Blackburn v Birmingham prediction
Team pages: Blackburn · Birmingham · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Blackburn v Birmingham, Championship on Sat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Blackburn host Birmingham in the Championship on Saturday 26 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
12 of Blackburn’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Blackburn have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Birmingham have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Birmingham are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Both teams scored in 12 of Blackburn’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, Blackburn have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.43. Blackburn have scored 17 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Blackburn have conceded 16 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
10 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Birmingham have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 0.71. Birmingham have scored 20 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Birmingham have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Blackburn (10th) and Birmingham (fourth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Birmingham the stronger side, 177 rating points above Blackburn (Birmingham 1674, Blackburn 1497, after at least 379 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn.
Team news
Predicted Blackburn XI (4-2-3-1): B. Tóth, S. McLoughlin, T. Atcheson, R. Alebiosu, H. Carter, S. Morsy, K. Montgomery, O. Afolayan, R. Morishita, T. Cantwell, A. Guðjohnsen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Oladapo Afolayan (4.2 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and two assists) and Kristi Montgomery (4.1 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Blackburn’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Blackburn (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Oladapo Afolayan averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 908 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. Kristi Montgomery averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 1007 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Birmingham XI (4-2-3-1): J. Beadle, P. Neumann, C. Klarer, B. Osayi-Samuel, A. Cochrane, T. Iwata, J. Stansfield, L. Millar, C. Vicente, J. Solis, A. Priske — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liam Millar (5.9 per match over seven appearances, four goals and three assists) and Phil Neumann (4.2 per match over 13 appearances, two goals) have been Birmingham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Birmingham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liam Millar averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1001 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Phil Neumann averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 1101 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Championship · Ewood Park
- Head-to-head (last 6): Blackburn 3 · draws 0 · Birmingham 3 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Blackburn 3W 1D 1L · Birmingham 4W 1D 0L
Blackburn v Birmingham (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Blackburn for / against | Line | Birmingham for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 7.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.25 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.88 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.5 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.63 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.88 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.88 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Blackburn
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gady Beyuku n 8 | 46.5 | 2.4 | 0.5 | — |
| J. Garrett n 8 | 37.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| A. Kargbo n 8 | 26.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | — |
| O. Afolayan n 8 | 69.6 | 1.5 | 2.6 | — |
| Sam Morsy n 8 | 83.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fevrier n 8 | 36.1 | 4 | 1.2 |
| A. Kargbo n 8 | 26.1 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| O. Afolayan n 8 | 69.6 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| A. Guðjohnsen n 8 | 58.8 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Guðjohnsen n 8 | 58.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
| O. Afolayan n 8 | 69.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| A. Kargbo n 8 | 26.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| H. Pickering n 8 | 82.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| J. Garrett n 8 | 37.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kristi Montgomery n 8 | 84.1 | 3.5 |
| J. Garrett n 8 | 37.9 | 3 |
| Sam Morsy n 8 | 83.5 | 2.6 |
| M. Baradji n 8 | 41.8 | 2.4 |
| H. Pickering n 8 | 82.4 | 2 |
Birmingham
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Laird n 8 | 16.5 | 2.7 | 2 | — |
| L. Vázquez n 8 | 24 | 2.3 | 1.9 | — |
| C. Klarer n 8 | 90 | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| A. Priske n 8 | 81.1 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| J. Stansfield n 8 | 86.1 | 1.6 | 0.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gray n 8 | 30.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| A. Priske n 8 | 81.1 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| L. Millar n 8 | 71.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| J. Stansfield n 8 | 86.1 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Carlos Vicente n 8 | 62 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gray n 8 | 30.8 | 1.5 | 0 |
| L. Millar n 8 | 71.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| A. Priske n 8 | 81.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| P. Roberts n 8 | 49 | 0 | 0.7 |
| L. Vázquez n 8 | 24 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Laird n 8 | 16.5 | 2.7 |
| Carlos Vicente n 8 | 62 | 2.4 |
| J. Solis n 8 | 56.1 | 2.2 |
| B. Osayi-Samuel n 8 | 86.5 | 2.1 |
| T. Gardner-Hickman n 8 | 52.9 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Beadle n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Blackburn v Birmingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-03 Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn
- 2025-08-16 Blackburn 1–2 Birmingham
- 2024-02-13 Birmingham 1–0 Blackburn
- 2023-11-29 Blackburn 4–2 Birmingham
- 2023-04-01 Birmingham 1–0 Blackburn
- 2023-01-31 Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Blackburn and Birmingham?
- In their last 6 meetings, Blackburn won 3, Birmingham won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Blackburn and Birmingham?
- Recent form — Blackburn 3W 1D 1L; Birmingham 4W 1D 0L.
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