Burnley v Wolves prediction

The match

Burnley host Wolves in the Championship on Friday 16 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Wolves, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Burnley have scored in eight consecutive matches. Both teams scored in 12 of Burnley’s last 15 results (80%).

Form and the table

Burnley are unbeaten in their last three matches. Eight of Burnley’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). At home, Burnley have no wins, seven draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.50. Burnley have scored 15 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Burnley have conceded 19 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Eight of Wolves’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Wolves’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Wolves have three wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches — 1.22 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 1.44. Wolves have scored 16 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Wolves have conceded 14 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Burnley (21st) and Wolves (ninth) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Burnley the stronger side, 26 rating points above Wolves (Burnley 1482, Wolves 1455, after at least 55 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Burnley 1–1 Wolves.

Team news

Burnley have 13 names on the availability list: A. Barnes (out, Muscle Injury), A. Ramsey (out, Hamstring Injury), B. Humphreys (out, Muscle Injury), E. Agyei (out, Muscle Injury), H. Mejbri (out, Hamstring Injury), J. Beyer (out, Hamstring Injury) and seven more — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. Predicted Burnley XI (4-2-3-1): M. Weiß, K. Walker, A. Ahmedhodžić, C. Roberts, Igor, J. Laurent, M. Alleyne, L. Ramazani, R. Hatate, J. Bruun Larsen, J. Vardy — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Pires (4.1 per match over eight appearances, three assists) and Grégoire Coudert (4.1 per match over four appearances) have been Burnley’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burnley (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Pires averages 3.7 tackles per 90 over 442 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances. Grégoire Coudert averages 3.8 saves per 90 over 360 minutes.

Wolves have six names on the availability list: B. Traore (out, Injury), B. Traore (out, Injury), R. Jimenez (out, Knee Injury), Y. Mosquera (out, Ankle Injury), M. Ji (doubtful, Injury) and R. Gomes (doubtful, Foot Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-14. Predicted Wolves XI (4-2-3-1): J. Sá, H. Bueno, N. Djiga, T. Gomes, J. Tchatchoua, André, F. López, M. Mane, M. Munetsi, J. James, A. Armstrong — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Fer López (5.2 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and two assists) and André (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Wolves’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Wolves (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Fer López averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 804 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. André averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 845 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.