Birmingham v Millwall prediction
Team pages: Birmingham · Millwall · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham v Millwall, Championship on Tue, 03 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Birmingham host Millwall in the Championship on Tuesday 3 November (kick-off 19:45 UK).
The key numbers
Birmingham have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Birmingham are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
10 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Birmingham have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 1.75. Birmingham have scored 20 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Birmingham have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Eight of Millwall’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Millwall’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Millwall have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.57. Millwall have scored 18 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Millwall have conceded 18 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Birmingham (fourth) and Millwall (12th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Birmingham the stronger side, 213 rating points above Millwall (Birmingham 1674, Millwall 1461, after at least 379 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 25 February 2026, finished Millwall 3–0 Birmingham.
Team news
Predicted Birmingham XI (4-2-3-1): J. Beadle, P. Neumann, C. Klarer, B. Osayi-Samuel, A. Cochrane, T. Iwata, J. Stansfield, L. Millar, C. Vicente, J. Solis, A. Priske — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liam Millar (5.9 per match over seven appearances, four goals and three assists) and Phil Neumann (4.2 per match over 13 appearances, two goals) have been Birmingham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Birmingham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liam Millar averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1001 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Phil Neumann averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 1101 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Millwall XI (4-2-3-1): M. Crocombe, C. Taylor, J. Cooper, Z. Sturge, J. Osei-Tutu, C. Neghli, J. Metcalfe, D. Mazou-Sacko, M. Sykes, K. Lisbie, L. Dykes — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Caleb Taylor (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Jake Cooper (3.6 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Millwall’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Millwall (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Caleb Taylor averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1175 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Jake Cooper averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 1257 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Championship
- Head-to-head (last 6): Birmingham 2 · draws 2 · Millwall 2 · 1.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Birmingham 4W 1D 0L · Millwall 1W 3D 1L
Birmingham v Millwall (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Birmingham for / against | Line | Millwall for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.25 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.5 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.63 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.88 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.38 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Birmingham
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Laird n 8 | 16.5 | 2.7 | 2 | — |
| L. Vázquez n 8 | 24 | 2.3 | 1.9 | — |
| C. Klarer n 8 | 90 | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| A. Priske n 8 | 81.1 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| J. Stansfield n 8 | 86.1 | 1.6 | 0.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gray n 8 | 30.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| A. Priske n 8 | 81.1 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| L. Millar n 8 | 71.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| J. Stansfield n 8 | 86.1 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Carlos Vicente n 8 | 62 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gray n 8 | 30.8 | 1.5 | 0 |
| L. Millar n 8 | 71.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| A. Priske n 8 | 81.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| P. Roberts n 8 | 49 | 0 | 0.7 |
| L. Vázquez n 8 | 24 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Laird n 8 | 16.5 | 2.7 |
| Carlos Vicente n 8 | 62 | 2.4 |
| J. Solis n 8 | 56.1 | 2.2 |
| B. Osayi-Samuel n 8 | 86.5 | 2.1 |
| T. Gardner-Hickman n 8 | 52.9 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Beadle n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Millwall
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Esse n 8 | 45 | 2.8 | 1.5 | — |
| Y. Issoufou n 8 | 26.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | — |
| D. Mazou-Sacko n 8 | 75.8 | 2.4 | 0.9 | — |
| Jenson Metcalfe n 8 | 80 | 2.1 | 2.5 | — |
| Zak Norton Sturge n 8 | 89.3 | 1.8 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lisbie n 8 | 54.9 | 2.5 | 1 |
| L. Dykes n 8 | 85.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Y. Issoufou n 8 | 26.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| T. Arconte n 8 | 69.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| C. Taylor n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cundle n 8 | 29.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Z. Lovelace n 8 | 27.8 | 0 | 0.8 |
| L. Dykes n 8 | 85.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| C. Neghli n 8 | 89.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| T. Arconte n 8 | 69.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Metcalfe n 8 | 80 | 3 |
| R. Esse n 8 | 45 | 2.5 |
| D. Mazou-Sacko n 8 | 75.8 | 2.2 |
| Y. Issoufou n 8 | 26.3 | 2.1 |
| D. Kelly n 8 | 38.5 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Crocombe n 8 | 84.4 | 2.7 |
| F. Marschall n 8 | 84.4 | 2.4 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Birmingham v Millwall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-25 Millwall 3–0 Birmingham
- 2025-11-04 Birmingham 4–0 Millwall
- 2024-03-09 Millwall 1–0 Birmingham
- 2023-09-02 Birmingham 1–1 Millwall
- 2023-04-18 Millwall 0–1 Birmingham
- 2022-11-02 Birmingham 0–0 Millwall
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Millwall?
- In their last 6 meetings, Birmingham won 2, Millwall won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Birmingham and Millwall?
- Recent form — Birmingham 4W 1D 0L; Millwall 1W 3D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.