Seraing UnitedLiège

Seraing United v Liège result

Full-time · Seraing United 1–0 Liège

Challenger Pro League · · Stade du Pairay

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Seraing United 1–0 Liège — Seraing United won this Challenger Pro League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Seraing United beat Liège 1–0 at Stade du Pairay in Challenger Pro League on Friday 30 October. Liège are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Seraing United, every meeting checked.

The goals

Seraing United led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Seraing United: Moustapha Diop (44’, assisted by A. Tunkadi). Harrison Ondo-Eyi (20’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Moustapha Diop’s goal on 44 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Seraing United 0.75, Liège 0.29, from 12 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Seraing United: M. Scarpinati (41’), Tom Lockman (65’), Yannis Lawson (86’) and A. Namri (90+2’); Liège: P. Ngawa (7’), Simon Paulet (36’), E. N'jo (45+1’), K. Shkurti (45+1’) and A. Qevani (84’).

What it changes

Seraing United stay 13th after this result (nine league matches played). Seraing United have scored 12 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Seraing United have conceded 16 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs.

Liège stay 14th after this result (nine league matches played). Liège have scored 13 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Liège have conceded 22 goals, the most of the 15 clubs.

Liège have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Tunkadi (Seraing United) 7.0, Moustapha Diop (Seraing United) 5.7 and V. Corneillie (Seraing United) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Seraing United next host Patro Eisden on 21 November 2026.

Liège next host RSC Anderlecht II on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Seraing United: Seraing United v Patro Eisden, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Liège: Liège v RSC Anderlecht II, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Seraing United 1–0 Liège · Challenger Pro League
  • Venue: Stade du Pairay · Seraing
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Seraing United 0 · draws 1 · Liège 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Seraing United 2W 0D 3L · Liège 1W 0D 4L

Seraing United 1–0 Liège (Challenger Pro League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.88 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4 / 5.67
Corners
against 3 / 6 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 3 matches
4 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 3.33 / 5.83 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 3 matches
1.5 / 1.83
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.17 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 4 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSeraing United for / againstLineLiège for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3 against n 3
9.5standard
5.67 for · 6 against n 6
Shots
12 for · 9.33 against n 3
19.5standard
11.83 for · 17.33 against n 6
Shots on target
4 for · 3.33 against n 3
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5.83 against n 6
Fouls committed
13.67 for · 17.67 against n 3
21.5standard
9.5 for · 17.17 against n 6
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 4
3.5standard
1.83 for · 2.17 against n 6

Seraing United

Seraing United Goalkeeper

Seraing United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Gillekens390270 min51.7 /90–00 /90
Seraing United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seraing United before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Gillekens n 890
2.44/4

Seraing United Defensive

Seraing United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Moustapha Diop390270 min41.3 /9062 /9000 /9093 /9010.3 /9000 /90
V. Corneillie390270 min51.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90134.3 /9072.3 /9010.3 /90
O. Kébé386257 min20.7 /9062.1 /9000 /9041.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga369208 min73 /9052.2 /9000 /90187.8 /9031.3 /9000 /90
N. Bouchentouf349148 min42.4 /9031.8 /9000 /9084.9 /9031.8 /9000 /90
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Seraing United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seraing United before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Corneillie n 390
2.32/2
0.31/0
P. Ngawa
Moustapha Diop n 390
0.31/0
00/0
P. Ngawa
N. Gillekens n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
A. Namri n 387
2.13/2
0.72/0
—
O. Kébé n 886
0.74/1
0.74/1
E. N'jo
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Seraing United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seraing United before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Corneillie n 390
1.72/2
Moustapha Diop n 390
1.32/2
A. Namri n 387
4.13/3
O. Kébé n 886
15/3
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga n 881.8
2.37/5
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Seraing United Attacking

Seraing United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Tunkadi283165 min00 /9010.5 /9063.3 /9021.1 /9031.6 /9052.7 /90
M. Gnemagnon267133 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /9010.7 /90
Tom Lockman24794 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
A. Namri387261 min10.3 /9020.7 /9051.7 /9031 /9093.1 /9062.1 /90
Serigne Faye340120 min10.8 /9000 /9032.3 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9032.3 /90
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Seraing United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seraing United before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Corneillie n 390
0.31/0
00/0
Moustapha Diop n 390
0.31/0
00/0
N. Gillekens n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Namri n 387
1.73/2
13/0
O. Kébé n 886
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Seraing United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seraing United before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Gillekens n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Corneillie n 390
00/0
00/0
Moustapha Diop n 390
00/0
00/0
A. Namri n 387
0.31/0
0.72/0
O. Kébé n 886
00/0
00/0
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Liège

