Stenhousemuir v Livingston prediction

Championship – Scotland · · Ochilview Park

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 3.5 goals the free pick for Stenhousemuir v Livingston, Championship – Scotland on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:30 GMT.

Free pick
Under 3.5 goals
Best price: 1.40 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 3.5 goals in the last 90 days, 72.3% of 1796 landed (95% range 70.2–74.3%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Stenhousemuir host Livingston in the Championship – Scotland on Friday 30 October (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 3.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Three of Stenhousemuir’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (20%). Both teams scored in three of Stenhousemuir’s last 15 results in all competitions (20%).

Stenhousemuir are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

At home, Stenhousemuir have five wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.89 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.67. Stenhousemuir have scored 13 goals, the fifth-most of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). Stenhousemuir have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 10 clubs.

Five of Livingston’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Livingston’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Livingston have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.67. Livingston have scored 15 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). Livingston have conceded 11 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 10 clubs.

Stenhousemuir (second) and Livingston (sixth) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Livingston the stronger side, 51 rating points above Stenhousemuir (Livingston 1584, Stenhousemuir 1534, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 4 September 2026, finished Livingston 0–1 Stenhousemuir.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship – Scotland · Ochilview Park
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Stenhousemuir 1 · draws 1 · Livingston 2 · 2.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stenhousemuir 1W 1D 3L · Livingston 2W 1D 2L

Stenhousemuir v Livingston (Championship – Scotland): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stenhousemuir v Livingston — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
StenhousemuirWLDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
LivingstonWLLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Stenhousemuir 1 · 1 draw · Livingston 2 · 2.25 goals/game
  • 2026-09-04 Livingston 0–1 Stenhousemuir
  • 2026-07-25 Stenhousemuir 0–0 Livingston
  • 2023-01-21 Stenhousemuir 1–3 Livingston
  • 2020-11-10 Stenhousemuir 0–4 Livingston
League standing · 2026/27
Stenhousemuir#2 pos23 pts12 pl+4 GD
Livingston#6 pos17 pts12 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Stenhousemuir scored1.08
Livingston scored1.25
Stenhousemuir conceded0.75
Livingston conceded0.92

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 19 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Stenhousemuir v Livingston?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Stenhousemuir v Livingston is Under 3.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Stenhousemuir and Livingston?
In their last 4 meetings, Stenhousemuir won 1, Livingston won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stenhousemuir and Livingston?
Recent form — Stenhousemuir 1W 1D 3L; Livingston 2W 1D 2L.

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