Burnley v Watford result
Team pages: Burnley · Watford · Head-to-head
Burnley 2–1 Watford — Burnley won this Championship match.
The result
Burnley beat Watford 2–1 at Turf Moor in the Championship on Saturday 21 December. Burnley are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.
The goals
Burnley led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Burnley: Jaidon Anthony (9’, assisted by J. Brownhill) and J. Brownhill (62’, assisted by Hannibal Mejbri); Watford: Kwadwo Baah (80’).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Burnley 1.21, Watford 0.46, from 15 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
J. Linington showed four yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Burnley: J. Laurent (49’), Conrad Egan-Riley (64’) and James Trafford (88’); Watford: J. Ngakia (41’).
What it changes
Burnley have scored 69 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Burnley have conceded 16 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs.
Watford have scored 53 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Watford have conceded 61 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Brownhill (Burnley) 8.6, Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley) 8.4 and Kwadwo Baah (Watford) 7.3 led the match.
Next up
Burnley next host Blackburn on 21 November 2026.
Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Burnley: Burnley v Blackburn, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Burnley 2–1 Watford · Championship
- Venue: Turf Moor · Burnley
- Referee: J. Linington
- Head-to-head (last 6): Burnley 3 · draws 2 · Watford 1 · 1.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Burnley 3W 2D 0L · Watford 2W 3D 0L
Burnley 2–1 Watford (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 December 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Burnley for / against | Line | Watford for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 0.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.63 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.43 for · 9.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.63 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.71 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.63 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.29 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.38 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.57 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: J. Linington — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.8 fouls over 5 matches.
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Burnley
Burnley Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brownhill n 8 | 80.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | G. Chakvetadze |
| J. Trafford n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| M. Estève n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.5 | M. Pollock |
| L. Koleosho n 8 | 66.3 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Cullen n 8 | 88.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Brownhill n 8 | 80.4 | 2.2 |
| J. Trafford n 8 | 90 | 0.1 |
| M. Estève n 8 | 90 | 1.1 |
| L. Koleosho n 8 | 66.3 | 2.5 |
| J. Cullen n 8 | 88.3 | 1.8 |
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Burnley Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brownhill n 8 | 80.4 | 1.8 | 1 |
| J. Trafford n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Estève n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| L. Koleosho n 8 | 66.3 | 1 | 0.8 |
| J. Cullen n 8 | 88.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brownhill n 8 | 80.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| J. Trafford n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Estève n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Koleosho n 8 | 66.3 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Cullen n 8 | 88.3 | 0 | 0.1 |
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Watford
Watford Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.6 | M. Estève |
| G. Chakvetadze n 8 | 85.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | J. Brownhill |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 61.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | — |
| V. Bayo n 8 | 87.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | — |
| K. Baah n 8 | 59 | 1.7 | 1.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 1 |
| G. Chakvetadze n 8 | 85.8 | 1 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 61.8 | 0.9 |
| V. Bayo n 8 | 87.6 | 0.8 |
| K. Baah n 8 | 59 | 1.1 |
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Watford Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| G. Chakvetadze n 8 | 85.8 | 2.1 | 1 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 61.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| V. Bayo n 8 | 87.6 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| K. Baah n 8 | 59 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| G. Chakvetadze n 8 | 85.8 | 0 | 0.3 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 61.8 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Bayo n 8 | 87.6 | 1 | 0 |
| K. Baah n 8 | 59 | 0 | 0.4 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Burnley | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 55% | Possession | 45% |
| 1.21 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.46 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 456 | Passes | 367 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 78% |
Burnley Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Trafford | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| C. Egan-Riley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| M. Estève | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| B. Humphreys | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Cullen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Laurent | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| J. Anthony | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8.2 |
| J. Brownhill | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Connor Roberts | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Z. Flemming | 89 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| H. Mejbri | 84 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.7 |
| L. Koleosho sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Egan sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| J. Rodríguez sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Watford Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bachmann | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Porteous | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Pollock | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| K. Baah | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Sissoko | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| G. Chakvetadze | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| P. Dwomoh | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| V. Bayo | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Y. Larouci | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Ngakia | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Y | 7.2 |
| Rocco Vata | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| F. Sierralta sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Andrews sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| F. Ebosele sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Jebbison sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Kayembe sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Burnley v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-02-14 Burnley 1–1 Watford
- 2022-08-12 Watford 1–0 Burnley
- 2022-04-30 Watford 1–2 Burnley
- 2022-02-05 Burnley 0–0 Watford
- 2020-06-25 Burnley 1–0 Watford
- 2019-11-23 Watford 0–3 Burnley
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Burnley and Watford?
- In their last 6 meetings, Burnley won 3, Watford won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Burnley and Watford?
- Recent form — Burnley 3W 2D 0L; Watford 2W 3D 0L.
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