Birmingham v Preston prediction

The match

Birmingham host Preston in the Championship on Tuesday 13 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Birmingham to win.

The key numbers

Birmingham have scored in nine consecutive matches. Both teams scored in 12 of Birmingham’s last 15 results (80%).

Preston are winless in their last four matches.

Form and the table

Birmingham are unbeaten in their last three matches. Nine of Birmingham’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). At home, Birmingham have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 2.14. Birmingham have scored 13 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Birmingham have conceded 11 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

10 of Preston’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Preston’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Preston have one win, one draw and four defeats in their last 6 away matches — 0.67 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.83. Preston have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Preston have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs.

Birmingham (seventh) and Preston (24th) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Birmingham the stronger side, 364 rating points above Preston (Birmingham 1614, Preston 1250, after at least 377 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Birmingham are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Preston. The most recent meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Birmingham 2–1 Preston.

Team news

Birmingham have three names on the availability list: M. Leonard (out, Achilles Tendon Injury), Paik Seung-Ho (out, Health problems) and S. Wright (out, Off the roster) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-13. Predicted Birmingham XI (4-2-3-1): J. Beadle, P. Neumann, C. Klarer, A. Cochrane, B. Osayi-Samuel, T. Iwata, J. Stansfield, C. Vicente, J. Solis, L. Millar, A. Priske — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Liam Millar (5.3 per match over five appearances, one goal and three assists) and Phil Neumann (4.1 per match over 11 appearances, two goals) have been Birmingham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Birmingham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liam Millar averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 869 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Phil Neumann averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 921 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Preston have three names on the availability list: A. McCann (out, Hamstring Injury), B. Potts (out, Ankle Injury) and T. Carroll (doubtful, Ankle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-13. Predicted Preston XI (5-3-2): D. Iversen, J. Storey, H. Clarke, L. Gibson, A. Vukčević, O. Offiah, J. Thompson, A. Devine, L. Leroy, C. Lang, J. Erabi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Stanley Mills (3.4 per match over six appearances, one assist) and Johnny Kenny (3.1 per match over four appearances, two goals) have been Preston’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Preston (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Stanley Mills averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 394 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances.