Bristol City v Cardiff prediction

Championship · · Ashton Gate Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Bristol City v Cardiff, Championship on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bristol City host Cardiff in the Championship on Saturday 19 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 13 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).

Cardiff are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Bristol City.

Form and the table

Seven of Bristol City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Bristol City’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Bristol City have three wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 0.88. Bristol City have scored 12 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bristol City have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

11 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Away from home, Cardiff have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.29. Cardiff have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cardiff have conceded 17 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.

Bristol City are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Bristol City (16th) and Cardiff (19th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cardiff the stronger side, 35 rating points above Bristol City (Cardiff 1423, Bristol City 1388, after at least 335 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 February 2025, finished Cardiff 1–1 Bristol City.

Team news

Predicted Bristol City XI (4-2-3-1): S. Tickle, R. Cardines, L. Eissat, C. Pring, G. Tanner, J. Knight, S. Twine, Y. Hirakawa, G. Yah, J. Wallace, D. Ballard — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Rio Cardines (4.4 per match over 11 appearances, six assists) and Robert Dickie (4.0 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Bristol City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bristol City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Rio Cardines averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 1224 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances. Robert Dickie averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 711 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Cardiff XI (4-2-3-1): N. Trott, G. Osho, J. Bagan, P. Ng, K. Bielik, A. Robertson, O. Tanner, J. Moylan, C. Willock, J. Colwill, Y. Salech — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Moylan (5.0 per match over 13 appearances, seven goals and three assists) and Yousef Salech (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Cardiff’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cardiff (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Moylan averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1355 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Yousef Salech averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 813 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bristol City 1 · draws 2 · Cardiff 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bristol City 1W 1D 3L · Cardiff 2W 1D 2L

Bristol City v Cardiff (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 6.25
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 2.88 / 5.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBristol City for / againstLineCardiff for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
15.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
16.88 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 2.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Bristol City
Bristol City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Adebayo n 816.8
4.72/2
1.32/0
—
L. Tolaj n 869.1
2.98/5
2.16/4
—
Sam Greenwood n 836.8
2.45/1
3.46/4
—
J. Knight n 878
2.27/6
1.25/3
—
Lisav Naif Eissat n 873.4
2.16/4
0.53/0
—
Bristol City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Tolaj n 869.1
3.48/7
0.84/1
D. Ballard n 859
3.18/5
1.14/2
Y. Hirakawa n 861.9
27/2
1.35/2
T. Horvat n 833.8
24/2
13/0
Sam Greenwood n 836.8
1.53/2
1.53/2
Bristol City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Bell n 827.9
1.23/0
00/0
Rio Cardines n 879.1
00/0
0.64/0
L. Tolaj n 869.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
Lisav Naif Eissat n 873.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
D. Ballard n 859
0.42/0
00/0
Bristol City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. McNally n 887.9
2.67/6
J. Wallace n 849.6
2.35/3
B. De Keersmaecker n 856.5
2.27/4
G. Tanner n 871.3
1.96/3
C. Pring n 853.3
1.95/2
Bristol City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Tickle n 890
1.64/2
Cardiff
Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Colwill n 859.1
2.36/5
3.66/5
—
R. Colwill n 859.1
1.96/3
1.36/1
—
I. Davies n 818
1.92/1
0.61/0
—
P. Ng n 890
1.56/3
27/5
—
O. Tanner n 884.1
1.55/5
0.43/0
—
Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Salech n 879.1
3.38/6
27/4
O. Tanner n 884.1
2.77/6
0.75/0
C. Robinson n 834
2.66/1
1.75/0
J. Moylan n 872.9
2.55/3
1.54/3
D. Turnbull n 838.1
2.15/2
0.62/0
Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Moylan n 872.9
0.94/2
0.64/0
C. Robinson n 834
13/0
0.31/0
R. Colwill n 859.1
0.21/0
0.63/0
O. Tanner n 884.1
0.32/0
0.43/0
Y. Salech n 879.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 866.4
2.45/3
P. Ng n 890
28/4
D. Turnbull n 838.1
1.83/2
R. Kpakio n 847
1.73/3
C. Scanlon n 814.4
1.62/0
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
3.88/6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bristol City v Cardiff — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bristol CityLWDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
CardiffLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bristol City 1 · 2 draws · Cardiff 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-02-15 Cardiff 1–1 Bristol City
  • 2024-10-06 Bristol City 1–1 Cardiff
  • 2024-03-02 Bristol City 0–1 Cardiff
  • 2023-10-28 Cardiff 2–0 Bristol City
  • 2023-03-04 Cardiff 2–0 Bristol City
  • 2022-08-21 Bristol City 2–0 Cardiff
League standing · 2026/27
Bristol City#16 pos14 pts11 pl-3 GD
Cardiff#19 pos11 pts11 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Bristol City scored1.09
Cardiff scored1.64
Bristol City conceded1.36
Cardiff conceded1.55

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Bristol City and Cardiff?
In their last 6 meetings, Bristol City won 1, Cardiff won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bristol City and Cardiff?
Recent form — Bristol City 1W 1D 3L; Cardiff 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →