Burnley v Stoke City prediction
Team pages: Burnley · Stoke City · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Burnley v Stoke City, Championship on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Burnley host Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday 19 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
Both teams scored in 12 of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).
Burnley have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Stoke City have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. Burnley are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Stoke City, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Eight of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). At home, Burnley have no wins, six draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.50. Burnley have scored 16 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Burnley have conceded 21 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Nine of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Stoke City have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.71. Stoke City have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Stoke City have conceded 16 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Burnley (22nd) and Stoke City (sixth) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Stoke City the stronger side, 112 rating points above Burnley (Stoke City 1528, Burnley 1416, after at least 103 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 1 January 2025, finished Burnley 0–0 Stoke City.
Team news
Predicted Burnley XI (4-2-3-1): G. Coudert, K. Walker, Igor, L. Pires, A. Ahmedhodžić, J. Laurent, M. Alleyne, L. Ramazani, R. Hatate, U. Raghouber, Z. Amdouni — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Pires (4.3 per match over nine appearances, three assists) and Zian Flemming (4.0 per match over four appearances, three goals) have been Burnley’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burnley (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Pires averages 3.9 tackles per 90 over 532 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances. Zian Flemming averages 5.0 shots per 90 over 428 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Stoke City XI (3-4-3): V. Johansson, L. Graham, B. Wilmot, M. Talovierov, E. Galbraith, E. Soumaré, B. Johnson, E. Bocat, L. Cissé, J. McGlynn, G. Hirst — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ethan Galbraith (4.0 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and three assists) and Eric-Junior Bocat (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Stoke City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stoke City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ethan Galbraith averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1467 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Eric-Junior Bocat averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 936 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Championship · Turf Moor
- Head-to-head (last 6): Burnley 3 · draws 3 · Stoke City 0 · 1.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Burnley 1W 2D 2L · Stoke City 4W 0D 1L
Burnley v Stoke City (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Burnley for / against | Line | Stoke City for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.13 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.88 for · 17 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.25 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.75 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Burnley
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ramazani n 8 | 68.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | — |
| R. Hatate n 8 | 57 | 1.8 | 2 | — |
| H. Mejbri n 8 | 56 | 1.8 | 2.6 | — |
| J. Laurent n 8 | 88.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | — |
| Zeki Amdouni n 8 | 78.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zeki Amdouni n 8 | 78.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| Marcus Edwards n 8 | 55.1 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| D. Satpaev n 8 | 59.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| A. Ramsey n 8 | 65.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| A. Hountondji n 8 | 31.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zeki Amdouni n 8 | 78.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| J. Bruun Larsen n 8 | 56.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| R. Hatate n 8 | 57 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| J. Vardy n 8 | 56.4 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Marcus Edwards n 8 | 55.1 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pires n 8 | 64.8 | 4 |
| R. Hatate n 8 | 57 | 2.2 |
| H. Ekdal n 8 | 47.8 | 2.1 |
| H. Mejbri n 8 | 56 | 2 |
| D. Satpaev n 8 | 59.5 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Coudert n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
| M. Weiß n 8 | 90.9 | 2 |
Stoke City
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Boženík n 8 | 36.3 | 4.7 | 1.6 | — |
| S. Gallagher n 8 | 52.8 | 2.8 | 0.6 | — |
| B. Lawal n 7 | 49.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | — |
| Luca Bombino n 8 | 40.3 | 2 | 2.8 | — |
| George Hirst n 8 | 39.4 | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Boženík n 8 | 36.3 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| S. Gallagher n 8 | 52.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| L. Cissé n 8 | 60.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| George Hirst n 8 | 39.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| J. McGlynn n 8 | 65.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gallagher n 8 | 52.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| George Hirst n 8 | 39.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| R. Boženík n 8 | 36.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| E. Bocat n 8 | 72.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| J. McGlynn n 8 | 65.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Bombino n 8 | 40.3 | 8.7 |
| B. Pearson n 8 | 41.5 | 3.3 |
| El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8 | 81 | 2.9 |
| S. Gallagher n 8 | 52.8 | 2.1 |
| Luke Graham n 8 | 80 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Johansson n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Burnley v Stoke City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-01-01 Burnley 0–0 Stoke City
- 2024-11-30 Stoke City 0–2 Burnley
- 2022-12-30 Stoke City 0–1 Burnley
- 2022-10-05 Burnley 1–1 Stoke City
- 2018-04-22 Stoke City 1–1 Burnley
- 2017-12-12 Burnley 1–0 Stoke City
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Burnley and Stoke City?
- In their last 6 meetings, Burnley won 3, Stoke City won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Burnley and Stoke City?
- Recent form — Burnley 1W 2D 2L; Stoke City 4W 0D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.