Birmingham v Bolton prediction
Team pages: Birmingham · Bolton · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham v Bolton, Championship on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Birmingham host Bolton in the Championship on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
Birmingham have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Birmingham are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
10 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Birmingham have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 1.75. Birmingham have scored 20 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Birmingham have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Eight of Bolton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Bolton’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Bolton have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.50. Bolton have scored 15 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bolton have conceded 18 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Birmingham (fourth) and Bolton (15th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Birmingham the stronger side, 193 rating points above Bolton (Birmingham 1674, Bolton 1481, after at least 103 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 4 March 2025, finished Bolton 3–1 Birmingham.
Team news
Predicted Birmingham XI (4-2-3-1): J. Beadle, P. Neumann, C. Klarer, B. Osayi-Samuel, A. Cochrane, T. Iwata, J. Stansfield, L. Millar, C. Vicente, J. Solis, A. Priske — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liam Millar (5.9 per match over seven appearances, four goals and three assists) and Phil Neumann (4.2 per match over 13 appearances, two goals) have been Birmingham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Birmingham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liam Millar averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1001 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Phil Neumann averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 1101 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Bolton XI (4-2-3-1): G. Bazunu, E. Toal, G. Larrazabal, B. Davies, M. Conway, J. Sheehan, T. Gale, E. Erhahon, S. Iling-Junior, R. Rodrigues, S. Dalby — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Chris Forino-Joseph (4.6 per match over seven appearances) and Max Conway (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) have been Bolton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bolton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Chris Forino-Joseph averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 616 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances. Max Conway averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 693 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Championship
- Head-to-head (last 6): Birmingham 2 · draws 1 · Bolton 3 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Birmingham 4W 1D 0L · Bolton 3W 1D 1L
Birmingham v Bolton (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Birmingham for / against | Line | Bolton for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.25 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.75 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.5 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.25 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.63 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.88 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.63 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Birmingham
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Laird n 8 | 16.5 | 2.7 | 2 | — |
| L. Vázquez n 8 | 24 | 2.3 | 1.9 | — |
| C. Klarer n 8 | 90 | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| A. Priske n 8 | 81.1 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| J. Stansfield n 8 | 86.1 | 1.6 | 0.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gray n 8 | 30.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| A. Priske n 8 | 81.1 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| L. Millar n 8 | 71.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| J. Stansfield n 8 | 86.1 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Carlos Vicente n 8 | 62 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gray n 8 | 30.8 | 1.5 | 0 |
| L. Millar n 8 | 71.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| A. Priske n 8 | 81.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| P. Roberts n 8 | 49 | 0 | 0.7 |
| L. Vázquez n 8 | 24 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Laird n 8 | 16.5 | 2.7 |
| Carlos Vicente n 8 | 62 | 2.4 |
| J. Solis n 8 | 56.1 | 2.2 |
| B. Osayi-Samuel n 8 | 86.5 | 2.1 |
| T. Gardner-Hickman n 8 | 52.9 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Beadle n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Bolton
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nelson n 8 | 25 | 2.7 | 1.8 | — |
| Thelonius Bair n 8 | 27 | 2.1 | 0.4 | — |
| Ruben Rodrigues n 8 | 52 | 1.9 | 3 | — |
| S. Iling-Junior n 8 | 47.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | — |
| E. Erhahon n 8 | 61.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nelson n 8 | 25 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| Thelonius Bair n 8 | 27 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| R. Hardie n 8 | 22.6 | 2 | 0.5 |
| S. Dalby n 8 | 69.4 | 1.9 | 1 |
| T. Gale n 8 | 65.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thelonius Bair n 8 | 27 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| A. Ito n 8 | 39 | 0.6 | 0 |
| S. Dalby n 8 | 69.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| T. Gale n 8 | 65.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| X. Simons n 8 | 47.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Conway n 8 | 60.8 | 3.7 |
| E. Erhahon n 8 | 61.3 | 2.8 |
| C. Forino-Joseph n 8 | 88.3 | 2.5 |
| J. McAtee n 8 | 47.5 | 2.4 |
| J. Nelson n 8 | 25 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Bazunu n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
| J. Bonham n 8 | 90.9 | 2.7 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Birmingham v Bolton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-03-04 Bolton 3–1 Birmingham
- 2024-10-22 Birmingham 2–0 Bolton
- 2019-02-12 Birmingham 0–1 Bolton
- 2018-08-22 Bolton 1–0 Birmingham
- 2018-04-03 Bolton 0–1 Birmingham
- 2017-08-15 Birmingham 0–0 Bolton
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Bolton?
- In their last 6 meetings, Birmingham won 2, Bolton won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Birmingham and Bolton?
- Recent form — Birmingham 4W 1D 0L; Bolton 3W 1D 1L.
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