Bristol City v Millwall result

Full-time · Bristol City 0–2 Millwall

Championship · Sat, 15 Aug 2026 15:00 BST · Ashton Gate Stadium

Updated 29 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bristol City · Millwall · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bristol City 0–2 Millwall — Millwall won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Millwall won 2–0 at Ashton Gate Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 15 August.

The goals

Millwall led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Millwall: Joshua Coburn (41’; 50’, assisted by J. Metcalfe). Adam Randell (36’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Joshua Coburn’s goal on 41 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Bristol City 0.52, Millwall 3.40, from 8 shots to 24 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

L. Smith showed four yellow cards and one red — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bristol City: Adam Randell (23’) and Adam Randell (36’); Millwall: Joshua Coburn (15’) and Jenson Metcalfe (45’).

What it changes

Bristol City are 24th after this result (one league match played). Bristol City have scored 16 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Bristol City have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Millwall are first after this result (one league match played). Millwall have scored 23 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Millwall have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joshua Coburn (Millwall) 9.2, Robert Dickie (Bristol City) 5.4 and Zak Norton Sturge (Millwall) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Millwall, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Bristol City next host Norwich on 7 November 2026.

Millwall next travel to West Brom on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bristol City: Bristol City v Norwich, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Millwall: West Brom v Millwall, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Bristol City 0–2 Millwall · Championship
Venue: Ashton Gate Stadium · Bristol
Referee: L. Smith
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Bristol City 3 · draws 0 · Millwall 3 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Bristol City 1W 1D 3L · Millwall 1W 3D 1L

Bristol City 0–2 Millwall (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.25 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 7

Corners

against 7.13 / 5.57 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.25 / 4.57

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 2.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.25 / 1.71

Cards

against 2.88 / 1.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4.08 yellows

Referee · L. Smith

20.33 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 12 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Bristol City for / against	Line	Millwall for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.13 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.25 for · 7.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	13.25 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.86 for · 9.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.57 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	7.88 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.86 for · 8.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.71 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: L. Smith — 4.08 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 20.33 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bristol City

Bristol City Goalkeeper

Bristol City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Tickle	1	9595 min	43.8 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90

Bristol City Defensive

Bristol City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Pring	1	9595 min	54.7 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	1413.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Lisav Naif Eissat	1	9595 min	21.9 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	54.7 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90
R. Dickie	1	9595 min	00 /90	21.9 /90	00 /90	76.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
G. Tanner	1	7878 min	11.2 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	22.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
J. Knight	1	9595 min	00 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	21.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Bristol City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Pring n 8	79.4	1.4 6/4	1.1 5/1	—
R. Dickie n 8	84.6	0.7 5/0	1.1 6/2	—
M. Bird n 8	60.4	0.2 1/0	0.9 3/1	—
J. Knight n 8	90.6	0 0/0	1.5 7/2	—
G. Tanner n 8	88.4	0.3 2/0	0.9 5/2	—
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Bristol City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Pring n 8	79.4	2.1 7/4
J. Knight n 8	90.6	1 5/3
R. Dickie n 8	84.6	0.8 5/1
M. Bird n 8	60.4	0.4 1/1
G. Tanner n 8	88.4	2.8 8/5
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Bristol City Attacking

Bristol City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Tolaj	1	6969 min	00 /90	00 /90	45.2 /90	33.9 /90	22.6 /90	11.3 /90
Y. Hirakawa	1	3838 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.4 /90
D. Ballard	1	3737 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
E. Riis	1	2626 min	00 /90	00 /90	13.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
J. Knight	1	9595 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.9 /90	00 /90	21.9 /90	10.9 /90
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Bristol City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Bird n 8	60.4	1.5 4/3	0.6 3/0
R. Dickie n 8	84.6	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
J. Knight n 8	90.6	0.2 1/1	0 0/0
C. Pring n 8	79.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
G. Tanner n 8	88.4	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
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Bristol City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Bird n 8	60.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
R. Dickie n 8	84.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
C. Pring n 8	79.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Knight n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Tanner n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bristol City		Millwall
34%	Possession	66%
0.52	Expected goals (xG)	3.40
8	Shots	24
0	Shots on target	3
6	Shots off target	10
2	Blocked shots	11
2	Shots inside the box	18
6	Corners	6
1	Offsides	3
8	Fouls	12
2	Yellow cards	2
1	Red cards	0
2	Saves	0
263	Passes	513
59%	Pass accuracy	83%

Bristol City Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
S. Tickle	90	0	0	0	0	6.3
G. Tanner	90	0	0	0	0	6.5
R. Dickie	90	0	0	2	0	7
R. Atkinson	90	0	0	1	0	6.3
J. Knight	90	0	1	0	0	6.6
D. Ballard	64	1	0	2	0	6.2
Sam Greenwood	64	1	1	1	0	6.5
L. Tolaj	64	2	2	0	0	6.5
Lisav Naif Eissat	56	0	0	2	0	6.3
Y. Hirakawa	45	1	0	2	0	6.9
A. Randell	36	0	0	0	RY	5.5
J. Williams sub	45	0	0	3	0	7.3
Rio Cardines sub	34	0	0	1	0	6.6
J. Wallace sub	26	1	0	0	0	6.7
E. Riis sub	26	0	0	0	0	6.2
S. Bell sub	26	0	0	0	0	6.2

Millwall Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. Jensen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
R. Leonard	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.7
C. Taylor	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	7.5
J. Cooper	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.3
C. De Norre	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	7.3
C. Neghli	90	0	0	2	0	5	0	0	6.7
J. Coburn	83	2	0	3	3	4	0	Y	8.9
Zak Norton Sturge	82	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.2
Jenson Metcalfe	64	0	1	1	0	3	1	Y	6.5
T. Arconte	64	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	6.9
O. Azeez	29	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
K. Lisbie sub	61	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.2
L. Cundle sub	26	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.9
M. Sykes sub	26	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.5
L. Dykes sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
D. Kelly sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bristol City v Millwall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Bristol CityLDLWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

MillwallDWDLD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Bristol City 3 · 0 draws · Millwall 3 · 2.5 goals/game

2025-12-29 Millwall 2–1 Bristol City
2025-12-06 Bristol City 0–1 Millwall
2025-03-04 Millwall 0–2 Bristol City
2024-08-17 Bristol City 4–3 Millwall
2024-01-01 Bristol City 0–1 Millwall
2023-08-12 Millwall 0–1 Bristol City

League standing · 2026/27

Bristol City#15 pos18 pts14 pl-3 GD

Millwall#13 pos18 pts14 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Bristol City scored1.14

Millwall scored1.64

Bristol City conceded1.36

Millwall conceded1.71

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bristol City v Millwall?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bristol City v Millwall was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Bristol City and Millwall?: In their last 6 meetings, Bristol City won 3, Millwall won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bristol City and Millwall?: Recent form — Bristol City 1W 1D 3L; Millwall 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.