25/2
—
L. Florică n 863
2.35/4
0.42/0
—
M. Cachbach n 887.8
1.48/3
1.88/2
—
Luca Ferrara n 889.3
15/3
1.45/3
—
Karl Ndedi n 888.4
1.47/4
0.64/1
—
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Olympic Charleroi — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Olympic Charleroi before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Dailly n 873.4
1.86/3
L. Florică n 863
0.52/1
M. Cachbach n 887.8
1.78/5
Luca Ferrara n 889.3
1.36/4
Karl Ndedi n 888.4
1.88/4
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Olympic Charleroi Attacking

Olympic Charleroi — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Olympic Charleroi before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Dailly n 873.4
1.87/2
0.62/1
L. Florică n 863
1.35/2
0.21/0
M. Cachbach n 887.8
0.62/2
0.32/0
Luca Ferrara n 889.3
0.64/1
0.32/0
Karl Ndedi n 888.4
0.95/2
0.11/0
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Olympic Charleroi — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Olympic Charleroi before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Dailly n 873.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Florică n 863
00/0
00/0
M. Cachbach n 887.8
00/0
00/0
Luca Ferrara n 889.3
0.11/0
00/0
Karl Ndedi n 888.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LiègeOlympic Charleroi
47%Possession53%
2.03Expected goals (xG)1.35
17Shots19
5Shots on target6
9Shots off target10
3Blocked shots3
10Shots inside the box9
6Corners5
4Offsides3
11Fouls8
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves3
374Passes411
80%Pass accuracy84%

Liège Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. André9000000006.9
M. Wasinski9001104207.9
P. Ngawa9000000006.3
V. Corneillie9000000207.3
R. Wilmots9000200206.9
A. Arslan9010111307.3
K. Ruiz-Atil8500101207.9
B. Bruggeman8500324208.2
Stephen Reynaerts70000005Y7.2
K. Hazard6510110008.3
Frederic Soelle Soelle6500311005.9
E. Gedikli sub2500101005.9
F. Gobitaka sub2500001106.9
D. Mouchamps sub2000000106.3
K. Shkurti sub900000006.5
L. Pirotte sub900100106.7

Olympic Charleroi Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Aitor Embela9000000006.2
Jonás Ramalho9000101206.5
Hasan Jahić9000000006.9
N. De Medina9000101107
Antonio Thea90000020Y6.3
T. Ephestion9000111206.6
M. Cachbach9000202706.9
R. Ion9001222007.3
J. Mbalanda8100101206.9
L. Florică67001011Y6
M. Bettinger6000112206.3
M. Medfai sub3000302006.7
T. Lake sub2300210006.6
N. Dailly sub910110007.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Liège v Olympic Charleroi — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LiègeWLDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Olympic CharleroiDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Liège 1 · 1 draw · Olympic Charleroi 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-11-01 Olympic Charleroi 1–1 Liège
  • 2021-08-22 Olympic Charleroi 0–1 Liège
League standing · 2025/26
Liège#4 pos53 pts32 pl+5 GD
Olympic Charleroi#17 pos16 pts32 pl-42 GD
Goals per game
Liège scored1.38
Olympic Charleroi scored0.81
Liège conceded1.22
Olympic Charleroi conceded2.13

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Liège v Olympic Charleroi?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Liège v Olympic Charleroi was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Liège and Olympic Charleroi?
In their last 2 meetings, Liège won 1, Olympic Charleroi won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Liège and Olympic Charleroi?
Recent form — Liège 1W 1D 3L; Olympic Charleroi 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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