Liège Goalkeeper

Liège — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Ravet390270 min134.3 /90–00 /90
A. André385256 min82.8 /90–00 /90
Liège — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liège before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Ravet n 390
4.33/3
A. André n 888.3
2.96/5

Liège Defensive

Liège — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. N'jo690540 min40.7 /9091.5 /9010.2 /90274.5 /9061 /9010.2 /90
P. Ngawa690540 min50.8 /9071.2 /9000 /90233.8 /9061 /9010.2 /90
J. D'Ostilio584421 min40.9 /90102.1 /9020.4 /90173.6 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90
Simon Paulet486345 min82.1 /90102.6 /9000 /90266.8 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
D. Mouchamps472286 min30.9 /9010.3 /9000 /9082.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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Liège — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liège before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Ngawa n 890
1.36/4
0.84/2
Moustapha Diop
E. N'jo n 886.1
1.27/2
0.95/2
O. Kébé
K. Ruiz-Atil n 878.3
0.63/1
3.26/6
—
R. Wilmots n 880.1
1.15/3
15/2
—
V. Guillaume n 588
0.63/0
0.63/0
—
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Liège — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liège before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Ngawa n 890
0.85/1
E. N'jo n 886.1
0.86/0
K. Ruiz-Atil n 878.3
1.25/1
R. Wilmots n 880.1
2.57/4
V. Guillaume n 588
1.85/3
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Liège Attacking

Liège — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Ruiz-Atil684505 min10.2 /9010.2 /9071.2 /9030.5 /90122.1 /90112 /90
R. Ogam545227 min10.4 /9000 /9072.8 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9020.8 /90
Nacim Dendani539193 min00 /9010.5 /9073.3 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9062.8 /90
Harrison Ondo-Eyi265129 min10.7 /9000 /9042.8 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9021.4 /90
A. Qevani16161 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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Liège — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liège before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Ngawa n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
E. N'jo n 886.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
K. Ruiz-Atil n 878.3
1.27/1
0.42/1
R. Wilmots n 880.1
0.73/2
0.11/0
V. Guillaume n 588
1.65/2
0.42/0
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Liège — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liège before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Ngawa n 890
0.11/0
00/0
E. N'jo n 886.1
00/0
00/0
K. Ruiz-Atil n 878.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Wilmots n 880.1
00/0
0.11/0
V. Guillaume n 588
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Seraing UnitedLiège
57%Possession43%
0.75Expected goals (xG)0.29
12Shots4
4Shots on target1
5Shots off target2
3Blocked shots1
5Shots inside the box2
3Corners6
0Offsides4
21Fouls14
4Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
1Saves3
535Passes381

Seraing United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Gillekens9000000007.5
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga9000000306.3
V. Corneillie9000000307.4
Moustapha Diop9010110107.8
O. Kébé9000100207.2
A. Namri90002002Y6.6
M. Scarpinati90000002Y6.7
A. Tunkadi9001314207.7
A. Messoussa7600000006.3
F. Mabani6700314007.1
Serigne Faye6000110006.8
Tom Lockman30000010Y6.5
N. Bouchentouf2300100006.5
Yannis Lawson14000001Y6

Liège Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Mpenza9000000005.8
E. N'jo90000001Y6
P. Ngawa90000003Y6.5
D. Mouchamps9000000306.3
K. Shkurti90001003Y6.1
V. Guillaume8200000406.7
K. Ruiz-Atil8100002106.5
Stephen Reynaerts7100110405.5
R. Wilmots4500100307
R. Ogam4500000006.2
Simon Paulet45000001Y5.9
Nacim Dendani4500000206.6
Harrison Ondo-Eyi20000000R5.4
A. N'Salambi1900000006.2
A. Qevani9001000Y6.1
O. Camara800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Seraing United v Liège — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Seraing UnitedLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
LiègeLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.6 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Seraing United 0 · 1 draw · Liège 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-01-24 Seraing United 2–2 Liège
  • 2025-08-17 Liège 2–0 Seraing United
  • 2025-01-31 Liège 2–1 Seraing United
  • 2024-09-29 Seraing United 0–3 Liège
  • 2024-02-17 Seraing United 0–4 Liège
  • 2023-12-03 Liège 2–1 Seraing United
League standing · 2026/27
Seraing United#13 pos8 pts10 pl-5 GD
Liège#15 pos5 pts9 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Seraing United scored1.2
Liège scored1.44
Seraing United conceded1.7
Liège conceded2.44

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Seraing United v Liège?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Seraing United v Liège was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Seraing United and Liège?
In their last 6 meetings, Seraing United won 0, Liège won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Seraing United and Liège?
Recent form — Seraing United 2W 0D 3L; Liège 1W 0D 4L.

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